sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,673

300PS

0x8f4…260e@300PSbets
PnL 10k+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$17.6kvol $59.1M
PnL 30d−$41gains $48.1k · losses $32.4k
PnL 7d+$5,669win rate 7d 54.1%
Win rate51.1%adj 51.1% · 30d 51.1%
Open value$25.8kcash n/a
Positions123 / 4,497open / all-time
Max drawdown−66.2%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$16.8kbelow peak −$7,779Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 51.1% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity34

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No4,70690¢95.5¢$4,494+$260+$175
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No2,50090.6¢96.7¢$2,417+$153+$160
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes2,50077.9¢87.8¢$2,195+$248+$60
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,50085.6¢84.5¢$1,268−$16+$680
Iran Nuke before 2027?No1,00093.9¢96.3¢$963+$24+$18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,00087.2¢90.5¢$905+$33$0
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes1,00072.8¢85¢$850+$122$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No88284.1¢88.9¢$784+$43+$1.56
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No80086.5¢92¢$736+$44$0
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsLOUD64445¢92.5¢$596+$306$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No70076¢82.5¢$578+$45+$27
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?Yes72680.2¢71¢$516−$67+$0.56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes1,05076.2¢46.3¢$486−$314−$13
Giants vs. CommandersCommanders72763¢63.5¢$462+$3.63$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No50082.2¢85.5¢$428+$16+$1.58
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes44585¢88¢$392+$13$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No40095¢97.8¢$391+$11$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No40094¢95.9¢$383+$7.40$0
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs fnatic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsHOTU63348¢55¢$348+$44$0
Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Iberian Soul (+1.5)Iberian Soul38852¢81.5¢$316+$114$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes50066¢58.5¢$293−$38$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No29495.4¢96.4¢$284+$2.94+$31
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo30087¢91.5¢$275+$14$0
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise MertensElise Mertens65541¢40.5¢$265−$3.27$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No30085.7¢87.5¢$263+$5.50$0
Bills vs. RamsBills66940¢38.5¢$258−$10$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No30086¢85.5¢$257−$1.50+$78
Ravens vs. FalconsRavens62248¢38.5¢$239−$59$0
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsTeam Vitality48847¢46.5¢$227−$2.44$0
Broncos vs. ChargersChargers56942¢36.5¢$208−$31$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No30064¢64.5¢$194+$1.50$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No20093¢94.5¢$189+$3.00$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No20087¢90.5¢$181+$7.00$0
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No20092¢87.5¢$175−$8.99+$6.80
Vikings vs. Saints: O/U 45.5Over46944¢37¢$174−$33$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes30062¢56.5¢$169−$16$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?No20078¢84.5¢$169+$13$0
Spread: Jaguars (-3.5)Eagles48845¢33.5¢$163−$56$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No20075¢81.5¢$163+$13+$9.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes3,00027.8¢4.9¢$147−$688+$14
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?Yes70082.9¢20.3¢$142−$438$0
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes20070¢69.5¢$139−$1.00$0
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes20081¢65¢$130−$32$0
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,03579.1¢12.5¢$129−$690$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No20018.5¢57.5¢$115+$78$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Yes2,00012.5¢5.5¢$110−$140$0
Spread: Virginia (-9.5)Syracuse24144¢44.5¢$107+$1.21$0
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Yes30055¢33.5¢$101−$65$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes40034¢24.5¢$98−$38$0
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,15263.9¢7.8¢$89−$646$0
Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?Yes19232¢37.5¢$72+$11$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?No10063¢58.5¢$59−$4.50$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes20027¢28¢$56+$2.00$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Yes25039¢22¢$55−$43$0
Canucks vs. DevilsCanucks16729¢29.5¢$49+$0.83$0
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No5096.5¢97.5¢$49+$0.50$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes40040¢11.5¢$46−$114$0
Exact Score: Real Betis Seville 0 - 0 AD Ceuta?No12592.5¢36.4¢$46−$70$0
