sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

SongXiaoFeng

0x87f…7464
WR 70+WR 60+1y+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$4,216vol $516k
PnL 30d−$179gains $132 · losses $668
PnL 7d−$99win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate77.8%adj 74.6% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$39.5kcash n/a
Positions43 / 199open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 17d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,026below peak −$6,415Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 77.8% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d40
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 43

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?No5,92771.4¢70.5¢$4,179−$53$0
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?No4,88485.3¢84¢$4,102−$66+$5.40
Trump out as President before 2027?No3,00085¢96.3¢$2,889+$338$0
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No2,50085.1¢94.6¢$2,365+$238$0
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?No2,33485.2¢84.5¢$1,972−$17$0
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No2,23384¢87.5¢$1,954+$78$0
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?No1,93788.4¢96¢$1,860+$147+$83
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?No2,57788.2¢63.5¢$1,636−$636$0
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No1,69673.9¢95.1¢$1,612+$358$0
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?No1,44989.6¢91.1¢$1,321+$23+$102
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?No1,22388.3¢94.5¢$1,156+$76$0
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No1,00091¢96.7¢$967+$57$0
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?No1,00093.5¢95.9¢$958+$23$0
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No1,07863.7¢88.6¢$956+$269$0
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?No97387¢89¢$866+$19$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.7k9.9¢7.9¢$843−$223$0
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No82482¢96.8¢$797+$121+$17
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No91560.8¢86.8¢$794+$238$0
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?No78784¢95.2¢$750+$88$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?No66083.8¢96.2¢$635+$82$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No64686.4¢89.5¢$578+$20+$552
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?No68382¢81.5¢$557−$3.41$0
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?No60075¢92.5¢$555+$105$0
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No56563.6¢96¢$542+$183$0
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?No60984¢86.5¢$526+$15+$9.72
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No48781.3¢95.3¢$464+$68$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?No44490.9¢96¢$426+$22$0
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027?No47294¢88.9¢$420−$24+$1.03
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No47388.9¢88.5¢$419−$1.91$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?No80684.5¢42.5¢$343−$339$0
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?No42995¢79.7¢$342−$65$0
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?No35788.6¢94.5¢$338+$21$0
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?No51680.2¢41¢$211−$202−$28
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?No21479.9¢95.5¢$204+$33$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No22088.9¢91¢$200+$4.55$0
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?No19573¢96.9¢$189+$47$0
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?No15691¢97¢$152+$9.38$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?No15185.6¢93.9¢$142+$13$0
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?No7971.6¢92.3¢$73+$16$0
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?No7279¢89.1¢$64+$7.31$0
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?No6362¢87¢$54+$16$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?No3978.2¢96.4¢$38+$7.10$0
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?No1427¢81¢$11+$7.56$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?27¢348$9478%38
SELL NoWill Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?99¢47$4678%38
BUY NoMetamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?89.5¢55$4978%38
BUY NoMetamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?88¢211$18578%38
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? 88.9¢220$19578%38
SELL NoWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?98.5¢1,351$1,33178%38
SELL NoStandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?86.5¢588$50878%38
BUY NoWill Lighter reach $4 before 2027?75¢27$2078%38
BUY NoHurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?87.4¢85$7478%38
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?87¢1,203$1,04778%38
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?86¢2,928$2,51878%38
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?87¢3,221$2,80378%38
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?88¢2,000$1,76078%38
SELL NoWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?96.3¢200$19378%38
SELL YesWill Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?39.9¢200$8078%38
SELL NoStandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?65.3¢143$9378%38
BUY NoOpensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?85¢1,119$95178%38
SELL NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?95.8¢1,000$95878%38
SELL NoChina x Japan military clash before 2027?94¢4,242$3,98878%38
BUY NoWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?93¢75$7078%38