| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 14.8k | 78.3¢ | 80.5¢ | $11.9k | +$332 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 14.4k | 67.2¢ | 63.5¢ | $9,171 | −$528 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 11.5k | 60.7¢ | 70.5¢ | $8,107 | +$1,121 | +$446 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 9,743 | 89.5¢ | 79.5¢ | $7,746 | −$969 | +$97 | |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | No | 6,723 | 64.4¢ | 71.5¢ | $4,807 | +$478 | −$480 | |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4,992 | 94.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $4,764 | +$48 | −$2,683 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 5,220 | 89.7¢ | 84.1¢ | $4,390 | −$292 | $0 | |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 5,610 | 85.5¢ | 73.5¢ | $4,120 | −$676 | −$149 | |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 5,555 | 77¢ | 73¢ | $4,055 | −$222 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3,894 | 68.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $3,680 | +$996 | −$1,513 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 4,222 | 52.4¢ | 86.5¢ | $3,652 | +$1,439 | +$280 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 4,015 | 25.9¢ | 85.7¢ | $3,439 | +$2,399 | +$268 | |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 3,192 | 58.9¢ | 93.5¢ | $2,985 | +$1,105 | +$44 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2,776 | 81.4¢ | 87.3¢ | $2,423 | +$164 | $0 | |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,222 | 95.3¢ | 98.6¢ | $2,190 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 2,444 | 51.8¢ | 88.5¢ | $2,163 | +$897 | +$73 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 2,267 | 84¢ | 94.5¢ | $2,142 | +$238 | −$511 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 2,222 | 94¢ | 95¢ | $2,110 | +$21 | −$3,126 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1,451 | 90.6¢ | 96.5¢ | $1,400 | +$86 | +$100 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2,222 | 51¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,389 | +$256 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1,718 | 43.4¢ | 74.5¢ | $1,280 | +$535 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 2,222 | 62¢ | 57.5¢ | $1,278 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 3,362 | 29¢ | 28.5¢ | $958 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2,222 | 36¢ | 39.5¢ | $878 | +$78 | $0 | |
| Will Clavicular visit Germany in 2026? | No | 856 | 79.3¢ | 98.9¢ | $846 | +$167 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2,222 | 48¢ | 37.5¢ | $833 | −$233 | $0 | |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 1,111 | 78¢ | 72.5¢ | $805 | −$61 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | 1,898 | 42¢ | 38.5¢ | $731 | −$66 | +$4.40 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,111 | 39¢ | 62.5¢ | $694 | +$261 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 725 | 74¢ | 95¢ | $689 | +$152 | $0 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 777 | 77.2¢ | 88.5¢ | $687 | +$88 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 736 | 63.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $644 | +$177 | $0 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 1,111 | 40¢ | 57.5¢ | $639 | +$194 | $0 | |
| Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026? | No | 652 | 78.2¢ | 92.6¢ | $604 | +$94 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,111 | 41¢ | 44.5¢ | $494 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1,153 | 25.6¢ | 41.3¢ | $476 | +$180 | $0 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 473 | 80.5¢ | 96¢ | $454 | +$73 | $0 | |
| Will Clavicular visit South Korea in 2026? | No | 456 | 77.1¢ | 95.8¢ | $436 | +$85 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026? | No | 471 | 90.8¢ | 92.5¢ | $436 | +$7.97 | $0 | |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | No | 444 | 71.5¢ | 96.4¢ | $428 | +$111 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026? | No | 506 | 60.3¢ | 81.5¢ | $412 | +$107 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 555 | 70.1¢ | 69.8¢ | $387 | −$1.94 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 398 | 79.9¢ | 97.2¢ | $387 | +$69 | −$284 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 666 | 19.7¢ | 57.9¢ | $385 | +$254 | $0 | |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026? | No | 382 | 90¢ | 96.9¢ | $370 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will Clavicular visit the United Kingdom in 2026? | No | 379 | 68¢ | 90¢ | $341 | +$84 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 335 | 78¢ | 96.8¢ | $324 | +$63 | $0 | |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 388 | 50.9¢ | 80.5¢ | $312 | +$115 | −$2.42 | |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 298 | 90¢ | 97.9¢ | $291 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 444 | 61¢ | 57.5¢ | $255 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 333 | 58¢ | 73.5¢ | $245 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | 257 | 69.8¢ | 95¢ | $244 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will Clavicular visit Thailand in 2026? | No | 303 | 70.4¢ | 80.2¢ | $243 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 444 | 36¢ | 54.5¢ | $242 | +$82 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem in 2026? | No | 251 | 87¢ | 92.5¢ | $232 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 222 | 88¢ | 99¢ | $220 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? | No | 241 | 74.4¢ | 89¢ | $215 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 222 | 86¢ | 95¢ | $211 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 1,111 | 39¢ | 18.5¢ | $206 | −$228 | $0 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 222 | 87.4¢ | 89.1¢ | $198 | +$3.66 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 222 | 48¢ | 80.5¢ | $179 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026? | No | 153 | 74.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $125 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 132 | 80¢ | 93.5¢ | $124 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 555 | 31¢ | 19.5¢ | $108 | −$64 | $0 | |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 1,111 | 16¢ | 8.5¢ | $94 | −$83 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 832 | 54¢ | 10.5¢ | $87 | −$362 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 1,111 | 57¢ | 7¢ | $78 | −$555 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026? | No | 91 | 81¢ | 85.5¢ | $78 | +$4.08 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 333 | 28¢ | 18.5¢ | $62 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? | No | 65 | 79¢ | 81¢ | $53 | +$1.30 | $0 | |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 1,111 | 16¢ | 4¢ | $44 | −$134 | +$13 | |
| Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026? | No | 45 | 87¢ | 96.1¢ | $43 | +$4.07 | $0 | |
| Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026? | No | 50 | 85¢ | 86¢ | $43 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 222 | 19¢ | 19¢ | $42 | $0 | $0 | |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | Yes | 444 | 34¢ | 8.5¢ | $38 | −$113 | $0 | |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 51¢ | 73¢ | $37 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 280 | 85.3¢ | 10.5¢ | $29 | −$209 | $0 | |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 222 | 18¢ | 11.5¢ | $26 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Clavicular visit China in 2026? | No | 20 | 32¢ | 94¢ | $19 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat? | Yes | 22 | 78¢ | 78.5¢ | $17 | +$0.11 | $0 | |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 111 | 38.5¢ | 13.1¢ | $14 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Ben Pasternak jailed? | Yes | 438 | 63.2¢ | 2.7¢ | $12 | −$265 | $0 | |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | No | 14 | 53¢ | 59.5¢ | $8.33 | +$0.91 | $0 | |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? | Yes | 55 | 27¢ | 8¢ | $4.40 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 556 | 1¢ | 0.5¢ | $3.06 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes | 55 | 28¢ | 5.5¢ | $3.02 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 222 | 67¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.33 | −$148 | $0 | |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 111 | 5.1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.06 | −$5.60 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 22.2k | 9.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,111 | $0 | |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 5,585 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$195 | −$7.55 | |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | Colts | 2,222 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$667 | $0 | |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 1,110 | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$289 | $0 | |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | No | 999 | 49.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$496 | $0 | |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | Yes | 997 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$828 | −$7.03 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 555 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$117 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | No | 384 | 72¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$276 | −$3,474 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 222 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar? | No | 222 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 222 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 144 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.61 | −$0.32 | |
