sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,173

tsihkodiives

0x6db…4ab5
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$25.3kvol $102M
PnL 30d−$53.5kgains $44.3k · losses $8,465
PnL 7d−$50.2kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.4%adj 81.1% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$326kcash n/a
Positions767 / 1,238open / all-time
Max drawdown−81.4%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$36.3kbelow peak −$159kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 82.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity19

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No52.8k95.1¢97.4¢$51.4k+$1,211$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No40.4k69.3¢89¢$36.0k+$7,969+$8,076
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No27.1k40.3¢59.5¢$16.1k+$5,200$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No15.3k85.9¢86.9¢$13.2k+$145$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No15.9k75.1¢80.2¢$12.8k+$805$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes169k10.8¢7.5¢$12.7k−$5,658$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No12.0k98¢99.4¢$11.9k+$168+$0.09
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?No11.9k95¢96.3¢$11.4k+$148$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes98.4k15.9¢11.5¢$11.3k−$4,299−$1,368
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?No8,90490.5¢95.5¢$8,504+$446$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes17.9k35.2¢42.6¢$7,616+$1,320$0
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?No7,24984¢95.5¢$6,923+$830$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No44.8k24.5¢14.3¢$6,402−$4,558$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes53.1k11¢11.5¢$6,101+$265$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No9,96671.2¢60.2¢$5,995−$1,099$0
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?No6,02797.8¢98.6¢$5,940+$45$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,48498.2¢99.5¢$5,456+$71+$5.50
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No5,00096.4¢95.4¢$4,770−$50$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes211k0.5¢2.3¢$4,738+$3,571$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No10.1k56.5¢46.6¢$4,694−$993$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes104k6.3¢4.4¢$4,520−$2,066$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes19.2k27¢22.5¢$4,326−$868$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Yes16.6k23¢20.5¢$3,394−$414$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No3,47985.1¢92¢$3,199+$239$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes5,00852¢59.5¢$2,980+$378+$2,375
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes11.6k31.3¢25.5¢$2,966−$674$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes98.5k1.8¢3¢$2,954+$1,149$0
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes12.2k1.3¢23¢$2,794+$2,633$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes85.3k2.5¢3.2¢$2,686+$517$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,96085.3¢90¢$2,664+$138$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes572k0.2¢0.5¢$2,576+$1,431$0
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?Yes33.3k18¢6.5¢$2,167−$3,833$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?No1,85696.1¢97.8¢$1,815+$32$0
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes58.2k3.9¢3.1¢$1,775−$508$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No1,68290¢94.1¢$1,582+$69$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes8,13817.7¢18¢$1,461+$24$0
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes3,33460¢39.5¢$1,317−$683+$582
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes64.1k1.6¢2.1¢$1,314+$316$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes174k0.7¢0.8¢$1,301+$2.38$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes14.4k12.8¢9¢$1,292−$544$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes94.4k1¢1.4¢$1,274+$331$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes8,88838.2¢13.5¢$1,200−$2,200$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes41.7k2.9¢2.8¢$1,148−$42−$59
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,50065¢72.5¢$1,087+$112$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,11094¢96.7¢$1,073+$30+$5,807
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No2,03749.7¢51.5¢$1,048+$36$0
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Yes10.3k20¢10¢$1,034−$1,034$0
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes49.5k2.6¢2.1¢$1,016−$285$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes42.4k5.2¢2.4¢$997−$1,213+$101
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes17.6k9¢5.5¢$969−$617$0
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes101k0.4¢1¢$955+$550$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No1,12670.1¢81¢$912+$123$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes72.6k1.1¢1.3¢$908+$145+$103
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?No90897.7¢98.8¢$896+$9.53$0
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes61.5k2.5¢1.5¢$892−$639$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Yes6,47514¢13.5¢$874−$32$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Yes27.3k5¢2.7¢$724−$642$0
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes92.4k0.6¢0.7¢$600+$50+$103
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?Yes28.5k2.1¢2.1¢$599$0$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes65.6k0.9¢0.9¢$591+$4.43$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes127k0.5¢0.5¢$574−$64$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.3k4.4¢5.1¢$523+$69$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes47.9k2.1¢1.1¢$503−$490$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No52690¢95.5¢$502+$29$0
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes35.4k1.3¢1.4¢$477+$17$0
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes17.7k3¢2.7¢$470−$70$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3,6988.1¢12.5¢$462+$163$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,8698.8¢15.1¢$432+$180$0
5kt meteor strike in 2026?No51368¢82.5¢$423+$74$0
Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes66.9k0.3¢0.6¢$401+$201$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes4,17525.8¢9.5¢$397−$679$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes14.7k4.5¢2.7¢$389−$265$0
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes16.4k2.5¢2.3¢$378−$41$0
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No36199¢99.6¢$360+$2.17+$27
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes48.4k1.8¢0.7¢$339−$533+$10
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes7,5348.1¢4.5¢$339−$275$0
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes96.8k0.4¢0.4¢$339−$48$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes12.2k2.2¢2.6¢$310+$43$0
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes88.5k0.5¢0.4¢$310−$117$0
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No31298¢99.1¢$309+$3.28$0
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?Yes19.2k6.3¢1.5¢$278−$931$0
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes25.3k1¢1.1¢$278+$15$0
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes21.3k1.3¢1.2¢$256−$21$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes15.4k1.5¢1.7¢$254+$24+$43
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes55.8k0.3¢0.5¢$251+$84$0
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Yes29555¢80.6¢$237+$75$0
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes21.1k1.3¢1.1¢$232−$42$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes15.9k2.5¢1.4¢$214−$183$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes8,9451.6¢2.3¢$206+$63+$11
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes133k0.3¢0.2¢$200−$212$0
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes29.5k2.2¢0.7¢$192−$444$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes52.8k0.4¢0.4¢$185−$26+$19
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes23.2k1.2¢0.8¢$174−$104$0
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes3,9623¢4.4¢$172+$53$0
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes30.6k0.8¢0.5¢$168−$72+$707
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes109k0.2¢0.2¢$163−$54$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No18668.9¢84.5¢$157+$29+$6,308
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes12.1k0.4¢1.3¢$157+$109$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes100k0.3¢0.2¢$150−$150$0
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Yes5,3024.2¢2.8¢$148−$74$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?2.1¢3$0.0782%65
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?92¢2,193$2,01782%65
BUY YesWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?14¢764$10782%65
BUY NoWill England win on 2026-10-06?7¢1,445$10182%65
BUY NoWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?85.9¢15.3k$13.1k82%65Whale
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?95¢3,714$3,52882%65
SELL NoWill Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?99.5¢482$47982%65
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?13.4¢16.1k$2,15382%65
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?10¢77$7.6582%65
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?11¢10$1.1082%65
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?13¢4,646$60482%65
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?12¢667$8082%65
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?11¢877$9682%65
BUY NoWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?12¢6,036$72482%65
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?15¢9,564$1,43582%65
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?21¢89$1982%65
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?25¢1,022$25682%65
BUY YesWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?0.5¢261$1.3182%65
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?40¢22$8.9682%65
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?8¢2,816$22582%65