PnL all-time+$107vol $4,307
PnL 30d+$12gains $9.72 · losses $11
PnL 7d−$2.91win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate76.2%adj 63.4% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$573cash n/a
Positions13 / 34open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.6%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 5h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$130below peak −$8.76Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 76.2% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July? · Yesclosed+$49Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31? · Yesclosed+$44Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? · Noclosed+$40Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31? · Noclosed+$31Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30? · Noclosed+$29
Worst markets
Open positions · 13
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 204 | 95.8¢ | 97¢ | $198 | +$2.45 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 160 | 83¢ | 83.5¢ | $134 | +$0.80 | $0 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 128 | 82¢ | 93.5¢ | $120 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 70 | 92¢ | 94.5¢ | $66 | +$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 60 | 90¢ | 92.5¢ | $56 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by September 30? | Yes | 220 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31? | Yes | 80 | 32¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | −$3.60 | |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by July 31? | No | 60 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in August? | Yes | 60 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Russia announces air truce by August 31? | Yes | 50 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September? | Yes | 46 | 65¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? | Yes | 30 | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025? | Yes | 20 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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