| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 105k | 95.5¢ | 99.7¢ | $105k | +$4,384 | +$1,865 | |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | No | 27.6k | 84.7¢ | 96.4¢ | $26.6k | +$3,220 | +$1,287 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 20.9k | 88.8¢ | 95.6¢ | $20.0k | +$1,413 | +$278 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 13.9k | 71.1¢ | 96¢ | $13.4k | +$3,474 | +$790 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 12.7k | 93.7¢ | 96.5¢ | $12.3k | +$359 | +$189 | |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 23.1k | 51.6¢ | 50.5¢ | $11.7k | −$261 | −$32 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 8,799 | 91¢ | 98¢ | $8,623 | +$617 | +$0.32 | |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 7,352 | 86.4¢ | 89¢ | $6,544 | +$190 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 7,500 | 69.7¢ | 63.5¢ | $4,762 | −$462 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,244 | 72¢ | 97.2¢ | $4,125 | +$1,070 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,595 | 66.9¢ | 96.2¢ | $3,458 | +$1,052 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 8,500 | 46.3¢ | 36.5¢ | $3,102 | −$832 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 30.0k | 18.6¢ | 9.5¢ | $2,850 | −$2,724 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,109 | 37.9¢ | 90¢ | $2,798 | +$1,621 | $0 | |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | No | 2,500 | 87¢ | 95.5¢ | $2,387 | +$212 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2,500 | 84¢ | 86.5¢ | $2,163 | +$63 | +$60 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,696 | 18.5¢ | 80¢ | $2,157 | +$1,658 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,500 | 83¢ | 85.5¢ | $2,138 | +$63 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 2,500 | 86¢ | 84.5¢ | $2,113 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,952 | 95¢ | 98.6¢ | $1,924 | +$69 | −$855 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 80¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,910 | +$310 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 4,548 | 45.4¢ | 35.5¢ | $1,614 | −$452 | $0 | |
| Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 2,352 | 73.5¢ | 68¢ | $1,599 | −$129 | −$44 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 3,753 | 29.9¢ | 42.5¢ | $1,595 | +$473 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,567 | 84.8¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,418 | +$89 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,464 | 37.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,398 | +$849 | $0 | |
| Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026? | No | 1,342 | 91.5¢ | 91.6¢ | $1,229 | +$0.79 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 2,500 | 54¢ | 47.5¢ | $1,188 | −$162 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,500 | 26.8¢ | 42.5¢ | $1,062 | +$393 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 1,000 | 84.9¢ | 96.6¢ | $966 | +$117 | +$199 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? | Yes | 1,000 | 94.5¢ | 94.6¢ | $945 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 1,000 | 80¢ | 84.5¢ | $845 | +$45 | $0 | |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1,000 | 81¢ | 83.5¢ | $835 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 63¢ | 73.5¢ | $735 | +$105 | $0 | |
| Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? | No | 736 | 91¢ | 95.5¢ | $703 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 726 | 49¢ | 95.7¢ | $695 | +$339 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 64¢ | 57.5¢ | $575 | −$65 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5,000 | 18¢ | 9.5¢ | $475 | −$425 | −$225 | |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 3,861 | 3¢ | 9.8¢ | $376 | +$261 | +$40 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | Yes | 443 | 74¢ | 81¢ | $359 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 500 | 62.3¢ | 70.5¢ | $352 | +$41 | +$231 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,535 | 13.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $336 | −$141 | −$7.33 | |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 788 | 39.6¢ | 40.5¢ | $319 | +$7.23 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 255 | 42¢ | 92.5¢ | $236 | +$129 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 220 | 95¢ | 95.5¢ | $210 | +$1.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5,000 | 3.2¢ | 3.9¢ | $193 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5,000 | 5¢ | 3.4¢ | $167 | −$82 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 23¢ | 14.5¢ | $145 | −$85 | $0 | |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 2,500 | 3.6¢ | 5¢ | $124 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 500 | 71¢ | 20.5¢ | $102 | −$252 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 7.2¢ | 4.9¢ | $98 | −$47 | +$11.1k | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 500 | 87¢ | 19.5¢ | $97 | −$337 | $0 | |
| Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 23¢ | 93.3¢ | $93 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 2,500 | 4.8¢ | 3.7¢ | $91 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 93 | 74.9¢ | 97.9¢ | $91 | +$21 | +$178 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 14¢ | 8¢ | $80 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 16¢ | 91.5¢ | $46 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 378 | 59¢ | 11¢ | $42 | −$181 | −$347 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2,499 | 2¢ | 1.7¢ | $41 | −$8.75 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | No | 50 | 61¢ | 78.5¢ | $39 | +$8.75 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 11¢ | 2.3¢ | $23 | −$87 | +$215 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 9¢ | 4.1¢ | $20 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 114 | 18¢ | 17¢ | $19 | −$1.14 | $0 | |
| Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 2,080 | 5.6¢ | 0.5¢ | $9.36 | −$108 | −$13 | |
| Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 148 | 13¢ | 5.5¢ | $8.16 | −$11 | −$43 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat? | No | 8 | 76¢ | 81¢ | $6.84 | +$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | Yes | 10 | 12¢ | 11.5¢ | $1.15 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will Bryce Eldridge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 25 | 8.6¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.01 | −$2.16 | $0 | |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 223k | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,866 | −$170 | |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 194k | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,285 | −$135 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50.0k | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$350 | −$26 | |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | No | 44.0k | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$156 | −$3.90 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 13.0k | 54.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,122 | −$1,143 | |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10.0k | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$535 | −$11 | |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7,500 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$185 | −$3.66 | |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 6,726 | 21.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,441 | $0 | |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 6,000 | 20.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,214 | −$1.87 | |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? | Yes | 6,000 | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$103 | −$3.52 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 5,000 | 18.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$917 | −$1,952 | |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5,000 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | +$76 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | Yes | 5,000 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4,500 | 51.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,325 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,000 | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$610 | −$1,458 | |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Trail Blazers | 4,000 | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$278 | $0 | |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4,000 | 12.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$495 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | Yes | 3,000 | 51.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,545 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | Yes | 3,000 | 59.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,785 | $0 | |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 2,898 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Rockets | 2,500 | 16.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$405 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 2,500 | 71.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,794 | +$30 | |
| Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | Yes | 2,500 | 74.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,851 | −$57 | |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Hawks | 2,003 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$140 | $0 | |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | Yes | 2,000 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | +$18 | |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | Yes | 2,000 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$180 | $0 | |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Nuggets | 2,000 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov | Denis Shapovalov | 1,890 | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$108 | −$87 | |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | No | 1,846 | 46.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$854 | +$0.17 | |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 1,500 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30? | Yes | 1,500 | 40.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$610 | −$0.08 | |
| Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party? | Yes | 1,492 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$492 | −$70 | |
