| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 7,404 | 76.2¢ | 85.5¢ | $6,330 | +$690 | +$583 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 3,653 | 41.4¢ | 64.8¢ | $2,365 | +$854 | +$33 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 2,055 | 86.9¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,921 | +$136 | +$26 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,050 | 29.4¢ | 31.5¢ | $1,591 | +$108 | +$7.18 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 1,560 | 81.3¢ | 85.5¢ | $1,334 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? | No | 2,292 | 49.3¢ | 55.5¢ | $1,272 | +$143 | +$22 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 4,054 | 29.4¢ | 31¢ | $1,257 | +$64 | +$6.95 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1,648 | 39.3¢ | 67.5¢ | $1,113 | +$465 | +$463 | |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | No | 1,105 | 60.4¢ | 88.5¢ | $978 | +$311 | +$2.47 | |
| Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta mayoral election? | No | 1,020 | 88.3¢ | 87.9¢ | $897 | −$3.99 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,216 | 29.9¢ | 38.5¢ | $853 | +$191 | +$26 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 3,733 | 22.4¢ | 19¢ | $709 | −$128 | −$0.04 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,016 | 61.4¢ | 61.5¢ | $625 | +$1.17 | −$6.98 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 1,048 | 32.4¢ | 50.5¢ | $529 | +$190 | +$45 | |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | No | 698 | 64.4¢ | 65.5¢ | $457 | +$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | Yes | 1,784 | 65.5¢ | 25.5¢ | $455 | −$714 | −$317 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat? | Yes | 1,319 | 32.8¢ | 31.5¢ | $415 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 662 | 75¢ | 61.5¢ | $407 | −$89 | −$253 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 413 | 78¢ | 90.5¢ | $374 | +$52 | +$1,414 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 389 | 84.9¢ | 86.7¢ | $337 | +$6.68 | +$518 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2,666 | 13.8¢ | 12.5¢ | $333 | −$36 | −$194 | |
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 923 | 43.4¢ | 36¢ | $332 | −$69 | +$0.13 | |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 365 | 85.3¢ | 88.5¢ | $323 | +$12 | +$16 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 19 House seats in New York in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 981 | 27.4¢ | 31.5¢ | $309 | +$41 | −$6.79 | |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 460 | 67.6¢ | 64¢ | $294 | −$17 | −$3.65 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat? | No | 300 | 96.4¢ | 98¢ | $294 | +$4.78 | $0 | |
| Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | No | 361 | 79.1¢ | 73.5¢ | $265 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? | Yes | 360 | 69.7¢ | 72.5¢ | $261 | +$9.96 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? | Yes | 355 | 72.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $261 | +$3.43 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 604 | 42.6¢ | 42.5¢ | $257 | −$0.72 | −$1.17 | |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? | Yes | 814 | 30.2¢ | 31.5¢ | $257 | +$11 | +$51 | |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | Yes | 971 | 22.5¢ | 26¢ | $252 | +$34 | +$12 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 252 | 98.3¢ | 98.9¢ | $249 | +$1.51 | −$0.54 | |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 66 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 247 | 92.9¢ | 99.5¢ | $246 | +$16 | +$22 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 430 | 59.7¢ | 55.5¢ | $239 | −$18 | +$14 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | Yes | 300 | 79.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $239 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 600 | 30.8¢ | 38.5¢ | $231 | +$46 | +$67 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 600 | 39¢ | 38.5¢ | $231 | −$3.00 | +$2.57 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | No | 263 | 85.8¢ | 85.5¢ | $225 | −$0.98 | +$1.25 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 282 | 60.6¢ | 79.5¢ | $224 | +$53 | +$5.78 | |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 371 | 56.3¢ | 55.5¢ | $206 | −$3.15 | −$3.17 | |
| Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year? | No | 220 | 87.7¢ | 91.8¢ | $202 | +$9.08 | $0 | |
| Will Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? | No | 252 | 75.1¢ | 78.5¢ | $197 | +$8.51 | +$0.61 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,698 | 15.4¢ | 6.5¢ | $175 | −$240 | +$215 | |
| Will $2.50 Coin become law this year? | No | 186 | 86.6¢ | 92.5¢ | $172 | +$11 | +$0.67 | |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | No | 194 | 77¢ | 85.5¢ | $166 | +$17 | +$5.16 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 7,657 | 8.8¢ | 2.2¢ | $165 | −$508 | −$85 | |
| Counter-Strike: mellren vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In | mellren | 163 | 40.8¢ | 100¢ | $163 | +$96 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 976 | 28¢ | 16.5¢ | $161 | −$112 | −$114 | |
| Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? | Yes | 185 | 60.3¢ | 85.7¢ | $158 | +$47 | +$62 | |
| Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election? | Yes | 302 | 50¢ | 50.5¢ | $152 | +$1.45 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 401 | 37.2¢ | 37.5¢ | $150 | +$1.03 | −$30 | |
| Will David Almeida win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | No | 149 | 96.1¢ | 99.9¢ | $149 | +$5.64 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | Yes | 248 | 56.8¢ | 59.5¢ | $148 | +$6.59 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | 37.5¢ | 36.5¢ | $146 | −$4.00 | −$13 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 271 | 53.7¢ | 53.5¢ | $145 | −$0.50 | +$27 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 161 | 86.1¢ | 89¢ | $143 | +$4.72 | −$0.34 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 222 | 67¢ | 64.5¢ | $143 | −$5.54 | +$8.43 | |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | Yes | 316 | 38.6¢ | 45.1¢ | $142 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | Yes | 157 | 85.4¢ | 90¢ | $141 | +$7.27 | +$9.96 | |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | No | 277 | 49.9¢ | 50.5¢ | $140 | +$1.61 | +$9.65 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 152 | 81.7¢ | 89¢ | $135 | +$11 | +$14 | |
| LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs | Maryville University | 357 | 38.3¢ | 37.5¢ | $134 | −$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Export-control chip security become law this year? | No | 177 | 71.9¢ | 74.5¢ | $132 | +$4.68 | +$20 | |
| Will Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | No | 125 | 87.8¢ | 98.4¢ | $123 | +$13 | +$3.41 | |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 642 | 54.3¢ | 18.5¢ | $119 | −$230 | −$42 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 123 | 86.1¢ | 88.5¢ | $109 | +$2.90 | +$24 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat? | Yes | 125 | 87.2¢ | 87.5¢ | $109 | +$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | Yes | 325 | 32.5¢ | 33.5¢ | $109 | +$3.40 | +$69 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat? | Yes | 122 | 80.3¢ | 86¢ | $105 | +$6.94 | $0 | |
| Another US debt downgrade before 2027? | No | 113 | 79.5¢ | 91¢ | $103 | +$13 | +$38 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 13 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 126 | 82.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $103 | −$1.68 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? | Yes | 259 | 36.9¢ | 39.5¢ | $102 | +$6.79 | −$6.15 | |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | No | 806 | 37.8¢ | 12.5¢ | $101 | −$204 | −$31 | |
| Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? | Yes | 228 | 43.6¢ | 43¢ | $98 | −$1.48 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? | No | 296 | 31.5¢ | 31.5¢ | $93 | −$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | Yes | 538 | 15.5¢ | 17¢ | $92 | +$8.17 | $0 | |
| Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year? | No | 100 | 84.7¢ | 86.6¢ | $87 | +$1.92 | $0 | |
| Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election? | Yes | 230 | 34.8¢ | 37¢ | $85 | +$4.94 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 334 | 21.3¢ | 23.5¢ | $78 | +$7.37 | −$0.65 | |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 398 | 20.6¢ | 19.5¢ | $78 | −$4.47 | −$1.58 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | No | 147 | 53¢ | 52.5¢ | $77 | −$0.74 | $0 | |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 403 | 10.3¢ | 19¢ | $77 | +$35 | −$22 | |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | No | 76 | 93.2¢ | 96.1¢ | $73 | +$2.14 | +$8.71 | |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | Yes | 517 | 17¢ | 14¢ | $72 | −$15 | +$7.91 | |
| Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? | No | 76 | 54¢ | 95.5¢ | $72 | +$31 | −$23 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 92 | 65.9¢ | 78¢ | $72 | +$11 | +$3.27 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat? | No | 100 | 72¢ | 71.5¢ | $72 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 7 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 89 | 71.4¢ | 80¢ | $71 | +$7.66 | +$7.54 | |
| Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague? | Yes | 75 | 38¢ | 93.5¢ | $70 | +$42 | +$4.51 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? | No | 80 | 80¢ | 80.5¢ | $64 | +$0.40 | +$1.08 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 262 | 42.7¢ | 24.5¢ | $64 | −$48 | +$2.72 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? | Yes | 93 | 65.2¢ | 68.5¢ | $64 | +$3.05 | +$0.55 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 75 | 82¢ | 84.4¢ | $63 | +$1.75 | +$153 | |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 72 | 71.9¢ | 83.5¢ | $60 | +$8.37 | +$14 | |
| Will Simon Yu win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? | No | 104 | 60.7¢ | 56.5¢ | $59 | −$4.32 | +$0.60 | |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 297 | 30.9¢ | 19¢ | $56 | −$35 | −$22 | |
| Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | No | 77 | 65.6¢ | 68.5¢ | $53 | +$2.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 251 | 20.4¢ | 21¢ | $53 | +$1.54 | $0 | |
| Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year? | No | 56 | 91.5¢ | 92¢ | $52 | +$0.29 | $0 | |