sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,261

0x652…2006

0x652…2006
<7d old<14d old<30d oldPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$78vol $221
PnL 30d+$26.4kgains $3,136 · losses $4,607
PnL 7d−$604win rate 7d 47.4%
Win rate47.4%adj 48.7% · 30d 47.4%
Open value$5,625cash n/a
Positions50 / 71open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.8%of equity peak
Account age6dlast trade 6d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$22below peak −$18Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 47.4% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d77
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,900Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27? · Yesopen+$2,144Clavicular charges dropped by October 31? · Noopen+$739Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28? · Yesopen+$498Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 30? · Yesopen+$338

Worst markets

Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$2,962Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27? · Noclosed−$1,005Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 19? · Yesclosed−$247Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yesopen−$176Israel military action against Lebanon on October 2? · Noclosed−$152

Open positions · 50

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Clavicular charges dropped by October 31?No2,36261.5¢93.1¢$2,198+$745−$6.34
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?Yes1,92936.6¢75.5¢$1,457+$750+$1,394
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28?Yes85320.6¢79¢$674+$498$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 30?Yes90523.3¢60.7¢$549+$338$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?No2,87820.7¢15.5¢$446−$149$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23?No10017¢43.5¢$44+$27$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20?No6817.4¢50.9¢$35+$23+$5.19
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes8,5212.4¢0.4¢$30−$176$0
Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by September 30?No3689.6¢81¢$29−$3.09$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?No7329¢39¢$28+$7.29$0
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes3,2880.2¢0.6¢$20+$13$0
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Yes5,7410.2¢0.3¢$14+$2.87$0
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?Yes3,3610.2¢0.4¢$13+$6.72$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?No4015¢33.5¢$13+$7.40$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes301.1¢39.4¢$12+$11$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes201.1¢53.1¢$11+$10$0
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Yes7,0080.2¢0.2¢$11−$3.50$0
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Yes7440.2¢1.1¢$7.81+$6.32$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Yes4486.9¢17¢$7.47−$31$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26?No4019¢17¢$6.80−$0.80$0
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?Yes3088.7¢21.5¢$6.45−$20$0
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?Yes2772.8¢14¢$3.71−$16$0
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?Yes4890.2¢0.5¢$2.20+$1.22$0
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?Yes3450.1¢0.5¢$1.55+$1.21$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 25?Yes267¢68.5¢$1.30+$0.03$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes266¢63.5¢$0.96−$0.04$0
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?Yes1230.2¢0.8¢$0.93+$0.68$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes201.1¢3.5¢$0.69+$0.47$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes501.1¢1.1¢$0.53−$0.04$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes201.1¢2.4¢$0.47+$0.25$0
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes75.3¢4.6¢$0.33−$0.05$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes301.1¢0.5¢$0.17−$0.17$0
Will Dinorah Figuera be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes102.3¢1.7¢$0.17−$0.07$0
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes301.1¢0.5¢$0.14−$0.20$0
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No2018¢0.5¢$0.11−$3.49$0
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes501.1¢0.2¢$0.07−$0.49$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes201.1¢0.4¢$0.07−$0.15$0
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes108.3¢0.7¢$0.07−$0.76$0
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes201.1¢0.2¢$0.03−$0.19$0
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes501.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$0.54$0
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes301.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.32$0
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes301.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.32$0
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes301.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.32$0
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes301.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.32$0
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes301.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.32$0
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes301.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.32$0
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes201.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.21$0
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes201.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.21$0
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes30.2¢0.3¢$0.01$0$0
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes103.4¢0.1¢$0.01−$0.34$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 3?13¢29$3.7747%21
BUY YesIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 6?72.8¢27$1947%21
BUY YesIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 4?77¢165$12747%21