sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,542

JordanMooney

0x513…0e4f
PnL 10k+PoliticsOtherSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$20.6kvol $1.21M
PnL 30d+$369gains $7,190 · losses $6,196
PnL 7d−$10.0kwin rate 7d 33.7%
Win rate33.7%adj 34.3% · 30d 33.7%
Open value$29.3kcash n/a
Positions1,116 / 7,345open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.3%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$48.3kbelow peak −$32.4kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 33.7% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity60

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No19.8k50¢51.6¢$10.2k+$306−$94
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes19.8k50¢48.4¢$9,578−$306$0
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No70099.8¢99.9¢$699+$0.35−$120
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No70099.5¢99.7¢$698+$1.05−$6.23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No70197¢98.1¢$687+$7.71−$117
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No70091.8¢85.1¢$595−$47−$101
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No26183.8¢87.4¢$228+$9.20+$5.92
No one announced as next James Bond?No29465.2¢69.7¢$205+$13+$92
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?No20392.1¢95.3¢$193+$6.34+$4.28
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?No19892.1¢96.9¢$192+$9.56−$1.85
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No16487.4¢98.6¢$162+$18$0
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No25262.2¢62.6¢$158+$0.82+$365
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?No13474.3¢95.1¢$128+$28+$0.01
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?No13088¢97.5¢$127+$12+$0.01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No70012¢16.5¢$116+$32+$68
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?No8998.7¢98.6¢$88−$0.13−$20
Will AL be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?No7187.6¢97.4¢$69+$6.90$0
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?Yes17913.5¢38.5¢$69+$45+$13
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?No7292¢90.5¢$65−$1.09$0
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?No6691.7¢98.9¢$65+$4.71+$0.46
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.7¢99.9¢$64+$0.10$0
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.9¢100¢$64+$0.03$0
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.9¢100¢$64+$0.03$0
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.9¢100¢$64+$0.03−$0.76
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.9¢99.9¢$64−$0.03$0
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.9¢99.9¢$64−$0.03$0
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.8¢99.9¢$64+$0.03$0
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.8¢99.9¢$64+$0.03$0
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.8¢99.9¢$64+$0.03$0
Will Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6497.8¢99.6¢$64+$1.15$0
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.7¢99.8¢$64+$0.03$0
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?No6578.4¢98.4¢$64+$13+$0.46
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.9¢99.7¢$64−$0.13$0
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.3¢99.6¢$64+$0.16+$0.41
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.7¢99.5¢$64−$0.13$0
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.7¢99.5¢$64−$0.13−$0.14
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.7¢99.4¢$64−$0.19$0
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.2¢98.7¢$63−$0.35$0
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6499.8¢98.5¢$63−$0.86$0
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6496.3¢98.4¢$63+$1.31−$0.62
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6493.3¢98.3¢$63+$3.20+$8.15
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6465.4¢96.7¢$62+$20$0
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?No7175¢81.5¢$58+$4.61$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes782¢73.8¢$57+$56+$740
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6477.7¢86.5¢$55+$5.60+$0.79
Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?No7277¢75¢$54−$1.44$0
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?No5098.9¢97.4¢$49−$0.78−$1.42
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No5097.9¢97.3¢$49−$0.30−$0.57
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?No5092.9¢97.3¢$49+$2.20$0
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?No7164¢67.5¢$48+$2.48$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?No5094.4¢93.1¢$47−$0.70−$29
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?No5832¢72.5¢$42+$23$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?No5077¢80.5¢$40+$1.75$0
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?No4038¢99.7¢$40+$25$0
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?No4095.4¢98.9¢$40+$1.39−$0.66
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes1,3781.3¢2.9¢$39+$22+$8.35
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?No4694¢85.3¢$39−$3.95$0
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,5371¢2.4¢$37+$22+$1,146
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?No4578.9¢79.4¢$36+$0.23+$5.42
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes490¢65.3¢$32+$32$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No5058¢63¢$32+$2.50+$90
Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes3043.1¢9.8¢$30+$20$0
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes323.3¢89.5¢$29+$28$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No6450.7¢45¢$29−$3.65+$24
Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No2899.9¢99.9¢$28−$0.01−$0.06
Will ACT New Zealand win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No2899.9¢99.9¢$28−$0.01−$0.06
Will Te Pāti Māori win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No2899.8¢99.9¢$28+$0.01−$0.06
Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No2899.7¢99.4¢$28−$0.08−$0.06
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?No3065.2¢90.3¢$27+$7.51−$5.51
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17?No2742¢97.4¢$26+$15−$7.79
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?No2664.9¢100¢$26+$9.19$0
Will The Black Ball win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?No4044.9¢64.4¢$26+$7.80$0
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?No2596.5¢97.9¢$24+$0.34−$2.73
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?No2598¢97.8¢$24−$0.05−$12
Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?Yes2570.2¢97.4¢$24+$6.80$0
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?No2558.1¢97.4¢$24+$9.81+$6.91
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No2598¢97.2¢$24−$0.20−$12
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?No2496¢100¢$24+$0.95$0
Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 Action of the Year?No2398.6¢99.4¢$23+$0.17−$0.08
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 Action of the Year?No2398.6¢99.4¢$23+$0.19−$0.08
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No6488.1¢34.8¢$22−$34$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?No2589.5¢88.4¢$22−$0.26−$29
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?No2572¢87¢$22+$3.74$0
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?No2579.5¢86.9¢$22+$1.84$0
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 Action of the Year?No2398.8¢95.5¢$22−$0.75−$0.09
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No2294¢97.4¢$22+$0.74+$2.31
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3,0701¢0.7¢$21−$9.99+$479
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No2294.7¢97.3¢$21+$0.57+$1.90
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?No2468¢86¢$21+$4.32$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No2584¢82.5¢$21−$0.37−$20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?No2185¢99.3¢$21+$2.96$0
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?No2571.8¢81.4¢$20+$2.40$0
Will "Iceman - Drake" be the top album for 2026?No2196¢99.2¢$20+$0.65+$0.07
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?No2097.9¢99.6¢$20+$0.34−$0.88
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the top album for 2026?No2110¢96.7¢$20+$18+$3.15
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No2287¢90¢$20+$0.66+$6.84
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No2571.8¢77¢$19+$1.30−$20
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?No2074.9¢96.8¢$19+$4.38$0
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?No2094¢96¢$19+$0.40$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No2560¢76.5¢$19+$4.12−$8.40

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?97.6¢25$2434%54
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?97.6¢25$2434%54
BUY NoWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?99¢25$2534%54
BUY NoWill OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?81¢13$1134%54
BUY NoWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026?27¢12$3.3634%54
BUY NoWill Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?13¢37$4.7534%54
BUY NoWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?20¢53$1134%54
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?83.8¢703$58934%54
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?83.8¢50$4234%54
BUY NoWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?20¢774$15534%54
BUY NoWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?90¢12$1134%54
BUY NoWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?94.8¢12$1134%54
BUY NoWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?78¢12$9.1834%54
BUY NoWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?78¢12$9.1834%54
BUY NoWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?90.9¢12$1134%54
BUY NoWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?96.8¢12$1134%54
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?98.8¢10$1034%54
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?38¢10$3.8534%54
BUY NoWill the #1 global Netflix show have less than 6 million views this week?99.7¢15$1534%54
BUY NoWill the #1 global Netflix show have between 15 and 18 million views this week?99¢15$1534%54