| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 5,000 | 35¢ | 37.5¢ | $1,875 | +$125 | $0 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 7,528 | 22.5¢ | 23.5¢ | $1,769 | +$79 | +$1.62 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 2,600 | 69¢ | 65.5¢ | $1,703 | −$91 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 3,850 | 39¢ | 41.5¢ | $1,598 | +$98 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | No | 2,246 | 71.2¢ | 68¢ | $1,527 | −$73 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 2,381 | 54.7¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,488 | +$186 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 1,492 | 70.4¢ | 76.5¢ | $1,141 | +$91 | $0 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | No | 1,272 | 79.8¢ | 85.5¢ | $1,087 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 1,200 | 48¢ | 89¢ | $1,068 | +$492 | $0 | |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | No | 1,267 | 71¢ | 83.5¢ | $1,058 | +$158 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5,249 | 24¢ | 18.5¢ | $971 | −$289 | $0 | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 2,000 | 39.5¢ | 39¢ | $780 | −$9.99 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5,316 | 13¢ | 14.5¢ | $771 | +$80 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 740 | 79.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $684 | +$97 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,911 | 33.3¢ | 34.5¢ | $659 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,081 | 55.5¢ | 60.6¢ | $655 | +$55 | +$1,306 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,036 | 47.9¢ | 61.5¢ | $637 | +$141 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,780 | 28¢ | 29.5¢ | $525 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 758 | 65.9¢ | 64.5¢ | $489 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Real Madrid finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season? | No | 1,920 | 33.4¢ | 24.6¢ | $472 | −$169 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 2,383 | 21¢ | 19¢ | $453 | −$48 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 857 | 33.8¢ | 52.5¢ | $450 | +$160 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | No | 1,011 | 39.5¢ | 41¢ | $415 | +$15 | +$0.07 | |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | No | 848 | 35.8¢ | 46.7¢ | $396 | +$93 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 540 | 53.9¢ | 71.3¢ | $385 | +$94 | $0 | |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 651 | 65.1¢ | 58.5¢ | $381 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 35¢ | 37.5¢ | $375 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 489 | 77¢ | 55.5¢ | $272 | −$105 | −$59 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,197 | 40¢ | 22.5¢ | $269 | −$210 | −$12 | |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Yes | 1,400 | 13.4¢ | 19¢ | $266 | +$79 | $0 | |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 296 | 76.7¢ | 85.5¢ | $253 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | No | 302 | 59¢ | 82¢ | $247 | +$69 | +$9.60 | |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 1,500 | 11¢ | 16¢ | $240 | +$75 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 2,513 | 8¢ | 8.5¢ | $214 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5,453 | 5.4¢ | 3.9¢ | $210 | −$87 | $0 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | Yes | 274 | 74¢ | 75.5¢ | $207 | +$4.17 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | Yes | 908 | 23¢ | 22.5¢ | $204 | −$4.54 | $0 | |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,579 | 9.8¢ | 11.5¢ | $181 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 4,027 | 4.7¢ | 4¢ | $159 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | Yes | 423 | 27.9¢ | 32.4¢ | $137 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? | Yes | 1,402 | 2.5¢ | 9.8¢ | $137 | +$102 | $0 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | Yes | 415 | 40.6¢ | 30.5¢ | $126 | −$42 | $0 | |
| Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? | Yes | 422 | 29¢ | 28¢ | $118 | −$4.22 | $0 | |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 0.5¢ | 2.3¢ | $115 | +$90 | $0 | |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting? | No | 244 | 42¢ | 44.5¢ | $109 | +$6.11 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026? | Yes | 590 | 18.7¢ | 18.4¢ | $108 | −$2.33 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 500 | 17¢ | 19.5¢ | $97 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2,954 | 5.8¢ | 3.2¢ | $93 | −$78 | −$20 | |
| Eric Adams charged by December 31? | Yes | 520 | 29.7¢ | 17¢ | $88 | −$66 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 800 | 12¢ | 10.5¢ | $84 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 600 | 10¢ | 13.5¢ | $81 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,470 | 16.1¢ | 5.5¢ | $81 | −$155 | −$32 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,754 | 22¢ | 4.1¢ | $72 | −$314 | −$425 | |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,827 | 8.2¢ | 3.9¢ | $71 | −$79 | $0 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2,595 | 11¢ | 2.7¢ | $69 | −$217 | −$41 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2,108 | 2.9¢ | 3.1¢ | $64 | +$3.16 | $0 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 2,042 | 8.6¢ | 2.9¢ | $60 | −$115 | $0 | |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 191 | 23.8¢ | 29¢ | $55 | +$9.96 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 18¢ | 17¢ | $51 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 603 | 18.1¢ | 7.5¢ | $45 | −$64 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | 21.3¢ | 6.5¢ | $39 | −$89 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 1,357 | 5.1¢ | 2.9¢ | $39 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | Yes | 1,041 | 22.1¢ | 3.3¢ | $34 | −$195 | $0 | |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 512 | 2.3¢ | 6.5¢ | $33 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 14¢ | 5.1¢ | $25 | −$45 | $0 | |
| US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 151 | 10¢ | 16.5¢ | $25 | +$9.81 | $0 | |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 400 | 8.8¢ | 6¢ | $24 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 85 | 28¢ | 27¢ | $23 | −$0.85 | $0 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 198 | 14.6¢ | 8.5¢ | $17 | −$12 | +$41 | |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 7,500 | 1¢ | 0.2¢ | $11 | −$64 | $0 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 100 | 19¢ | 9¢ | $9.00 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1,000 | 15.7¢ | 0.5¢ | $4.50 | −$152 | $0 | |
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | Yes | 467 | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | $3.27 | +$0.31 | $0 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 909 | 20.5¢ | 0.4¢ | $3.18 | −$183 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 16.5¢ | 1.5¢ | $3.00 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting? | Yes | 20 | 2.5¢ | 11.3¢ | $2.25 | +$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31? | Yes | 5 | 22¢ | 42¢ | $2.10 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65 | 13¢ | 2.3¢ | $1.46 | −$6.99 | $0 | |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2,608 | 2.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $1.30 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 3 | 56¢ | 10¢ | $0.26 | −$1.18 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | Yes | 29.8k | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$907 | +$454 | |
| Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? | No | 5,805 | 14.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$843 | −$34 | |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) | Sevilla FC | 4,541 | 75¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,406 | −$1.27 | |
| Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-10-07? | Yes | 4,000 | 59.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,370 | $0 | |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 3,952 | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$155 | $0 | |
| Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-10-03? | Yes | 3,867 | 37.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,453 | −$5.61 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,568 | 8.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$303 | $0 | |
| Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-10-08? | Yes | 3,214 | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,575 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 2,500 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$350 | $0 | |
| Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | No | 2,389 | 39.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$949 | −$1,399 | |
| Renan Santos participates in debate before first round? | Yes | 2,227 | 86.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,919 | −$2.27 | |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | Yes | 2,163 | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$128 | −$4.80 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 2,000 | 6.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$126 | $0 | |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Denmark | 2,000 | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,180 | $0 | |
| Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5 | Under | 1,753 | 34.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$612 | −$1.31 | |
| Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid? | No | 1,598 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$208 | −$6.57 | |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | No | 1,570 | 63.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 | $0 | |
| Will Bradley Barcola join Arsenal? | Yes | 1,528 | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$73 | −$2.19 | |
| AD Cali vs. Alianza FC: O/U 2.5 | Under | 1,500 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$825 | $0 | |
| Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | Under | 1,500 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$600 | $0 | |
