| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 162k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $130k | +$48.8k | −$16 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 162k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $32.2k | −$48.8k | $0 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 | Under | 20.2k | 0.1¢ | 100¢ | $20.2k | +$20.1k | −$1.01 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 | Under | 4,928 | 1¢ | 100¢ | $4,928 | +$4,879 | −$2.44 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 134 | 61.4¢ | 85.7¢ | $115 | +$32 | +$1,553 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 125 | 83.4¢ | 80.5¢ | $101 | −$3.63 | −$42 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 100 | 97.2¢ | 98.6¢ | $99 | +$1.35 | −$70 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 100 | 98.6¢ | 97.1¢ | $97 | −$1.55 | −$44 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 100 | 97.5¢ | 97¢ | $97 | −$0.50 | −$46 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 100 | 94.6¢ | 92.1¢ | $92 | −$2.48 | −$57 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 100 | 72.5¢ | 75.5¢ | $76 | +$3.00 | −$26 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 75 | 98¢ | 97.5¢ | $73 | −$0.41 | −$48 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 75 | 97¢ | 97.4¢ | $73 | +$0.28 | −$55 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 75 | 97.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $73 | −$0.41 | −$0.34 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 75 | 86.7¢ | 87.2¢ | $66 | +$0.40 | −$60 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 75 | 70.5¢ | 71.8¢ | $54 | +$0.95 | −$50 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 50 | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | $49 | +$0.13 | −$100 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 50 | 97.1¢ | 97.8¢ | $49 | +$0.32 | −$236 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 75 | 51¢ | 60¢ | $45 | +$6.75 | +$29 | |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m? | No | 50 | 93¢ | 89.5¢ | $45 | −$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 41 | 99.4¢ | 99.6¢ | $41 | +$0.07 | $0 | |
| Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 41 | 98.3¢ | 98.8¢ | $41 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 41 | 98¢ | 98.5¢ | $40 | +$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 41 | 91.4¢ | 96¢ | $39 | +$1.85 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 8? | No | 38 | 42¢ | 100¢ | $38 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 8? | No | 38 | 58¢ | 100¢ | $38 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? | No | 50 | 79¢ | 74¢ | $37 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 75 | 51¢ | 49¢ | $37 | −$1.50 | +$43 | |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 40 | 80.5¢ | 89.9¢ | $36 | +$3.74 | $0 | |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m? | No | 50 | 57¢ | 69.5¢ | $35 | +$6.25 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 9? | No | 50 | 75¢ | 69¢ | $35 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m? | No | 50 | 70¢ | 68.5¢ | $34 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 41 | 83.5¢ | 83¢ | $34 | −$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $788,000 and $809,000 on December 31? | No | 40 | 96.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $34 | −$4.68 | $0 | |
| Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 41 | 76.9¢ | 81¢ | $33 | +$1.69 | $0 | |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 37 | 74.4¢ | 90¢ | $33 | +$5.71 | +$14 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 50 | 53.6¢ | 60.7¢ | $30 | +$3.54 | −$135 | |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 29 | 98.3¢ | 96.3¢ | $28 | −$0.58 | $0 | |
| Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 41 | 77.9¢ | 61.5¢ | $25 | −$6.73 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 25 | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | $25 | +$0.11 | −$53 | |
| Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 25 | 98.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $25 | +$0.26 | $0 | |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 25 | 95.5¢ | 98.7¢ | $25 | +$0.79 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 25 | 94.7¢ | 98.2¢ | $25 | +$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 25 | 97.9¢ | 97.4¢ | $24 | −$0.13 | −$158 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 25 | 85¢ | 97.4¢ | $24 | +$3.09 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 25 | 98¢ | 97.2¢ | $24 | −$0.21 | −$75 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 25 | 84.1¢ | 96.1¢ | $24 | +$2.99 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 25 | 3.4¢ | 94.5¢ | $24 | +$23 | +$12 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 51 | 52.5¢ | 46.3¢ | $23 | −$3.13 | +$17 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 55 | 0.6¢ | 39.4¢ | $22 | +$21 | +$310 | |
| Will Pedro Pascal win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 21 | 99.2¢ | 99.9¢ | $21 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 21 | 99.6¢ | 99.9¢ | $21 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 21 | 99.7¢ | 99.9¢ | $21 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 21 | 99.7¢ | 99.9¢ | $21 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 50 | 4¢ | 41.9¢ | $21 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Sam Rockwell win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 21 | 98.1¢ | 99.7¢ | $21 | +$0.34 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 26 | 74.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $21 | +$1.79 | +$18 | |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 99.2¢ | 99.9¢ | $20 | +$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $20 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $20 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | No | 25 | 84¢ | 79.4¢ | $20 | −$1.16 | $0 | |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 97¢ | 99.8¢ | $20 | +$0.54 | $0 | |
| Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | 99.5¢ | $20 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 86.8¢ | 99.4¢ | $20 | +$2.52 | $0 | |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 96.5¢ | 99.4¢ | $20 | +$0.57 | $0 | |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 99.3¢ | 99.3¢ | $20 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | 99.2¢ | $20 | −$0.11 | $0 | |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 97.6¢ | 99¢ | $20 | +$0.29 | $0 | |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 97.3¢ | 98.8¢ | $20 | +$0.31 | $0 | |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 96.7¢ | 98.4¢ | $20 | +$0.35 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 25 | 73.3¢ | 77.5¢ | $20 | +$1.06 | +$11 | |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 97.4¢ | 97.9¢ | $20 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 22 | 73¢ | 87¢ | $20 | +$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 96.1¢ | 97¢ | $19 | +$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 134 | 36.1¢ | 14.4¢ | $19 | −$29 | −$310 | |
| Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 20 | 91.3¢ | 95.8¢ | $19 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 25 | 87¢ | 76.4¢ | $19 | −$2.64 | $0 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 90.7¢ | 87.5¢ | $18 | −$0.64 | $0 | |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 96.9¢ | 87.3¢ | $17 | −$1.94 | $0 | |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 65.6¢ | 78.5¢ | $16 | +$2.58 | $0 | |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 24 | 40.1¢ | 63.1¢ | $15 | +$5.61 | −$4.42 | |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | Yes | 50 | 0.9¢ | 30.5¢ | $15 | +$15 | +$43 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 17 | 81¢ | 90¢ | $15 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 5¢ | 14.8¢ | $15 | +$9.81 | $0 | |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? | No | 20 | 51¢ | 67¢ | $13 | +$3.20 | $0 | |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 25 | 56¢ | 51.5¢ | $13 | −$1.13 | −$3.98 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 5¢ | 25.3¢ | $13 | +$10 | +$23 | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 25 | 43¢ | 47.5¢ | $12 | +$1.12 | +$0.75 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | 81.7¢ | 57.8¢ | $12 | −$4.80 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 5¢ | 23.2¢ | $12 | +$9.07 | +$23 | |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 20 | 1¢ | 55.5¢ | $11 | +$11 | +$59 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 50 | 2.1¢ | 21.4¢ | $11 | +$9.68 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 5¢ | 21.3¢ | $11 | +$8.11 | +$23 | |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | 25 | 65.8¢ | 41.8¢ | $10 | −$6.01 | $0 | |