| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 300 | 64.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $284 | +$91 | −$48 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 272 | 34.6¢ | 96¢ | $261 | +$167 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 269 | 78.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $244 | +$33 | +$1.59 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 290 | 5.2¢ | 71.5¢ | $207 | +$192 | +$11 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 238 | 29.1¢ | 87.1¢ | $207 | +$138 | +$4.08 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | No | 206 | 17.3¢ | 98¢ | $201 | +$166 | +$0.39 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 206 | 85.3¢ | 96.2¢ | $199 | +$22 | +$0.40 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,299 | 5.3¢ | 14.5¢ | $188 | +$119 | +$6.03 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 134 | 63.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $126 | +$42 | +$0.15 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 146 | 54.8¢ | 82.5¢ | $121 | +$41 | +$3.89 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,465 | 5.1¢ | 6.4¢ | $93 | +$18 | +$25 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 562 | 24.6¢ | 15.5¢ | $87 | −$52 | +$20 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 89 | 86.8¢ | 97¢ | $87 | +$9.09 | +$1.12 | |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | No | 90 | 72.9¢ | 95.8¢ | $86 | +$21 | −$1.61 | |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 83 | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | $83 | +$6.28 | +$0.63 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 84 | 88.8¢ | 97.8¢ | $82 | +$7.58 | $0 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 78 | 89.2¢ | 97.8¢ | $77 | +$6.68 | −$6.56 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 829 | 18¢ | 9¢ | $75 | −$74 | +$20 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 86 | 86.1¢ | 85.3¢ | $73 | −$0.75 | −$0.36 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 72 | 81.5¢ | 95.4¢ | $69 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 67 | 62.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $63 | +$22 | −$10 | |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 81 | 53.2¢ | 65.5¢ | $53 | +$9.93 | $0 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 52 | 77.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $52 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2,016 | 3.2¢ | 2.5¢ | $50 | −$14 | $0 | |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | No | 51 | 89.5¢ | 97.4¢ | $50 | +$4.06 | −$29 | |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 50 | 85.5¢ | 99.8¢ | $50 | +$7.06 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 52 | 95.8¢ | 95¢ | $50 | −$0.44 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 81 | 44.8¢ | 61.5¢ | $50 | +$13 | +$4.24 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 51 | 61.1¢ | 95.7¢ | $48 | +$18 | −$1.01 | |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 53 | 56.9¢ | 90.4¢ | $48 | +$18 | $0 | |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 46 | 94¢ | 98.7¢ | $45 | +$2.16 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 135 | 43.4¢ | 32.5¢ | $44 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 40 | 82.6¢ | 97.2¢ | $39 | +$5.80 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 37 | 41.4¢ | 97.2¢ | $35 | +$20 | +$2.76 | |
| Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 38 | 55¢ | 92¢ | $35 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 46 | 63¢ | 75.5¢ | $34 | +$5.69 | $0 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 35 | 87.3¢ | 96.2¢ | $33 | +$3.08 | $0 | |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | No | 38 | 77.5¢ | 88¢ | $33 | +$3.96 | $0 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | 34 | 88.3¢ | 95.5¢ | $33 | +$2.47 | $0 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 42 | 81.6¢ | 77.5¢ | $32 | −$1.73 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 48 | 21¢ | 66¢ | $32 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 32 | 63.2¢ | 98.1¢ | $31 | +$11 | −$6.35 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 38 | 90.2¢ | 82.3¢ | $31 | −$3.00 | $0 | |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 32 | 95¢ | 96.8¢ | $31 | +$0.58 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 48 | 38.6¢ | 63.5¢ | $31 | +$12 | +$3.33 | |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 32 | 95.3¢ | 95.1¢ | $30 | −$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | No | 32 | 63¢ | 93.6¢ | $30 | +$9.71 | $0 | |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 205 | 20¢ | 14.5¢ | $30 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 31 | 80¢ | 95.4¢ | $29 | +$4.72 | $0 | |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 30 | 89¢ | 98.6¢ | $29 | +$2.85 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 32 | 76.1¢ | 90.5¢ | $29 | +$4.61 | −$8.86 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 91 | 57.9¢ | 31.5¢ | $29 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 29 | 93.8¢ | 97.5¢ | $28 | +$1.07 | −$1.01 | |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | No | 30 | 68¢ | 92.5¢ | $28 | +$7.41 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 29 | 83¢ | 95.5¢ | $27 | +$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 27 | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | $27 | +$1.26 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | No | 27 | 88¢ | 99¢ | $27 | +$2.98 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 114 | 42.7¢ | 23.5¢ | $27 | −$22 | +$4.29 | |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 33 | 80¢ | 79.5¢ | $26 | −$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 28 | 94.5¢ | 94.1¢ | $26 | −$0.12 | −$1.69 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 28 | 76¢ | 91.5¢ | $26 | +$4.34 | $0 | |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 28 | 73¢ | 91.5¢ | $25 | +$5.14 | $0 | |
| Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026? | No | 27 | 80¢ | 93.5¢ | $25 | +$3.64 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 110 | 18.7¢ | 22.3¢ | $25 | +$3.97 | +$5.60 | |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,043 | 1.6¢ | 2.4¢ | $25 | +$7.52 | +$0.75 | |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | No | 25 | 83.4¢ | 99.8¢ | $24 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 24 | 83¢ | 95.5¢ | $23 | +$3.04 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 28 | 56¢ | 81.5¢ | $23 | +$7.23 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 24 | 84¢ | 94.5¢ | $23 | +$2.53 | $0 | |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | No | 24 | 84¢ | 91.1¢ | $22 | +$1.69 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 22 | 91¢ | 97.5¢ | $22 | +$1.45 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? | No | 22 | 92.3¢ | 96.4¢ | $22 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 22 | 92.3¢ | 97.4¢ | $22 | +$1.12 | −$0.03 | |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? | No | 21 | 95¢ | 99.9¢ | $21 | +$1.03 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | No | 21 | 95¢ | 99.9¢ | $21 | +$1.03 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold 32 or more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 21 | 96¢ | 99.5¢ | $21 | +$0.73 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 21 | 96¢ | 99.4¢ | $21 | +$0.72 | $0 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 1,545 | 4.1¢ | 1.4¢ | $21 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 23 | 87¢ | 89.5¢ | $21 | +$0.58 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 21 | 95.9¢ | 98.8¢ | $21 | +$0.59 | $0 | |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 20 | 91.2¢ | 99.7¢ | $20 | +$1.72 | +$2.31 | |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 19 | 90¢ | 96.5¢ | $19 | +$1.24 | $0 | |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 19 | 52¢ | 90.5¢ | $18 | +$7.47 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 36 | 38.4¢ | 48.4¢ | $18 | +$3.64 | +$0.39 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 28 | 73.1¢ | 58.5¢ | $16 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | No | 18 | 57¢ | 91.5¢ | $16 | +$6.05 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 43 | 46¢ | 36.5¢ | $16 | −$4.13 | $0 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 17 | 73.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $16 | +$3.22 | −$9.79 | |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 16 | 76.7¢ | 97.1¢ | $16 | +$3.27 | +$0.34 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 59 | 32¢ | 25.5¢ | $15 | −$3.81 | $0 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 14 | 70¢ | 97.3¢ | $14 | +$3.95 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 16 | 64¢ | 83.5¢ | $13 | +$3.12 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 110 | 43¢ | 11.5¢ | $13 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 13 | 75¢ | 93.5¢ | $12 | +$2.47 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 13 | 93.5¢ | 92.2¢ | $12 | −$0.18 | −$0.66 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 13 | 78¢ | 90.1¢ | $12 | +$1.59 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 12 | 81¢ | 95.6¢ | $12 | +$1.80 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 122 | 19¢ | 9.5¢ | $12 | −$12 | +$3.52 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 12 | 85¢ | 96.8¢ | $12 | +$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 11 | 87.6¢ | 97.3¢ | $11 | +$1.11 | $0 | |