sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,174

akimbogod

0x605…c27c
WhalePnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$28.8kvol $1.07M
PnL 30d+$8,123gains $17.0k · losses $140
PnL 7d+$422win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate71.2%adj 68.4% · 30d 77.8%
Open value$67.5kcash n/a
Positions38 / 171open / all-time
Max drawdown−46.6%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 7d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$36.5kbelow peak −$367Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 71.2% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d75
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity53

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 38

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes30.1k77.7¢95.6¢$28.8k+$5,366+$2,448
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No15.1k96.1¢97.7¢$14.7k+$238+$306
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No5,50798.2¢98.9¢$5,444+$37$0
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes8,51848.4¢56.6¢$4,817+$690−$1.59
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes3,70678.2¢77¢$2,854−$43$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No2,81092.7¢98.2¢$2,759+$154$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No3,77855.9¢56.5¢$2,134+$24$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes2,60079.7¢77¢$2,002−$71$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes1,29962.6¢69¢$896+$83$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes1,18757.2¢68.7¢$816+$137$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes2,96835.8¢18.3¢$543−$519$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?No50097.4¢98.2¢$491+$3.85$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No50083.4¢91¢$455+$38$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?No25097.5¢97.2¢$243−$0.71$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?No20087.6¢92.3¢$185+$9.43$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No20947.7¢61.5¢$129+$29$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?No9847¢99.2¢$97+$51$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?No5695.8¢98.3¢$55+$1.39$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?No2192.5¢98.5¢$20+$1.24$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes4009.6¢2.8¢$11−$27$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No1082¢97.6¢$9.76+$1.55$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?No897¢98.6¢$7.81+$0.12$0
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes205¢3.8¢$0.75−$0.25$0
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No300k0.3¢0¢$0−$869$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No16.5k42.4¢0¢$0−$7,021$0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes7,60018.3¢0¢$0−$1,392$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes1,70020.9¢0¢$0−$356$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Yes1,70015¢0¢$0−$255$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes1,29435.1¢0¢$0−$454$0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes1,00027¢0¢$0−$270+$1,515
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes50064¢0¢$0−$320$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes40992¢0¢$0−$376−$150
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes3330.8¢0¢$0−$2.66$0
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes20036¢0¢$0−$72$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?No10021¢0¢$0−$21−$0.31
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor3429¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.35
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceAustralia2442¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Yes1564¢0¢$0−$9.60$0

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?80¢208$16771%63
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?79.7¢2,600$2,07371%63
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?68¢40$2771%63
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?98.2¢5,300$5,20571%63
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?65¢659$42871%63
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?48¢3,000$1,44071%63
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?48¢3,000$1,44071%63
SELL YesTrump renames AI by September 30?43.8¢6,600$2,89071%63
BUY YesTrump renames AI by September 30?32.6¢3,756$1,22671%63
BUY YesTrump renames AI by September 30?27.4¢1,800$49271%63
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?77.9¢3,172$2,47171%63
BUY NoWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?97.5¢250$24471%63
BUY NoWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?97.4¢500$48771%63
BUY NoWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?55¢2,659$1,46271%63
BUY NoWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?46.6¢500$23371%63
BUY YesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?60¢906$54371%63
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?47.2¢750$35471%63
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?47¢1,150$54071%63
SELL YesWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?62¢153$9571%63
SELL YesWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?62¢1,275$79171%63