| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2,500 | 91.2¢ | 87.6¢ | $2,189 | −$91 | +$0.20 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1,000 | 82¢ | 82.5¢ | $825 | +$4.97 | +$48 | |
| GTA VI released by November 30? | Yes | 515 | 95.3¢ | 95.8¢ | $493 | +$2.10 | $0 | |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | No | 500 | 95.2¢ | 94.4¢ | $472 | −$4.25 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 500 | 91¢ | 90.5¢ | $453 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 400 | 81.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $374 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 500 | 61.2¢ | 62.3¢ | $311 | +$5.35 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 300 | 78¢ | 95.5¢ | $287 | +$53 | +$4.00 | |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 300 | 87¢ | 93.5¢ | $281 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 400 | 87.5¢ | 67¢ | $268 | −$82 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 300 | 30.6¢ | 86.5¢ | $259 | +$167 | +$278 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 600 | 40.4¢ | 35.5¢ | $213 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 350 | 57.7¢ | 60¢ | $210 | +$8.10 | −$47 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 233 | 86¢ | 85.5¢ | $199 | −$1.16 | +$6.00 | |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 98¢ | 98.8¢ | $198 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 300 | 65.3¢ | 58.5¢ | $175 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 86¢ | 85.5¢ | $171 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 223 | 70.4¢ | 74.5¢ | $166 | +$9.18 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | Yes | 210 | 64.9¢ | 71.5¢ | $150 | +$14 | $0 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 200 | 70.5¢ | 73.6¢ | $147 | +$6.20 | $0 | |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? | No | 153 | 82.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $143 | +$17 | +$25 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 300 | 42.2¢ | 43.2¢ | $129 | +$2.85 | −$18 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 400 | 32.5¢ | 28.5¢ | $114 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 300 | 36.3¢ | 36.5¢ | $110 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 402 | 21.4¢ | 25.5¢ | $102 | +$16 | −$23 | |
| Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | No | 100 | 74.5¢ | 99.2¢ | $99 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 500 | 22¢ | 19.5¢ | $98 | −$13 | +$135 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 100 | 97.5¢ | 97.5¢ | $97 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | 17¢ | 15.5¢ | $93 | −$9.00 | $0 | |
| 2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête? | Zemmour | 106 | 72.2¢ | 85¢ | $90 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 300 | 29.5¢ | 29.4¢ | $88 | −$0.35 | $0 | |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 468 | 11¢ | 17¢ | $80 | +$28 | +$64 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | No | 100 | 75¢ | 79¢ | $79 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 800 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | $76 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | No | 600 | 11.6¢ | 11.2¢ | $67 | −$2.70 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5,100 | 1.8¢ | 1.3¢ | $64 | −$29 | −$9.90 | |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 46¢ | 58¢ | $58 | +$12 | $0 | |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 7.3¢ | 4.7¢ | $47 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 261 | 15¢ | 15.5¢ | $40 | +$1.30 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | Yes | 100 | 37.3¢ | 33.3¢ | $33 | −$4.05 | $0 | |
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | Yes | 48 | 78¢ | 69.5¢ | $33 | −$4.04 | −$0.22 | |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 300 | 12¢ | 10¢ | $30 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 282 | 12.8¢ | 10.5¢ | $30 | −$6.59 | $0 | |
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 1,003 | 7.8¢ | 2.2¢ | $22 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? | Yes | 67 | 15¢ | 28.5¢ | $19 | +$9.08 | −$28 | |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 231 | 22.1¢ | 8¢ | $18 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 300 | 1.1¢ | 5.7¢ | $17 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by October 31? | No | 15 | 97.9¢ | 98.5¢ | $14 | +$0.08 | $0 | |
| Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31? | No | 15 | 91.5¢ | 97¢ | $14 | +$0.79 | +$0.46 | |
| Will Chuck Norris rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026? | Yes | 20 | 37¢ | 68.5¢ | $14 | +$6.30 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 4.2¢ | 3.9¢ | $12 | −$1.05 | $0 | |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? | Yes | 16 | 40.2¢ | 59.5¢ | $9.26 | +$3.00 | +$72 | |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | −$12 | |
| Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 896 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.97 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 800 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.80 | $0 | |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31? | Yes | 559 | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$69 | −$21 | |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | No | 500 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | −$0.52 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 450 | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | +$57 | |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 10 and 29 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon? | Yes | 400 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.20 | $0 | |
| Indiana lions in custody by August 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET? | Yes | 400 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | Yes | 400 | 33.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$134 | +$67 | |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long? | No | 400 | 35.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$141 | −$0.91 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 336 | 13.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44 | +$29 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | Yes | 300 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | Yes | 300 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.20 | +$0.04 | |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a cactus? | Yes | 200 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.00 | $0 | |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7? | Yes | 200 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 200 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 200 | 94.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$189 | $0 | |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | No | 200 | 23.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$47 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June? | Yes | 200 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 200 | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.40 | $0 | |
| Did a propellant leak cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? | Yes | 200 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Yes | 200 | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$96 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | Yes | 169 | 24.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | Yes | 155 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call? | Yes | 150 | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 150 | 52.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$79 | $0 | |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | Yes | 111 | 69¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$77 | $0 | |
| Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on July 24? | Yes | 110 | 29.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | −$0.63 | |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? | Yes | 100 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.64 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480? | No | 100 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | −$137 | |
| Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths? | Kai | 100 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 100 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a pillager? | Yes | 100 | 39¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$39 | $0 | |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | No | 100 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Elon post "Deport" or "Deported" on X this week? | Yes | 100 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m? | No | 81 | 30.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | −$0.34 | |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | England | 80 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | −$0.14 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 80 | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | Brazil | 69 | 70.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$49 | −$0.30 | |
| SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans? | No | 51 | 63¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | −$0.47 | |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17? | Yes | 50 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 50 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | No | 50 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will it rain in Chicago, IL on August 28? | Yes | 44 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.73 | +$2.23 | |
| Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan? | No | 42 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | $0 | |
