sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,055

0x919…60e1

0x919…60e1
PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.3kvol $2.34M
PnL 30d+$1,669gains $2,670 · losses $837
PnL 7d+$417win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate85.1%adj 83.8% · 30d 73.1%
Open value$76.5kcash n/a
Positions553 / 1,315open / all-time
Max drawdown−75.3%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$15.0kbelow peak −$3,700Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 85.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity25

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 86

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No5,40094.9¢97.8¢$5,279+$155+$254
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No7,50066.5¢68.5¢$5,137+$151$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No5,21691.3¢97.5¢$5,085+$324+$287
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No4,77995.1¢99¢$4,728+$182+$134
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Yes4,70778.5¢87.5¢$4,119+$424$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No3,50083.7¢96.3¢$3,369+$438+$104
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,89477.8¢83.5¢$3,252+$222+$667
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No2,61993.7¢97.2¢$2,545+$91$0
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No2,60090.1¢96.3¢$2,504+$160$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No3,00064¢75.5¢$2,265+$344$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No1,71886¢96.8¢$1,662+$185$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No1,60085.4¢97.4¢$1,558+$192$0
SBF released from custody in 2026?No1,50090.3¢98.7¢$1,481+$126$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes2,00077¢73.5¢$1,470−$70$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes1,60087.4¢88.5¢$1,416+$18$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes2,00070¢65.5¢$1,310−$90$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No1,21086.2¢96.2¢$1,163+$120$0
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No1,20088.7¢96.5¢$1,158+$94$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No1,30084.5¢89¢$1,157+$59$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No1,20073.8¢95.5¢$1,146+$260$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,40081.5¢81.5¢$1,141$0$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No1,18377.6¢89.5¢$1,059+$141+$248
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No1,05187.9¢98¢$1,030+$106$0
US recession by end of 2026?No1,10089.3¢92.5¢$1,018+$36$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,10064.6¢86.6¢$953+$242+$577
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No1,00081¢95.3¢$952+$142$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No1,00086.8¢94.5¢$945+$77$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No93189.6¢97.8¢$910+$76+$6.28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,00091¢90.5¢$905−$5.00+$80
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1,00084.9¢87.8¢$878+$29+$131
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No90088.1¢92¢$828+$35$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No90069¢91.5¢$824+$203$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No80081.4¢97.1¢$776+$125+$262
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No80090.4¢92.4¢$739+$16$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes90080¢80.5¢$725+$4.50$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00063¢64.5¢$645+$15$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes1,40065.8¢43.6¢$610−$311$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes60033.5¢95.5¢$573+$372$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No60089¢89.5¢$537+$3.00$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes70067.9¢73.3¢$513+$38$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes60081.3¢80.5¢$483−$5.00$0
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No50090¢96.4¢$482+$32$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No50095¢93.9¢$469−$5.75$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No40043¢97.5¢$390+$218$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No40090¢97.3¢$389+$29$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No40063¢97.1¢$388+$136$0
NATO article 5 before 2027?No34490.4¢94.6¢$325+$14$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes50065¢61.5¢$308−$18$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes50058¢59.5¢$298+$7.50$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No30092.1¢98.5¢$295+$19$0
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No33778¢85.5¢$288+$25$0
New pandemic in 2026?No30089¢95.5¢$287+$20$0
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No30050¢86¢$258+$108$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No30081.8¢82.3¢$247+$1.35$0
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?No24594¢98.8¢$242+$12$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes40058¢56.5¢$226−$6.00$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No20983¢96.7¢$202+$29$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No20096.7¢97.3¢$195+$1.20$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No20083.7¢97.3¢$195+$27$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No20084¢96.6¢$193+$25$0
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No20094¢94.5¢$189+$1.00$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes60035¢28.5¢$171−$39$0
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No20070.5¢81¢$162+$21$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No17485¢90¢$157+$8.72$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes1,00032.4¢14.5¢$145−$179$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No16188.3¢83.8¢$135−$7.32$0
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?No10094.1¢99.9¢$100+$5.75$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes10035.5¢96.4¢$96+$61$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes10095.8¢96.1¢$96+$0.25$0
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?Yes10094.6¢94.5¢$94−$0.15$0
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No10087¢92.5¢$93+$5.50$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No10089¢89.5¢$89+$0.50$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,0001.4¢1.7¢$83+$13$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes2,4009.5¢2.9¢$68−$161$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes60067¢11¢$66−$336$0
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?Yes1,30021¢4.5¢$59−$215$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0002.2¢2.2¢$43−$1.00$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2,0001.4¢1.7¢$33+$5.00$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No2766¢95.7¢$26+$7.92$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No2070¢84¢$17+$2.86$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes20017¢8.5¢$17−$17$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,8001¢0.7¢$12−$6.88$0
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?No9856¢10.5¢$10−$45$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5001.3¢1.7¢$8.25+$1.75$0
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?Yes20015¢2.1¢$4.20−$26$0
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes3626¢4.8¢$1.71−$7.57$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?81¢400$32485%66
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢1,000$91085%66
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?88.4¢604$53485%66
BUY YesWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1.4¢5,000$7085%66
BUY YesWill Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?73¢192$14085%66
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?87¢100$8785%66
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?67¢500$33585%66
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?59.8¢84$5085%66
BUY YesWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0.8¢49$0.3985%66
SELL YesZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?7¢600$4285%66
BUY NoWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?81.8¢300$24585%66
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?71¢500$35585%66
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?87¢150$13185%66
BUY NoMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?85¢144$12385%66
BUY YesWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?84.9¢243$20685%66
SELL YesWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?7¢195$1485%66
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?64¢200$12885%66
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?86¢200$17285%66
SELL YesFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?6¢4$0.2585%66
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?58.7¢211$12485%66