| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10.1k | 83.8¢ | 83.5¢ | $8,425 | −$28 | +$1,286 | |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 7,700 | 92.2¢ | 90.3¢ | $6,949 | −$153 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 9,500 | 69.9¢ | 63.5¢ | $6,032 | −$604 | −$219 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9,560 | 73.2¢ | 48.7¢ | $4,656 | −$2,339 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 63¢ | 85.8¢ | $4,288 | +$1,139 | +$210 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 4,050 | 86.3¢ | 87.5¢ | $3,544 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 3,000 | 94.7¢ | 97.2¢ | $2,915 | +$74 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 4,014 | 51.2¢ | 54.5¢ | $2,188 | +$132 | +$4.37 | |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 4,260 | 57.3¢ | 47.5¢ | $2,023 | −$416 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2,000 | 97¢ | 96.2¢ | $1,923 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 90.4¢ | 95¢ | $1,899 | +$92 | +$8.14 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 2,000 | 84¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,830 | +$150 | $0 | |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 3,225 | 56.4¢ | 48.5¢ | $1,564 | −$254 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,400 | 67.9¢ | 61.5¢ | $1,476 | −$155 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 1,500 | 90¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,433 | +$83 | −$1,050 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1,456 | 96.5¢ | 97.5¢ | $1,419 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1,716 | 89¢ | 79.5¢ | $1,364 | −$163 | −$487 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,029 | 51.1¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,268 | +$231 | +$245 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1,633 | 91.5¢ | 72.9¢ | $1,190 | −$304 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 2,070 | 62.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $1,170 | −$124 | $0 | |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,415 | 69.3¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,012 | +$31 | −$0.18 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,518 | 60¢ | 62.5¢ | $949 | +$38 | +$20 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,500 | 60¢ | 62.5¢ | $938 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,497 | 68.3¢ | 61.5¢ | $921 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 1,586 | 47.2¢ | 54.5¢ | $865 | +$115 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 81.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $765 | −$50 | +$5.00 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5,000 | 15.8¢ | 13.5¢ | $675 | −$115 | +$58 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1,666 | 35¢ | 35.5¢ | $591 | +$8.33 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1,000 | 67.4¢ | 58.8¢ | $588 | −$87 | −$37 | |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | No | 606 | 93.7¢ | 96.1¢ | $582 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 585 | 94¢ | 96¢ | $561 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 636 | 80.9¢ | 81.5¢ | $518 | +$3.99 | −$37 | |
| Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 520 | 90¢ | 94.7¢ | $492 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 500 | 93.7¢ | 95.6¢ | $478 | +$9.25 | $0 | |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 500 | 94.8¢ | 95.4¢ | $477 | +$2.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,010 | 39¢ | 44.5¢ | $449 | +$56 | +$48 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 500 | 86¢ | 89.5¢ | $448 | +$18 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 1,060 | 33¢ | 37.5¢ | $398 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 394 | 78.5¢ | 96¢ | $378 | +$69 | $0 | |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 381 | 84.8¢ | 93.9¢ | $358 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 373 | 72.9¢ | 95.3¢ | $355 | +$84 | +$355 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 500 | 56.2¢ | 59.9¢ | $299 | +$19 | +$126 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3,678 | 17.6¢ | 8.1¢ | $296 | −$353 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 400 | 71.4¢ | 74¢ | $296 | +$10 | +$69 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 300 | 86¢ | 94.3¢ | $283 | +$25 | +$1.50 | |
| Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 269 | 82¢ | 98¢ | $264 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 2,300 | 46.8¢ | 11¢ | $253 | −$824 | −$237 | |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? | No | 271 | 90¢ | 92.5¢ | $251 | +$6.64 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 266 | 87.2¢ | 89.5¢ | $238 | +$6.11 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 275 | 81¢ | 81.5¢ | $224 | +$1.37 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 233 | 75.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $216 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 24.4¢ | 19¢ | $190 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 200 | 90¢ | 93.5¢ | $187 | +$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 275 | 52.2¢ | 67¢ | $184 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 413 | 43.1¢ | 44.5¢ | $184 | +$5.71 | +$158 | |
| Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 224 | 67.7¢ | 73.5¢ | $165 | +$13 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 524 | 28¢ | 28.5¢ | $149 | +$2.62 | $0 | |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | No | 125 | 94.6¢ | 96¢ | $120 | +$1.69 | $0 | |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 10.0k | 1.2¢ | 1.2¢ | $115 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 3,000 | 3.3¢ | 3.2¢ | $94 | −$4.49 | −$137 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 600 | 14.9¢ | 15.1¢ | $90 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election? | Yes | 250 | 42¢ | 35.5¢ | $89 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 200 | 51.6¢ | 43.5¢ | $87 | −$16 | −$1.60 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 430 | 69.2¢ | 19.5¢ | $84 | −$214 | −$32 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 100 | 57¢ | 76.5¢ | $77 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | No | 160 | 57¢ | 47.5¢ | $76 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 68 | 95.1¢ | 97.6¢ | $67 | +$1.67 | $0 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 190 | 62.1¢ | 28.5¢ | $54 | −$64 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | No | 251 | 61.6¢ | 19.5¢ | $49 | −$106 | −$379 | |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 51 | 91¢ | 95.5¢ | $48 | +$2.28 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 57¢ | 47.5¢ | $48 | −$9.50 | $0 | |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 8,000 | 1.9¢ | 0.5¢ | $36 | −$120 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 41 | 70¢ | 71.5¢ | $29 | +$0.61 | −$0.40 | |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 1,263 | 3.1¢ | 2.3¢ | $29 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 24 | 89¢ | 92.5¢ | $22 | +$0.84 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 14 | 82.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $13 | +$1.16 | +$743 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 93¢ | 96.8¢ | $9.69 | +$0.38 | +$847 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 9¢ | 1.8¢ | $8.75 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 652 | 62.7¢ | 1.2¢ | $7.50 | −$401 | $0 | |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 7,000 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | $3.50 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 5 | 15¢ | 63.5¢ | $3.17 | +$2.42 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 5 | 52¢ | 62.5¢ | $3.13 | +$0.53 | −$23 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5 | 44¢ | 62.5¢ | $3.13 | +$0.93 | +$774 | |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 3,011 | 15.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $3.01 | −$462 | $0 | |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 446 | 63¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.22 | −$281 | $0 | |
