sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,449

probability

0x74f…16a8@selectedadverse
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$135kvol $13.6M
PnL 30d+$6,179gains $29.4k · losses $29.9k
PnL 7d+$1,165win rate 7d 51.5%
Win rate52.8%adj 52.7% · 30d 52.8%
Open value$105kcash n/a
Positions447 / 5,100open / all-time
Max drawdown−60.8%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$140kbelow peak −$66.2kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 52.8% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity39

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No20.0k50¢97.7¢$19.5k+$9,530$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes11.3k15.7¢79.5¢$8,960+$7,189−$37
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes14.5k41¢38.9¢$5,626−$309+$169
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes3,83692.6¢96.6¢$3,705+$152−$314
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes4,86352.8¢54.5¢$2,650+$82−$253
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes2,22398.9¢99.4¢$2,210+$11$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2,14995.5¢96¢$2,063+$11$0
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?No2,05096.2¢95.5¢$1,958−$14$0
Will Lecce win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No1,71497.3¢98.9¢$1,695+$27$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes10.6k3.8¢15.9¢$1,681+$1,277+$334
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes3,8228.6¢43.5¢$1,662+$1,333+$240
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,92683.2¢85.7¢$1,649+$48−$146
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes2,93231.1¢45.5¢$1,334+$422+$0.79
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Yes1,33498.9¢99.5¢$1,327+$8.04$0
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?No1,24593.5¢98.2¢$1,223+$58$0
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Shanghai, China?No1,46481.8¢83¢$1,215+$17$0
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?No1,26296.1¢94.6¢$1,194−$19$0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?Yes1,16295.8¢95.7¢$1,111−$1.80$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?Yes1,08895.9¢98.3¢$1,069+$26$0
Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes2,35021.4¢42¢$987+$484+$219
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No99394.5¢95.5¢$949+$9.83$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No96595.7¢97.5¢$940+$17−$572
Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No2,9638¢29.9¢$886+$650$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2,01128.7¢43.6¢$877+$299+$13
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No2,39338.5¢36.5¢$873−$47$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes2,32036¢36.5¢$847+$11+$8.22
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Yes78993.9¢98.2¢$775+$34−$5.62
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes73596.1¢99.1¢$728+$21−$383
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No3,9920.2¢17.5¢$699+$691$0
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?No74888.7¢90.6¢$678+$14$0
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No73883.8¢90.5¢$668+$49$0
Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Yes1,13412.6¢58.5¢$664+$521$0
Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?No1,27754.5¢51.5¢$658−$38−$21
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes69693¢92.5¢$644−$3.20$0
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes9282.4¢67.5¢$626+$604$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes1,07260¢57.5¢$616−$27−$8.82
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4,9066.2¢12.5¢$613+$310$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No63495¢96.5¢$612+$9.78$0
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No1,26319¢48¢$606+$367+$1.35
Will Manchester City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No76672.2¢77¢$590+$37+$23
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?No65386.6¢90.3¢$589+$24−$1.00
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No79979.2¢73.7¢$589−$44−$27
USMCA extended in 2026?No60770¢91.5¢$556+$131$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No5,33611¢9.5¢$507−$78+$26
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?No51297.7¢96.8¢$495−$4.84$0
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes2,0063.8¢24.3¢$487+$411+$545
Will Leeds United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes1,29111.2¢37.5¢$484+$339+$6.68
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes20.0k50¢2.4¢$470−$9,530$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes43892.5¢93.7¢$411+$5.39$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No55670.9¢71.5¢$398+$3.21−$49
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,07942.4¢35.5¢$383−$75$0
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4,7235.2¢7.9¢$371+$127+$16
Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No89818.4¢40.5¢$364+$199+$4.55
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes3,1403¢11.5¢$361+$266$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes4,11010.2¢8.5¢$349−$71$0
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Yes35053.1¢98.1¢$343+$157$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No1,19436.1¢28.5¢$340−$90$0
