sharpside
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Traders/Rank #740

pup1

0x54b…4b31
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$270kvol $59.3M
PnL 30d−$93.7kgains $96.4k · losses $128k
PnL 7d+$26.3kwin rate 7d 36.8%
Win rate37.4%adj 37.9% · 30d 36.7%
Open value$139kcash n/a
Positions31 / 4,811open / all-time
Max drawdown−48.3%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$258kbelow peak −$66.2kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale78
Adjusted win rateraw 37.4% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity52

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No75.0k66¢63.5¢$47.6k−$1,899−$45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No30.0k72.9¢86.5¢$26.0k+$4,094+$10.3k
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No30.0k64.1¢62.5¢$18.7k−$465+$3.57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes20.0k35.4¢84.5¢$16.9k+$9,827+$11.1k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No8,00087¢89.5¢$7,160+$200$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No10.0k42¢44.5¢$4,450+$250−$0.01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes20.0k22.7¢18.5¢$3,700−$849−$3,144
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No5,00053.3¢60¢$2,998+$334+$69
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes9,49526.5¢26¢$2,469−$52−$222
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes15.0k14.8¢14.5¢$2,175−$50−$1.87
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes8,00030.6¢20.5¢$1,640−$806−$74
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5,00023¢25.5¢$1,275+$125+$1,502
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes3,00031.6¢27.5¢$825−$124−$6,756
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes2,00042.2¢37.3¢$745−$99$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes1,00045¢51.5¢$515+$65$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes1,00051.4¢37.5¢$375−$139−$114
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2,93211¢11.5¢$337+$15$0
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes3,00012¢10¢$300−$60−$32
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes2,00060.2¢11¢$220−$984−$15
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes2,00016.9¢9.5¢$190−$148−$173
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No31254¢57¢$178+$9.36$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5,0322.8¢3.2¢$159+$16$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00012¢14.5¢$145+$25−$20
No one announced as next James Bond?No14673.4¢80.7¢$118+$11$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes2,00024.2¢5¢$100−$385−$25
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No10084.5¢53.5¢$54−$31−$18
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Yes50042¢5¢$25−$185$0
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,0001.4¢2.4¢$24+$9.26+$7.52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes329.8¢69.7¢$22+$19$0
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2,6861.4¢0.3¢$8.06−$30−$2.05
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3,0001.4¢0.1¢$1.50−$41$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?25.5¢1,039$26537%54
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?23.2¢2,291$53237%54
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?19.4¢1,250$24337%54
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?16.1¢649$10437%54
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?16.6¢1,351$22437%54
SELL NoWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?95¢2,844$2,70237%54
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?28.1¢526$14837%54
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?28.9¢1,000$28937%54
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?37.4¢2,189$81937%54
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?16.6¢1,650$27437%54
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?16¢6,251$1,00137%54
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?31.3¢41$1337%54
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?31.3¢20$6.3937%54
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?35.2¢660$23237%54
SELL YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?41.6¢470$19537%54
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?60.8¢5,373$3,26737%54
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?62.7¢1,742$1,09337%54
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?59¢3,504$2,06737%54
SELL NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?64¢958$61337%54
SELL NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?64¢356$22837%54