sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,693

P1kaso

0x4ae…9337
SharpWhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$80.3kvol $13.4M
PnL 30d+$5,540gains $14.3k · losses $4,857
PnL 7d+$7,296win rate 7d 78.0%
Win rate68.5%adj 67.8% · 30d 78.1%
Open value$39.5kcash n/a
Positions148 / 3,132open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.1%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 23h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$78.9kbelow peak −$598Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 68.5% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No17.9k93.9¢97.4¢$17.4k+$625−$277
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No10.8k53.3¢61.2¢$6,605+$849$0
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No5,00077¢77.5¢$3,875+$25+$50
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No3,00094.9¢93.8¢$2,813−$33$0
Will Italy win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?No2,45998.1¢98.5¢$2,421+$8.61$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3,60815.6¢54.6¢$1,968+$1,407$0
Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?Yes1,01481.1¢86.5¢$877+$55$0
Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028?No84393¢93.5¢$789+$4.22$0
Will Germany win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?No65094¢98.3¢$638+$28+$9.35
Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No50080.4¢85.5¢$427+$25$0
Will Belgium win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?No33094.3¢98.1¢$323+$12$0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,00139.4¢29.5¢$295−$99$0
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?No25862¢62.5¢$161+$1.29$0
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes32.3k0.3¢0.5¢$145+$52$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes40.0k2.7¢0.4¢$140−$950−$93
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5,0002.6¢2.3¢$112−$18+$884
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No2,0002.1¢4¢$79+$37$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No7873.3¢97.8¢$76+$19−$487
Will Netherlands win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Yes1,1575.8¢5.5¢$64−$2.92$0
Will Teplice be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)?No6189.3¢97¢$59+$4.67$0
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5097.8¢98.4¢$49+$0.28$0
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Yamal5076.2¢73.5¢$37−$1.35$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢1.1¢$24−$2.22$0
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No5503.1¢3.9¢$21+$4.13$0
Will Sigma Olomouc be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)?No2190¢94.5¢$20+$0.94$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,1001.3¢0.5¢$9.45−$18+$7.77
Will Germany win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Yes1392.8¢1.7¢$2.37−$1.53$0
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0.1¢$1.17−$26$0
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0.1¢$1.17−$26$0
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0.1¢$1.17−$26$0
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0.1¢$1.17−$26$0
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0.1¢$1.17−$26$0
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0.1¢$1.17−$26$0
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0.1¢$1.17−$26$0
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,0001.1¢0.1¢$1.00−$22−$3.47
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No24.0k35.4¢0¢$0−$8,489$0
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico18.0k49¢0¢$0−$8,820$0
Will de Goes Rodrygo win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes15.0k3.9¢0¢$0−$591−$0.02
Will Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes15.0k3.9¢0¢$0−$591−$0.02
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No12.2k27.2¢0¢$0−$3,326−$0.25
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No12.0k11.2¢0¢$0−$1,340$0
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No11.5k60¢0¢$0−$6,888$0
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No10.7k13.8¢0¢$0−$1,478$0
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway8,00031.9¢0¢$0−$2,552$0
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?Yes5,00015¢0¢$0−$750+$45
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceNetherlands5,00058¢0¢$0−$2,900$0
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina5,00041.3¢0¢$0−$2,062$0
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No4,3251.2¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Dialogue for Hungary (Párbeszéd) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes4,0000¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes3,6781.1¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No3,00273.4¢0¢$0−$2,204−$18
Will England and Spain draw 2-2?Yes3,0005¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,87931.8¢0¢$0−$915−$16
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance2,77057.8¢0¢$0−$1,600$0
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No2,69135.6¢0¢$0−$959$0
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?No2,50021.5¢0¢$0−$537+$533
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0¢$0−$26+$3.72
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0¢$0−$26+$3.72
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0¢$0−$26+$3.72
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0¢$0−$26+$3.72
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0¢$0−$26+$3.72
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0¢$0−$26+$3.72
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0¢$0−$26+$3.72
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0¢$0−$26+$3.72
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0¢$0−$26+$3.72
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0¢$0−$26+$3.72
Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0¢$0−$26+$3.72
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,3311.1¢0¢$0−$26+$3.72
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-06?No2,0854.9¢0¢$0−$103+$1,393
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,04522.2¢0¢$0−$454+$12
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes2,0173.1¢0¢$0−$62−$0.01
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Tunisia2,0002.2¢0¢$0−$43+$2.33
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,00025¢0¢$0−$500$0
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Tunisia2,00057¢0¢$0−$1,140+$20
UEFA Women's Euro: England vs. Italy (To Advance) Italy 1,93425.1¢0¢$0−$486+$90
Germany vs. Curaçao: Second half draw?Yes1,92912¢0¢$0−$231+$1.90
Will Eric Cartman make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?No1,8970.1¢0¢$0−$1.90−$21
Spread: England (-1.5)Czechia1,72148.4¢0¢$0−$833$0
Will Lille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes1,5893.3¢0¢$0−$52$0
Maple Leafs vs. SenatorsSenators1,50049.3¢0¢$0−$739−$336
Curaçao to win the second half?Yes1,4203¢0¢$0−$43+$73
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,41227.3¢0¢$0−$386$0
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-05?No1,30416.5¢0¢$0−$215+$249
Will Club Brugge vs. Glasgow Rangers end in a draw?Yes1,20019¢0¢$0−$228+$1.47
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-30?No1,20060.2¢0¢$0−$722$0
Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes1,1874.1¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will Nice win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes1,1874.1¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Yes1,14642.8¢0¢$0−$490−$3.54
Will Viktoria Plzen win on 2025-08-12?No1,11143.6¢0¢$0−$485+$6.75
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?No1,00030¢0¢$0−$300$0
ELH: HC Kladno vs. PlzeňHC Kladno1,00050.4¢0¢$0−$504$0
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?No1,00050¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-08-27?No1,00047¢0¢$0−$470$0
Will Serbia win on 2025-09-06?No98724.2¢0¢$0−$239+$210
Will England win the UEFA Women's Euro?No95574.6¢0¢$0−$712$0
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No79521¢0¢$0−$167−$0.25
Will FC Zbrojovka Brno win on 2026-08-29?No78540¢0¢$0−$314$0
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-13?No77897¢0¢$0−$754−$94
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayern Munich (To Win The Cup) Stuttgart76824.6¢0¢$0−$189$0
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-09-07?Yes66611.6¢0¢$0−$77+$0.76

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Italy win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?98.1¢23$2269%76Sharp
SELL YesWill England vs. Czechia end in a draw?0.1¢959$0.9669%76Sharp
BUY YesWill England win on 2026-10-06?99.3¢8$7.9269%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Croatia vs. Spain end in a draw?14¢1,330$18669%76Sharp
BUY UnderEngland vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.551¢105$5469%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Belgium win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?95¢115$11069%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Belgium win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?94¢214$20269%76Sharp
BUY YesWill France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?85.3¢76$6569%76Sharp
BUY YesWill France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?80.8¢918$74269%76Sharp
SELL YesWill France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?19¢55$1169%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Germany win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?2.8¢133$3.7169%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Germany win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?94¢908$85369%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Spain win on 2026-10-03?99.1¢5,002$4,95769%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Czechia win on 2026-10-03?0.9¢2,000$1869%76Sharp
BUY YesWill England win on 2026-10-03?98¢2,500$2,44969%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Croatia win on 2026-10-03?99.5¢236$23469%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Croatia win on 2026-10-03?99.6¢932$92869%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0.1¢2,000$2.0069%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?77¢160$12369%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?52.9¢48$2569%76Sharp