sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Ym777Ym

0x66c…532d
PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,817vol $46.7k
PnL 30d−$817gains $135 · losses $929
PnL 7d−$223win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.0%adj 52.5% · 30d 45.5%
Open value$16.2kcash n/a
Positions24 / 44open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 12d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,335below peak −$2,735Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

16/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 55.0% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d59
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No2,20091¢97.2¢$2,138+$136$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No2,20095.7¢97.2¢$2,137+$32$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No2,20092¢97.2¢$2,137+$113$0
US recession by end of 2026?No2,20091.9¢93.5¢$2,057+$36$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes1,80081.3¢70.5¢$1,269−$194$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No1,00093.7¢96¢$960+$23$0
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No90088.6¢93.5¢$842+$44$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?No75091¢91.5¢$686+$3.75$0
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?No58984.8¢93¢$548+$48$0
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No55093¢95.5¢$525+$14$0
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes55042¢88.5¢$487+$256$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes50086.6¢95.7¢$479+$46$0
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No50093¢94¢$470+$5.00$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No50084¢86¢$430+$10$0
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No50066.4¢67¢$335+$3.11$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes50061¢58¢$290−$15$0
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No30082¢69.5¢$209−$38$0
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes55036¢10.5¢$58−$140$0
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?No7682¢70.5¢$54−$8.73$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1,0006.4¢3.9¢$39−$26$0
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes5507.3¢1.8¢$9.63−$31$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes1,16789.8¢0¢$0−$1,047−$4.28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes90069.8¢0¢$0−$628−$117
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase August 25-31?No2579.2¢0¢$0−$20−$0.29

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesAnthropic IPO before 2027?84¢845$71055%16
SELL NoNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?74¢1,000$74055%16
BUY YesAnthropic IPO before 2027?83¢400$33255%16
SELL NoWill Russia invade another country in 2026?93¢350$32655%16
BUY NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?91¢750$68355%16
SELL YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?78¢400$31255%16
SELL YesWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?6¢500$3055%16
SELL NoWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?99¢350$34755%16
BUY YesWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?91.5¢170$15655%16
BUY YesWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?89.5¢997$89255%16
SELL YesWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?37.1¢400$14855%16
SELL NoWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?75¢122$9255%16
BUY NoWill Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?93¢300$27955%16
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?93¢400$37255%16
SELL YesWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?99.4¢600$59655%16
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?92.8¢600$55755%16
BUY YesAnthropic IPO before 2027?75.9¢555$42155%16
SELL NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?94.5¢900$85155%16
SELL YesWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?38¢500$19055%16
BUY NoUS recession by end of 2026?86¢200$17255%16