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?No20040¢18.5¢$37−$43$0
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes55050.5¢6.5¢$36−$242$0
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes9,9820.3¢0.4¢$35+$4.99+$11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes30066.7¢10.5¢$32−$168−$134
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes40015.5¢7.5¢$30−$32$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes50056¢5.5¢$27−$252$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes30014.2¢8.5¢$26−$17+$4.92
Dota 2: KukuysV3 vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 1 PlayoffsKukuysV35134¢49¢$25+$7.60$0
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes5,2760.4¢0.5¢$24+$1.72+$2.78
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes30054.2¢7¢$21−$141$0
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Yes15033.1¢11.6¢$17−$32$0
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Yes8026¢21.5¢$17−$3.60$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes1,3006¢1.3¢$16−$62−$3.00
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes28.9k0.2¢0.1¢$14−$43−$1.07
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes30014¢4.5¢$13−$28−$2.00
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,4950.9¢0.8¢$11−$2.24$0
Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No1282¢90.5¢$11+$0.99+$6.79
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes20.0k0.2¢0.1¢$10−$30$0
Maple Leafs vs. AvalancheAvalanche1466¢66.5¢$9.09+$0.07$0
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes5013¢14.5¢$7.25+$0.75+$20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo599.1¢99.1¢$4.96$0$0
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Yes564¢79.5¢$3.74+$0.73$0
Exact Score: Boyacá Chicó FC 2 - 3 Atlético Nacional?Yes849.7¢40.1¢$3.08−$0.74$0
Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes2,3510.2¢0.1¢$1.18−$3.52+$0.09
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes20096.1¢0.5¢$1.00−$191$0
Will Málaga win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes5960.2¢0.1¢$0.30−$0.89−$0.05
Exact Score: Kuopion Palloseura 0 - 2 AC Oulu?Yes1,0191.9¢0¢$0−$19$0
Exact Score: CA Paranaense 0 - 2 CA Mineiro?Yes9993.8¢0¢$0−$38$0
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA82267¢0¢$0−$551$0
Exact Score: Instituto AC Córdoba 2 - 0 CA Boca Juniors?Yes8115¢0¢$0−$41$0
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsPARIVISION78866¢0¢$0−$520$0
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsPARIVISION73315¢0¢$0−$110$0
Exact Score: CA Aldosivi 0 - 2 CA Sarmiento?Yes7225.4¢0¢$0−$39$0
Predators vs. CanadiensCanadiens71161¢0¢$0−$434$0
Blackhawks vs. IslandersBlackhawks68837¢0¢$0−$255$0
Flyers vs. SenatorsFlyers68839¢0¢$0−$268$0
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsNongshim RedForce68837¢0¢$0−$255$0
Exact Score: Instituto AC Córdoba 0 - 2 CA Boca Juniors?Yes6777¢0¢$0−$47$0
Villena: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil GlinkaAbedallah Shelbayh67738¢0¢$0−$257$0
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Canucks66944¢0¢$0−$294$0
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)UTSA66944¢0¢$0−$294$0
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsFURIA66940¢0¢$0−$268$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?0.1¢2,000$2.0051%54
BUY SyracuseSpread: Virginia (-9.5)44¢241$10651%54
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?0.9¢5$0.0551%54
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?0.5¢5$0.0351%54
BUY OverBV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 11.5 Total Corners30¢7$1.9551%54
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House99.1¢5$4.9651%54
SELL YesWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?0.2¢600$1.2051%54
BUY T1Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs35¢122$4351%54
SELL YesWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?0.4¢612$2.4551%54
BUY YesExact Score: FC CFR 1907 Cluj 0 - 2 FC Universitatea Cluj?5.6¢22$1.2351%54
BUY NoCleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st inning tied?43¢250$10851%54
BUY YesExact Score: Kuopion Palloseura 0 - 2 AC Oulu?1.9¢5$0.1051%54
BUY Team SynapseDota 2: Team Synapse vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs53¢10$5.3051%54
BUY Not A Squad EsportsCounter-Strike: Not A Squad Esports vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs31¢100$3151%54
BUY NoMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: 1st inning tied?49¢5$2.4551%54
BUY UnderBotafogo FR vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Botafogo FR O/U 3.5 Corners33¢11$3.7051%54
BUY Yellow SubmarineDota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs56¢376$21151%54
BUY NoLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st inning tied?40¢5$2.0051%54
BUY Skillcamp EsportLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs20¢10$2.0051%54
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?13¢500$6551%54