sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,262

de5nuts

0x80a…5708
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$156kvol $8.57M
PnL 30d+$786gains $3,760 · losses $15.2k
PnL 7d−$4,455win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate46.5%adj 46.7% · 30d 42.9%
Open value$91.9kcash n/a
Positions59 / 359open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.3%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 14h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$151kbelow peak −$70.7kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 46.5% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity60

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 59

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No26.7k85.1¢97¢$25.9k+$3,171$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No12.0k94¢94.5¢$11.3k+$61$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No10.7k90.3¢97.6¢$10.4k+$776$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes26.2k27¢33¢$8,639+$1,569+$329
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No20.2k63.9¢40¢$8,069−$4,842$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes44.7k25¢11.5¢$5,136−$6,051+$3,507
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No4,00089¢95.5¢$3,820+$260$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No8,40136.1¢42.5¢$3,570+$537+$130
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes20.0k5.5¢15.1¢$3,010+$1,900$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes15.0k7.9¢18¢$2,692+$1,503$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes10.2k17.1¢23¢$2,349+$603+$1,634
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Yes3,90659.1¢53.5¢$2,090−$220$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes8,00019.5¢16.5¢$1,320−$240$0
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes791k0.2¢0.2¢$1,187−$395$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes36.2k17.3¢2.5¢$888−$5,401−$876
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes4,69212¢12.5¢$586+$23$0
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes30.0k0.5¢1.1¢$315+$165$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10,0001.6¢1.3¢$125−$35$0
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes29.9k0.5¢0.4¢$105−$45$0
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes27.3k0.8¢0.4¢$95−$136$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes8,2101.2¢1.2¢$94−$4.10$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5,0005¢1.1¢$53−$198$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes7,0000.8¢0.8¢$53−$3.50$0
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes37.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$140−$1.79
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes25.8k41.2¢0¢$0−$10.6k−$30
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes18.6k28.5¢0¢$0−$5,311−$531
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes16.2k15.9¢0¢$0−$2,580$0
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes13.0k2.9¢0¢$0−$377−$3.49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Yes11.0k6.2¢0¢$0−$682$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes10.1k15.5¢0¢$0−$1,556$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes10.0k1¢0¢$0−$100−$1,791
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes9,8323.4¢0¢$0−$339−$197
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes7,5006.8¢0¢$0−$507−$466
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes7,4123.6¢0¢$0−$268−$227
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes5,32516.4¢0¢$0−$875$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes5,0000.8¢0¢$0−$40$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes5,0001.1¢0¢$0−$55$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Yes5,0002.6¢0¢$0−$130$0
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No4,00031.9¢0¢$0−$1,276$0
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes3,7401.7¢0¢$0−$64$0
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes3,5005.6¢0¢$0−$196−$66
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes3,13720.2¢0¢$0−$635$0
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance3,08159.5¢0¢$0−$1,833$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes3,0002.9¢0¢$0−$87$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No3,00010¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes2,76723.3¢0¢$0−$644−$1,253
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain2,00020¢0¢$0−$400$0
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes2,0007¢0¢$0−$140$0
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Yes1,9285.2¢0¢$0−$101+$48
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No1,58444.8¢0¢$0−$710−$11.7k
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes1,50011¢0¢$0−$165$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes79612¢0¢$0−$95$0
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Yes6282.3¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes5038¢0¢$0−$40$0
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland41652.5¢0¢$0−$219$0
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes182.1¢0¢$0−$0.38−$769
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Yes813.3¢0¢$0−$1.05−$1,306
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes59¢0¢$0−$0.45$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes134.5¢0¢$0−$0.47−$3,024

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?80¢1,459$1,16747%60
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?14¢2,777$38947%60
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?36¢3,398$1,22347%60
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?68¢678$46147%60
SELL YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?53¢3,906$2,07047%60
BUY YesWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.9¢2,000$1847%60
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?36¢2,000$72047%60
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?27¢2,694$72747%60
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?20¢4,000$80047%60
BUY YesWill Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.4¢10.0k$4047%60
BUY YesWill Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.4¢10.0k$4047%60
BUY YesWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0.8¢7,000$5647%60
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?42¢2,100$88247%60
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?43¢88$3847%60
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?66¢2,515$1,66047%60
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?57¢5,000$2,85047%60
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?36¢2,400$86447%60
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?37¢105$3947%60
BUY YesWill Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.2¢100k$20047%60
BUY YesWill Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.2¢121k$24347%60