sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,244

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0x410…2643
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$92.0kvol $6.81M
PnL 30d+$11.2kgains $13.2k · losses $22.9k
PnL 7d−$1,215win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate71.0%adj 69.7% · 30d 73.1%
Open value$708kcash n/a
Positions31 / 339open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 22h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$61.9kbelow peak −$73.6kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.0% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Noclosed+$12.5kWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noopen+$7,936Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Noopen+$6,485Trump out as President before 2027? · Noopen+$6,234Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? · Noclosed+$5,807

Worst markets

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? · Noclosed−$28.0kKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Noclosed−$19.1kWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · Noclosed−$16.6kUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$16.5kIran Strike on Israel by February 28? · Noclosed−$15.6k

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No121k88.8¢94.5¢$114k+$6,925−$440
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No82.1k98.4¢99.8¢$81.9k+$1,080$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No82.5k92¢96.8¢$79.8k+$3,908$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No68.0k86.4¢95.6¢$65.0k+$6,234$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No65.4k97.3¢98.2¢$64.3k+$587$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No58.1k96.3¢97.7¢$56.8k+$794$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No43.4k98.2¢98¢$42.5k−$85+$0.08
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No40.5k86.4¢96.1¢$38.9k+$3,920+$1,012
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes42.2k82.3¢85.7¢$36.1k+$1,393$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes25.0k92¢90.5¢$22.6k−$375$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No19.3k86.5¢96.7¢$18.7k+$1,958$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes12.8k90.6¢95.5¢$12.2k+$621$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes15.0k74¢73.5¢$11.0k−$75$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No10.3k94.4¢96.4¢$9,927+$198$0
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No8,93680.5¢95.4¢$8,520+$1,324+$547
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No8,60792.1¢98.6¢$8,482+$553$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes11.2k58.3¢57.9¢$6,456−$45$0
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?No5,66496.9¢97.9¢$5,545+$57$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,06690¢92.5¢$4,686+$126$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No4,11689.5¢98.7¢$4,061+$375$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No3,57596.7¢97.2¢$3,473+$16+$7,920
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?No3,94074¢80¢$3,152+$236$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No2,50089¢94.4¢$2,359+$134$0
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No2,33896.9¢99.1¢$2,317+$51$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?No1,51195¢96.8¢$1,463+$27$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,28694¢88.5¢$1,138−$71$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes1,00097.1¢99.3¢$993+$22$0
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?No61396.8¢97¢$594+$0.92$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No62095.1¢95.7¢$593+$3.41$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes8674¢79.5¢$69+$4.74$0
Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?No882¢81¢$6.72−$0.08$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?98¢3,519$3,44971%39
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?58.3¢7,150$4,16871%39
BUY YesWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?74¢15.0k$11.1k71%39Whale
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?96.9¢5,664$5,48871%39
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?97.9¢53$5271%39
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?95¢1,511$1,43571%39
SELL NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85¢0$0.1471%39
BUY NoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?98.5¢13.5k$13.3k71%39Whale
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?96.8¢14.4k$13.9k71%39Whale
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.7¢10.4k$8,77971%39
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?96.8¢613$59371%39
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?95.1¢620$59071%39
SELL NoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?98¢54$5271%39
BUY NoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?98¢4,545$4,45571%39
BUY NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?97.6¢5,106$4,98371%39
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.2¢7,239$6,02371%39
BUY NoWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?55¢1,000$55071%39
BUY NoWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?97.5¢1,915$1,86771%39
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?96.9¢2,805$2,71871%39
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?82¢3$2.7171%39