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes3,4273.4¢9.8¢$334+$217$0
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Shanghai, China?No35792.2¢93.5¢$334+$4.73$0
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No43077.6¢77.5¢$333−$0.53$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No84942.8¢37.5¢$318−$45+$33
Will Jose Luis Ballester win the 2026 Open de Espana?No31096.6¢99.3¢$308+$8.17$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes99334.6¢29.5¢$293−$51+$1.16
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4,9343.4¢5.9¢$289+$119$0
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?No29896.4¢95.9¢$286−$1.44−$107
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No61631.7¢45.5¢$280+$85$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No2,9498.1¢9.5¢$280+$43$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes34764.9¢80.5¢$280+$54$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes63830¢43.5¢$278+$86+$7.95
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No1,05515.6¢26.3¢$277+$113+$23
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2026 AFC South?No28494.4¢97.1¢$276+$7.59$0
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?No28297.2¢97¢$274−$0.64$0
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes52855.3¢51¢$270−$23$0
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No27895.7¢96.9¢$269+$3.20$0
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No30386¢88¢$267+$6.07$0
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes68128.3¢39¢$266+$73$0
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes10.0k2.8¢2.7¢$265−$13$0
Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No29681.3¢87.5¢$259+$18$0
Will Hull City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No26888¢96.2¢$258+$22$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?No29837.1¢86¢$256+$146+$97
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No67836¢36.5¢$248+$3.45$0
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes3,1403¢7.5¢$236+$140$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,4248.9¢9.5¢$230+$15+$221
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes37545.3¢60.5¢$227+$57$0
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?No34249.9¢66¢$226+$55−$18
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No25287¢87.5¢$221+$1.33−$1.80
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes30083¢73.5¢$220−$29−$19
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?No27576.7¢78¢$215+$3.46$0
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Yes55111.1¢38.5¢$212+$151$0
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Yes36748.5¢57.5¢$211+$33$0
Will Coventry City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No37264.6¢55.5¢$206−$34+$41
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes2,39417.5¢8.5¢$203−$216+$324
Will Adrian Meronk win the 2026 Open de Espana?No20497.8¢99.1¢$202+$2.68$0
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes85116.8¢23.3¢$198+$55+$534
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes55111.1¢35.5¢$196+$134$0
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of October 2026?Yes55111.1¢35¢$193+$132$0
Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No25967¢74¢$192+$18$0
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?No27474.6¢68.5¢$188−$17$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No1,00014¢18.5¢$185+$45$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No21069.8¢85.5¢$179+$33$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Lecce win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?97.8¢1,380$1,35053%58
BUY NoWill Lecce win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?96.4¢50$4853%58
BUY NoWill Lecce win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?96.8¢30$2953%58
BUY YesSpain snap election called by October 31?99.7¢5$5.1053%58
BUY YesSpain snap election called by October 31?99.8¢200$20053%58
BUY YesSpain snap election called by October 31?99¢6$5.9353%58
BUY YesSpain snap election called by November 30?99¢121$12053%58
BUY YesSpain snap election called by October 31?96.9¢620$60153%58
SELL YesWill Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?47¢304$14353%58
BUY Newcastle KnightsSydney Roosters vs. Newcastle Knights12¢5,921$71053%58
BUY YesWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?9.5¢101$9.6353%58
BUY YesWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?8.4¢58$4.8653%58
BUY YesWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?6.7¢85$5.7553%58
BUY YesWill the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?4.2¢800$3453%58
BUY YesWill the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?5¢500$2553%58
BUY YesWill the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?8.1¢500$4053%58
BUY NoWill Anduril have the highest private market valuation on September 30?99.9¢149$14853%58
SELL YesWill Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on September 30?0.1¢150$0.1553%58
BUY NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.375T by September 30?99¢200$19853%58
BUY NoWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.375T by September 30?96.3¢198$19053%58