sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,722

resfeber

0x814…b842
PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$13.5kvol $4.76M
PnL 30d+$2,912gains $16.3k · losses $13.2k
PnL 7d+$4,915win rate 7d 51.4%
Win rate44.4%adj 44.6% · 30d 49.6%
Open value$61.6kcash n/a
Positions286 / 1,978open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 16h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$937below peak −$161Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 44.4% · shrunk toward 50%12
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes14.1k27.2¢61.6¢$8,669+$4,834+$2,996
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes7,26835.5¢88.9¢$6,465+$3,882+$2,473
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?No3,24169.8¢79¢$2,561+$297+$17
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes7,63327.8¢30.4¢$2,320+$197+$311
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No2,29292.3¢98.9¢$2,267+$151−$793
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes3,20249.4¢52.5¢$1,681+$98$0
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?No1,50095¢97.3¢$1,460+$35$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?Yes1,97862¢73.5¢$1,454+$227$0
Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1,83661.8¢74¢$1,359+$224$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No2,46538.9¢52.5¢$1,294+$336$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes5,68115.1¢22.5¢$1,278+$423$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes13.4k15.8¢9.5¢$1,275−$843+$4.10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes14.6k12.1¢8.5¢$1,241−$521$0
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Yes1,82264.5¢65.5¢$1,194+$18+$15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No3,00046.6¢37.5¢$1,125−$274+$63
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes2,56128.5¢42.5¢$1,088+$359$0
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes2,60720.3¢40¢$1,043+$513+$109
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No93666.2¢98.3¢$920+$300$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes1,07572.2¢70.5¢$758−$18$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?No1,00670.2¢73.5¢$739+$33$0
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes90977¢80.5¢$732+$32$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?No91876.5¢78.5¢$721+$19+$1.31
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?No82363¢78.5¢$646+$127$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes4,16634.7¢15.5¢$646−$802$0
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?Yes1,00058.3¢62.5¢$625+$42$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No6,50020.2¢9.5¢$618−$698$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?No72277.3¢81.9¢$591+$33$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?Yes67086.6¢86.5¢$580−$0.35+$0.97
Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?No56695¢99.7¢$564+$26+$0.86
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No60386.8¢92.5¢$558+$35−$4.85
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes67576.4¢76.5¢$516+$0.38+$14
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes17.4k9.6¢2.7¢$462−$1,216+$1,456
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?No46892.5¢96.2¢$450+$17$0
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes2,58418.3¢17¢$439−$33+$8.70
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes1,90214.7¢22.5¢$428+$149$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes69954.7¢60.1¢$420+$38−$37
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?Yes87646¢45.5¢$399−$4.28$0
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?No59339.5¢65¢$385+$151+$1.23
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?No1,36320.5¢28¢$381+$101+$4.63
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No43865¢80.5¢$353+$68+$13
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes46755.2¢73.9¢$345+$87+$191
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?No1,53314.5¢21.5¢$330+$108+$162
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No1,51635.7¢21.5¢$326−$215−$81
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?Yes39647.2¢80.9¢$320+$133+$4.33
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?No44473¢70.5¢$313−$11$0
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?No1,17228¢26.5¢$311−$18$0
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes36666.3¢82.5¢$302+$59+$60
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?No31177.8¢85.6¢$266+$24+$0.02
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes1,05043.9¢23.8¢$250−$211−$12
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?Yes33473¢73.5¢$246+$1.67+$0.35
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes59235.7¢41.5¢$246+$34+$8.70
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Yes56834¢40.5¢$230+$37$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No37359.1¢60.5¢$226+$5.08$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?No54933¢39.5¢$217+$36$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Yes25376.1¢85¢$215+$23$0
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes60525.2¢34.5¢$209+$56+$5.86
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-47 House seat?Yes19286.2¢96¢$185+$19+$13
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?No38246.5¢45.5¢$174−$3.67+$4.41
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?Yes17485¢97¢$169+$21−$31
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes9,3125.5¢1.8¢$168−$344+$245
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No31558.1¢51.5¢$162−$21−$6.95
Will Democrats win the Ohio Governor election and Republicans win the Ohio Senate election?No18680.3¢86¢$160+$11−$3.59
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes55436¢28.5¢$158−$42$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?Yes19076¢83¢$158+$13$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes45432¢33.5¢$152+$6.81$0
Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?No26364.7¢54.5¢$144−$27$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?Yes26049.8¢53.5¢$139+$9.50$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No33428¢41.5¢$139+$45$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?No9348¢14.5¢$135+$61+$6.68
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes47721.2¢28.3¢$135+$34+$166
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00010¢13.5¢$135+$35$0
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No42638.3¢31.5¢$134−$29−$87
Will Republicans win the Georgia Governor election and Democrats win the Georgia Senate election?Yes24234¢51¢$123+$41$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5,5873.9¢2.2¢$120−$98+$794
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No12269.9¢97.1¢$118+$33+$5.33
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes50619¢22.5¢$114+$18$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?Yes11692.3¢96.8¢$112+$5.20+$2.84
Will Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?No12079.1¢88.9¢$107+$12$0
Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No10491.5¢100¢$104+$8.79$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No1,15413.7¢8.5¢$98−$60+$55
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Yes13355¢73.5¢$98+$25$0
Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes1,0578.5¢9.2¢$97+$6.97$0
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes15.5k11.1¢0.6¢$93−$1,638−$382
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes11.1k12.8¢0.8¢$89−$1,334+$247
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat?No70818.4¢11.5¢$81−$49+$77
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?Yes30623¢26.5¢$81+$11$0
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes32726.9¢22.5¢$74−$14−$2.44
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1,18710.1¢6.2¢$73−$47−$110
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?No8287.1¢86.5¢$71−$0.51$0
Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?No6995¢98.3¢$68+$2.24$0
Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1,49817.6¢4.4¢$66−$198+$75
Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No7090.3¢91¢$64+$0.50$0
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?No12641¢46.5¢$58+$6.92+$3.52
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?No6088.7¢91¢$55+$1.40$0
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?No5883.8¢87.5¢$51+$2.17$0
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?Yes1,1223.7¢4.5¢$50+$8.59$0
Will Ethiopia have an Ebola case in 2026?No5670.8¢88.5¢$50+$9.94$0
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes1,2916¢3.8¢$49−$28+$107
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No8166¢60¢$49−$4.89−$3.37
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes7705.1¢6.3¢$49+$9.55$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?93.9¢20$1944%29
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the MN-02 House seat?5¢10$0.5244%29
BUY YesWill Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?40¢20$7.8744%29
BUY YesWill a player from the SEC win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?8¢26$2.1044%29
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the HI-02 House seat?5.7¢41$2.3344%29
BUY NoWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?47.8¢989$47244%29
BUY NoWill Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?15.7¢111$1744%29
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?7¢90$6.3144%29
BUY NoWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?46.9¢11$5.2444%29
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the OK-04 House seat?3.4¢5$0.1744%29
BUY NoWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?47.3¢251$11944%29
BUY NoWill Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?15.7¢11$1.7444%29
BUY NoWill Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?15.7¢26$4.1544%29
BUY NoWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?57¢15$8.4744%29
BUY NoWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?58¢271$15744%29
BUY NoWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?57¢103$5944%29
BUY NoWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?57¢62$3544%29
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat?2.5¢88$2.2144%29
BUY NoWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?45.7¢1,000$45744%29
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the TN-01 House seat?2.5¢5$0.1344%29