sharpside
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Traders/Rank #120

Dropper

0x6ba…1292@DropperPM
SharpWhalePnL 1M+PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCultureCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1.47Mvol $52.3M
PnL 30d+$23.0kgains $50.6k · losses $4,307
PnL 7d−$16.7kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate61.4%adj 61.0% · 30d 94.1%
Open value$245kcash n/a
Positions32 / 1,725open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.0%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1.48Mbelow peak −$26.9kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale88
Adjusted win rateraw 61.4% · shrunk toward 50%53
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 32

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No115k77.9¢83.5¢$96.1k+$6,489−$9,712
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No44.4k91.3¢98.2¢$43.6k+$3,056$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No30.0k50¢80.2¢$24.0k+$9,045$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No25.2k63.8¢60¢$15.1k−$983$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No22.2k71¢63.5¢$14.1k−$1,667$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No13.6k83¢95¢$12.9k+$1,623$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No11.1k87¢90¢$10,000+$333$0
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No10,00087¢97.5¢$9,750+$1,050$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.0k50¢19.9¢$5,955−$9,045$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No4,11394¢96.9¢$3,983+$117$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes14.6k26.8¢21.8¢$3,185−$734$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes22.1k41¢13.5¢$2,982−$6,085$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes15.7k24¢16.5¢$2,595−$1,179+$9,607
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes11.2k4¢5.1¢$566+$118$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes22228¢5.5¢$12−$50$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes18810¢2.3¢$4.23−$15+$3,002
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k3.1¢0¢$0−$3,100$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes97.1k13.7¢0¢$0−$13.3k+$1,457
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes85.5k5.5¢0¢$0−$4,690−$39
49ers vs. RaidersRaiders45.4k57.5¢0¢$0−$26.1k−$551
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes41.9k9¢0¢$0−$3,767+$544
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes36.6k7.8¢0¢$0−$2,858−$30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes23.5k9.8¢0¢$0−$2,309$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes21.2k70¢0¢$0−$14.8k−$223
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes17.8k72.6¢0¢$0−$12.9k$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No14.9k36¢0¢$0−$5,367−$168
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes11.1k64¢0¢$0−$7,111$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No9,46033¢0¢$0−$3,122+$182
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes5,19552¢0¢$0−$2,701$0
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes3,50013¢0¢$0−$455+$834
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes84018.5¢0¢$0−$156−$6.33
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes7439.9¢0¢$0−$29−$0.34

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?26.8¢14.6k$3,92061%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?39.7¢35$1461%79Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?85¢7,831$6,65761%79Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?95.5¢10.0k$9,58861%79Sharp
BUY YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?4¢10.8k$43261%79Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?99.8¢17.2k$17.2k61%79WhaleSharp
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?83¢1,339$1,11261%79Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?98.6¢8,004$7,89561%79Sharp
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?83¢9,670$8,02661%79Sharp
BUY YesUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?97¢13.9k$13.5k61%79WhaleSharp
BUY NoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?27.8¢1,913$53161%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?46¢328$15161%79Sharp
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?66¢18.8k$12.4k61%79WhaleSharp
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?85¢25.0k$21.3k61%79WhaleSharp
BUY YesUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?39¢1,835$71661%79Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?58¢5,045$2,92561%79Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?42¢2,026$85161%79Sharp
BUY YesLacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?18.5¢840$15661%79Sharp
BUY Raiders49ers vs. Raiders50¢11.4k$5,69861%79Sharp
BUY Raiders49ers vs. Raiders60¢34.0k$20.4k61%79WhaleSharp