| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 16.0k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $12.8k | +$4,824 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9,875 | 45.2¢ | 85.7¢ | $8,458 | +$3,998 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 7,169 | 82.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $6,703 | +$804 | +$87 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 6,025 | 85.7¢ | 90.5¢ | $5,453 | +$292 | $0 | |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 6,684 | 77.6¢ | 80.5¢ | $5,380 | +$196 | −$67 | |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 6,589 | 72.4¢ | 75.5¢ | $4,975 | +$202 | +$96 | |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 5,313 | 84.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $4,861 | +$350 | +$109 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 4,687 | 94.5¢ | 96.8¢ | $4,535 | +$107 | $0 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 4,852 | 84.9¢ | 90¢ | $4,367 | +$249 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 3,537 | 97.2¢ | 99.9¢ | $3,532 | +$94 | +$53 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.0k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $3,176 | −$4,824 | $0 | |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 3,160 | 86.3¢ | 72.5¢ | $2,291 | −$437 | +$1.95 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 2,050 | 92¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,875 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,602 | 84.6¢ | 91¢ | $1,458 | +$103 | +$51 | |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5,479 | 19.6¢ | 21.5¢ | $1,178 | +$103 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,842 | 54¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,151 | +$157 | +$78 | |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | Yes | 1,111 | 92¢ | 98.1¢ | $1,090 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7,597 | 59.1¢ | 13.5¢ | $1,026 | −$3,462 | $0 | |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,902 | 1.5¢ | 14.2¢ | $980 | +$879 | +$33 | |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,463 | 1.2¢ | 14.5¢ | $934 | +$853 | $0 | |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 975 | 55.7¢ | 79.5¢ | $775 | +$232 | $0 | |
| Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1,865 | 37.8¢ | 38¢ | $709 | +$4.04 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 700 | 70¢ | 90.5¢ | $634 | +$144 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 840 | 68.3¢ | 71.5¢ | $601 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 907 | 55¢ | 57.9¢ | $525 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 8,651 | 2.2¢ | 5.9¢ | $510 | +$324 | $0 | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 555 | 87¢ | 87.3¢ | $484 | +$1.39 | $0 | |
| Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | 444 | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | $444 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 74.4¢ | 88.5¢ | $443 | +$71 | +$197 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7,120 | 4.8¢ | 5.9¢ | $420 | +$76 | $0 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? | No | 433 | 81.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $409 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 816 | 50¢ | 48.4¢ | $395 | −$12 | +$108 | |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,463 | 1.2¢ | 6.1¢ | $391 | +$310 | $0 | |
| Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,606 | 1.3¢ | 5.5¢ | $360 | +$273 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 425 | 67.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $355 | +$68 | +$2.00 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 555 | 50.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $347 | +$67 | +$53 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1,689 | 69.3¢ | 18.5¢ | $312 | −$858 | $0 | |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 319 | 85.3¢ | 89.5¢ | $285 | +$13 | +$9.26 | |
| Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,463 | 1.2¢ | 4.4¢ | $281 | +$201 | $0 | |
| Will UNHCR win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 8,084 | 1.1¢ | 2.9¢ | $230 | +$142 | +$19 | |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 14.7k | 1.7¢ | 1.6¢ | $229 | −$24 | +$6.77 | |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? | No | 222 | 90.6¢ | 93¢ | $206 | +$5.32 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 464 | 38.4¢ | 41.3¢ | $191 | +$13 | +$129 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | No | 201 | 92.3¢ | 95¢ | $191 | +$5.34 | $0 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,455 | 6¢ | 5.5¢ | $190 | −$17 | +$22 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 200 | 88.4¢ | 94.2¢ | $188 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 7,907 | 1.2¢ | 2.3¢ | $178 | +$82 | $0 | |
| Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,870 | 1.2¢ | 2.5¢ | $172 | +$89 | +$8.47 | |
| Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 8,903 | 1.1¢ | 1.9¢ | $169 | +$75 | +$1.59 | |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5,700 | 3.2¢ | 2.9¢ | $162 | −$20 | +$47 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 915 | 22.6¢ | 15.1¢ | $138 | −$69 | +$51 | |
| Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 8,015 | 1.2¢ | 1.7¢ | $136 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,463 | 1.2¢ | 2¢ | $129 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 150 | 85.5¢ | 80.8¢ | $121 | −$7.13 | $0 | |
| Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,463 | 1.2¢ | 1.9¢ | $120 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4,050 | 2.1¢ | 2.6¢ | $103 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 661 | 12.5¢ | 15.1¢ | $100 | +$17 | +$15 | |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 8,125 | 2.3¢ | 1.2¢ | $98 | −$89 | $0 | |
| Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,463 | 1.2¢ | 1.5¢ | $94 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Ilham Tohti win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,463 | 1.2¢ | 1.4¢ | $90 | +$9.97 | $0 | |
| Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 8,348 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | $88 | −$5.51 | $0 | |
| Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,463 | 1.2¢ | 1.3¢ | $84 | +$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,463 | 1.2¢ | 1.2¢ | $78 | −$2.96 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 80 | 88¢ | 96.8¢ | $77 | +$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 200 | 73¢ | 38.5¢ | $77 | −$69 | $0 | |
| Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 7,574 | 1.2¢ | 1¢ | $76 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,469 | 4¢ | 5.1¢ | $74 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? | No | 78 | 77¢ | 94¢ | $73 | +$13 | −$19 | |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 5,480 | 1.3¢ | 1.3¢ | $71 | −$0.42 | +$63 | |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5,052 | 0.5¢ | 1.4¢ | $68 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 355 | 13.3¢ | 17.7¢ | $63 | +$16 | +$85 | |
| Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,456 | 1.3¢ | 0.9¢ | $58 | −$27 | +$8.56 | |
| Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,463 | 1.2¢ | 0.9¢ | $55 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 57 | 79¢ | 94.5¢ | $54 | +$8.85 | +$16 | |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8,222 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $53 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1,611 | 2.6¢ | 3.1¢ | $49 | +$7.03 | $0 | |
| Will the Parents Circle – Families Forum win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,463 | 1.2¢ | 0.8¢ | $48 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5,196 | 0.7¢ | 0.9¢ | $47 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,302 | 1.4¢ | 1.3¢ | $41 | −$6.12 | $0 | |
| Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 39 | 98.4¢ | 99.9¢ | $39 | +$0.56 | +$3.92 | |
| Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 6,463 | 1.2¢ | 0.6¢ | $39 | −$42 | $0 | |
| Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? | No | 39 | 69¢ | 95.5¢ | $38 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Another Clacton by-election called in 2026? | No | 38 | 89¢ | 89.5¢ | $34 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 22.2k | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | $33 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 4,052 | 1.3¢ | 0.8¢ | $32 | −$21 | +$483 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 111 | 35¢ | 25.5¢ | $28 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,111 | 0.9¢ | 2.4¢ | $27 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 1,546 | 11.9¢ | 1.5¢ | $23 | −$161 | +$7.72 | |
| Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 8,685 | 1.1¢ | 0.3¢ | $22 | −$72 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 135 | 32.3¢ | 16¢ | $22 | −$22 | +$29 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 700 | 2.5¢ | 2.7¢ | $19 | +$0.95 | $0 | |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 11.1k | 0.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $17 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,111 | 1¢ | 1.3¢ | $14 | +$3.33 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1,158 | 0.8¢ | 1.2¢ | $14 | +$4.63 | $0 | |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,111 | 2.1¢ | 1.3¢ | $14 | −$9.44 | $0 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2,003 | 1.7¢ | 0.7¢ | $13 | −$22 | +$21 | |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 620 | 1¢ | 2.1¢ | $13 | +$6.43 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 150 | 10.9¢ | 7.4¢ | $11 | −$5.33 | $0 | |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,101 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | $11 | −$0.49 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | Yes | 11 | 93¢ | 95.5¢ | $11 | +$0.28 | $0 | |
