sharpside
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Traders/Rank #10,203

R0ont

0x774…d8d6
WR 70+WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,266vol $232k
PnL 30d−$513gains $53 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$211win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate73.7%adj 70.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,334cash n/a
Positions219 / 334open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,195below peak −$2,791Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 73.7% · shrunk toward 50%75
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 33

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Yes51714.1¢64¢$331+$258+$118
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes80015.6¢16.5¢$132+$7.33−$3.33
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?No11362.3¢94¢$106+$36+$16
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes27233.7¢30.5¢$83−$8.65$0
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?No43836.6¢18¢$79−$81+$20
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No20049.5¢37.5¢$75−$24$0
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Yes37230.3¢17.5¢$65−$48+$5.22
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes10055¢37.5¢$37−$17$0
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No10756.7¢32.5¢$35−$26−$5.35
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6,0000.7¢0.5¢$33−$9.00$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes90010.1¢3.6¢$32−$59$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,0002.8¢3.1¢$31+$3.00$0
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?Yes5699.7¢5.3¢$30−$26+$1.84
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,0002.1¢2.8¢$27+$6.50$0
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?Yes6249.5¢4.4¢$27−$32+$0.59
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?No2586¢95.5¢$24+$2.38$0
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes61720.1¢3.8¢$23−$101+$21
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes10022¢20.5¢$21−$1.50$0
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Yes12026¢14.6¢$18−$14+$2.51
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes10036¢17.5¢$18−$19+$2.00
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes10,0000.3¢0.2¢$15−$15$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2505.1¢5.9¢$15+$2.13$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5004.9¢2.9¢$14−$10$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,0000.7¢0.4¢$11−$10$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No2007¢4.5¢$9.00−$5.00$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes11023.5¢7.5¢$8.25−$18$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,7710.4¢0.5¢$7.97+$0.89$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes2007¢3.8¢$7.60−$6.40$0
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?Yes2360.2¢3.2¢$7.43+$6.96+$5.09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No590¢99.7¢$4.98+$0.48$0
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes5215.2¢7.5¢$3.92−$4.03+$2.40
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Yes240.2¢8.8¢$2.08+$2.03+$5.91
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be less than 2.0?Yes1450.3¢0.9¢$1.23+$0.80+$4.32

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0.4¢294$1.1874%38
BUY YesWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0.4¢1,477$5.9174%38
SELL YesWill Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?9¢12$1.0574%38
SELL YesWill Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?9.1¢40$3.6074%38
BUY OverWales vs. Norway: O/U 5.511¢50$5.5074%38
BUY OverWales vs. Norway: O/U 4.522¢40$8.8074%38
BUY OverWales vs. Norway: O/U 3.540¢20$8.0074%38
BUY GermanySpread: Germany (-2.5)41¢20$8.2074%38
BUY OverGermany vs. Serbia: Germany O/U 3.534¢8$2.8874%38
SELL NoWill Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?89¢63$5674%38
BUY YesWill Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?26¢10$2.6074%38
BUY YesWill Austria win on 2026-10-01?44¢30$1374%38
BUY AustriaSpread: Austria (-1.5)20¢25$5.0074%38
BUY YesWill Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?46¢30$1474%38
BUY YesWill Denmark win on 2026-10-01?27¢30$8.1074%38
BUY YesWill Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw?13¢49$6.4274%38
BUY YesWill Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw?25¢50$1374%38
BUY YesWill Belarus win on 2026-09-29?14¢50$7.0074%38
SELL YesBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?27¢50$1474%38
SELL YesBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?27¢50$1474%38