sharpside
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Traders/Rank #9,277

VvVvV

0x4b2…f0d4
WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$9,354vol $3.10M
PnL 30d−$1,357gains $2,879 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$153win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate68.2%adj 67.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$25.7kcash n/a
Positions49 / 335open / all-time
Max drawdown−97.6%of equity peak
Account age3.2ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$9,598below peak −$9,191Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 68.2% · shrunk toward 50%68
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity2

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed+$7,004Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? · Yesclosed+$5,720Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$3,370Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Noclosed+$2,324Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed+$1,529

Worst markets

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$12.1kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yesclosed−$5,855Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford · Caneloclosed−$3,828Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? · Yesopen−$3,421US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · Carlos Alcarazopen−$3,315

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes15.0k84.5¢90.5¢$13.5k+$905$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No3,33389.7¢89.5¢$2,983−$7.13$0
No one announced as next James Bond?No2,08577.2¢76.3¢$1,591−$18+$8.65
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1,55093.7¢96.3¢$1,492+$40$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes2,00069¢69.5¢$1,390+$10$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes2,22270¢59.5¢$1,322−$233$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No66889.8¢96.7¢$646+$46$0
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?No44995¢97.6¢$438+$12$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,77564¢14.5¢$402−$1,374−$602
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No44656¢89.5¢$400+$150$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes3,70427¢6.4¢$235−$765$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No21692.8¢97¢$209+$9.05$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No15066.9¢96.7¢$145+$45$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No16461¢75¢$123+$23$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?No11488¢97.7¢$111+$11$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No10991.7¢97.2¢$106+$5.94$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No10793.5¢97.8¢$105+$4.55$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes12381¢80.5¢$99−$0.62$0
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?No10078.9¢89.5¢$90+$11+$105
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?No5492¢97.8¢$53+$3.15$0
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No5492¢97.5¢$53+$2.99$0
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No5493.3¢96.7¢$52+$1.84$0
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No5493.1¢92.5¢$50−$0.33$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,4914.2¢0.5¢$30−$199$0
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes2793¢99.1¢$27+$1.63$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?95.6¢724$69268%40
BUY NoNo one announced as next James Bond?72.9¢160$11668%40
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83¢2,754$2,28668%40
SELL NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?91¢1,408$1,28268%40
SELL NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?86¢2,532$2,17768%40
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?90¢1,686$1,51768%40
SELL NoNo one announced as next James Bond?80.9¢806$65268%40
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?38¢925$35168%40
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?38¢1,233$46968%40
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?79¢6,579$5,19768%40
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?97.7¢2,254$2,20368%40
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?90¢1,686$1,51768%40
SELL NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?99¢3,556$3,52068%40
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?76¢3,289$2,50068%40
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?76¢3,289$2,50068%40
BUY Taylor FritzUS Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco Cerundolo86¢645$55568%40
BUY NoWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?52¢2,885$1,50068%40
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?99.9¢1,999$1,99768%40
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?81¢123$10068%40
BUY YesAnother GTA VI trailer released by August 31?44¢568$25068%40