| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1,216 | 91.6¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,137 | +$23 | +$28 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 920 | 78.8¢ | 90.5¢ | $833 | +$108 | +$24 | |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | No | 913 | 76¢ | 81.5¢ | $744 | +$50 | +$13 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 902 | 81.1¢ | 82.5¢ | $744 | +$12 | +$177 | |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | No | 774 | 83.2¢ | 87.5¢ | $677 | +$33 | $0 | |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | No | 708 | 85¢ | 95.5¢ | $676 | +$74 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 601 | 82.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $568 | +$75 | +$72 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 540 | 75¢ | 82.5¢ | $446 | +$41 | +$7.60 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 695 | 52¢ | 63.5¢ | $441 | +$80 | +$9.33 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 450 | 78.6¢ | 80.4¢ | $362 | +$8.03 | +$27 | |
| AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? | No | 442 | 79.2¢ | 81.5¢ | $360 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,900 | 31.2¢ | 11.5¢ | $333 | −$570 | $0 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 370 | 81.4¢ | 87¢ | $322 | +$21 | −$2.23 | |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 321 | 70.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $291 | +$65 | +$46 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 300 | 95¢ | 96.6¢ | $290 | +$4.65 | $0 | |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | No | 300 | 92¢ | 92.5¢ | $278 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 291 | 75.5¢ | 94¢ | $274 | +$54 | +$168 | |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 500 | 35¢ | 54.5¢ | $273 | +$98 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 277 | 82¢ | 97¢ | $268 | +$41 | +$21 | |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 293 | 66.1¢ | 88.5¢ | $260 | +$66 | +$16 | |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 284 | 72¢ | 86¢ | $244 | +$40 | +$12 | |
| Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? | No | 246 | 94.7¢ | 96.8¢ | $238 | +$5.17 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 25.0k | 0.8¢ | 1¢ | $238 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 263 | 49¢ | 83.5¢ | $220 | +$91 | +$32 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 229 | 84.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $214 | +$20 | +$51 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 310 | 66¢ | 68.5¢ | $212 | +$7.75 | +$5.70 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 242 | 79¢ | 86.5¢ | $209 | +$18 | +$55 | |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 210 | 73.6¢ | 96.7¢ | $203 | +$48 | +$267 | |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 203 | 73¢ | 99.2¢ | $202 | +$53 | +$29 | |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | No | 200 | 90¢ | 98¢ | $196 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 209 | 77.6¢ | 93¢ | $195 | +$32 | +$11 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 189 | 91.2¢ | 98¢ | $185 | +$13 | −$0.52 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 689 | 21.8¢ | 26.4¢ | $182 | +$32 | $0 | |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | No | 203 | 78¢ | 89.5¢ | $181 | +$23 | +$23 | |
| Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? | No | 186 | 90.2¢ | 95.2¢ | $177 | +$9.25 | +$1.21 | |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 203 | 74.1¢ | 85¢ | $172 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | Yes | 186 | 89.2¢ | 92.4¢ | $172 | +$6.01 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 1,550 | 27.4¢ | 11¢ | $171 | −$254 | −$36 | |
| US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? | No | 174 | 86¢ | 94.5¢ | $165 | +$15 | +$3.10 | |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 248 | 45.6¢ | 66.5¢ | $165 | +$52 | +$7.76 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2,941 | 5.1¢ | 5.6¢ | $163 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 371 | 39.6¢ | 43.5¢ | $162 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 430 | 39¢ | 37¢ | $159 | −$8.60 | +$1.76 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 600 | 9.5¢ | 23.5¢ | $141 | +$84 | $0 | |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | No | 238 | 57.2¢ | 57.5¢ | $137 | +$0.63 | +$8.32 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 176 | 83¢ | 76.5¢ | $135 | −$11 | +$1.30 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 127 | 83.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $121 | +$15 | +$69 | |
| Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 700 | 17¢ | 16¢ | $112 | −$7.00 | $0 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 113 | 89.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $107 | +$5.14 | +$90 | |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 102 | 93.5¢ | 97¢ | $99 | +$3.52 | +$33 | |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | No | 101 | 83.4¢ | 92.8¢ | $94 | +$9.47 | +$37 | |
| Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | 90 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $90 | +$8.10 | +$12 | |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 114 | 49.9¢ | 71.2¢ | $81 | +$24 | +$28 | |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 82 | 75¢ | 89.5¢ | $73 | +$12 | +$2.45 | |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 64 | 93¢ | 96.5¢ | $62 | +$2.23 | +$8.97 | |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | Yes | 255 | 18.9¢ | 17.5¢ | $45 | −$3.67 | −$4.70 | |
| Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | No | 49 | 65¢ | 89.5¢ | $44 | +$12 | +$194 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 46 | 79¢ | 95.5¢ | $44 | +$7.56 | +$48 | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 67 | 36¢ | 62.5¢ | $42 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 34 | 83¢ | 93.5¢ | $32 | +$3.55 | +$6.74 | |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 60 | 68.6¢ | 32.5¢ | $20 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 413 | 71.4¢ | 4.5¢ | $18 | −$276 | +$4.60 | |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 12 | 0¢ | 90.5¢ | $11 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | No | 12 | 85¢ | 87.2¢ | $11 | +$0.27 | $0 | |
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 340 | 16.5¢ | 2.2¢ | $7.31 | −$49 | $0 | |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 201 | 52.6¢ | 3.4¢ | $6.72 | −$99 | −$250 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 8 | 75¢ | 80¢ | $6.40 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 48 | 29¢ | 5.1¢ | $2.44 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will there be four or more UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 500 | 75¢ | 0.3¢ | $1.50 | −$374 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2,863 | 48.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,398 | −$36 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 824 | 24.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 675 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$243 | −$7.77 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Yes | 667 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 667 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | 67¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$335 | −$8.67 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | Yes | 447 | 39.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$176 | −$13 | |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9? | Yes | 389 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | 321 | 77.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$250 | $0 | |
