sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,497

Havala

0x5e5…b63b
1y+CryptoPoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$28vol $17.8k
PnL 30d−$4.30gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$4.30win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.6%adj 51.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,619cash n/a
Positions16 / 48open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.5%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 21h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$32below peak −$21Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 51.6% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Downclosed+$1,000Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30? · Yesclosed+$1,000Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025? · Yesclosed+$6.14Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yesclosed+$1.37Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Noclosed+$1.21

Worst markets

Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Upclosed−$1,000Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30? · Noclosed−$1,000Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? · Noclosed−$16Solana flips ETH in daily fees in July? · Noclosed−$6.16Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yesclosed−$5.00

Open positions · 16

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,32599.8¢99.8¢$2,319−$1.16−$0.01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No10099.6¢100¢$100+$0.40−$0.02
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?No10199.1¢98.8¢$100−$0.30$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?No4299.8¢99.9¢$42+$0.02$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1096.7¢96.9¢$10+$0.02$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1097.7¢97.8¢$10+$0.01$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1099¢99¢$9.99−$0.01$0
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No1099.6¢91.6¢$9.20−$0.80$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown598¢100¢$5.10+$0.10−$0.01
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?Yes481¢91¢$3.37+$0.37$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No396.4¢85.7¢$2.67−$0.33$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No477¢65.7¢$2.56−$0.44$0
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?No390.5¢76.1¢$2.52−$0.48$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?Yes387¢64¢$2.21−$0.79$0
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?No256¢24¢$0.43−$0.57$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp275.7¢0¢$0−$1.80$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9?99.8¢42$4252%35
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?99.8¢2,405$2,40052%35
BUY NoWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?99¢10$1052%35
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?96.7¢10$1052%35
BUY NoWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?97.7¢10$1052%35
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?56¢2$1.0052%35
BUY NoWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?99.1¢101$10052%35
BUY YesWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?87¢3$3.0052%35
BUY YesWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?81¢4$3.0052%35
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?77¢4$3.0052%35
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?90.5¢3$3.0052%35
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?99.6¢10$1052%35
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?96.4¢3$3.0052%35
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET98¢5$5.0052%35
BUY NoWill Kataller Toyama vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki end in a draw?77¢3$2.0052%35
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?99.6¢100$10052%35
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET75¢2$1.7752%35
BUY NoUS strike on Cuba by March 31?99.2¢48$4852%35
SELL YesWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?99.6¢25$2552%35
SELL NoWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?99.9¢299$29952%35