sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,429

ajaaja

0x93d…7345
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3,763vol $542k
PnL 30d+$2,101gains $2,260 · losses $40
PnL 7d+$73win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate91.4%adj 87.4% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$35.4kcash n/a
Positions72 / 259open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 6d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,414below peak −$4,316Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 91.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d79
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 72

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes12.7k94.2¢95.5¢$12.2k+$169$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No6,00081.2¢93.5¢$5,610+$738$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No6,00066.2¢64.5¢$3,870−$100$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No2,90190.8¢95.6¢$2,773+$138$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,50081.2¢84.5¢$2,112+$82$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No2,00086¢92.5¢$1,850+$130$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No1,67498¢98.9¢$1,655+$14$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes1,75060¢75.5¢$1,321+$271$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,00096.2¢97.9¢$979+$17$0
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?No1,00052¢86¢$860+$340$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No50068¢91¢$455+$115$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No50050¢85¢$425+$175$0
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes1,56251.7¢25¢$391−$417$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No1,00027¢19.5¢$195−$75$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No18888¢87.5¢$165−$0.94$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes41251¢38.5¢$159−$52$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No15989¢97.8¢$155+$14$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No18855¢59¢$111+$7.43$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,00038¢10.5¢$105−$275$0
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?Yes4785.9¢93¢$44+$3.38$0
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?No3090¢96.6¢$29+$1.97$0
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes16.9k0.7¢0¢$0−$125−$1.64
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No5,61866.7¢0¢$0−$3,745$0
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes5,0000.2¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0005.2¢0¢$0−$260−$7.39
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes5,00064¢0¢$0−$3,200$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes2,0005¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes1,50014.6¢0¢$0−$219$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 24?No1,33088.4¢0¢$0−$1,175$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?No1,29884.9¢0¢$0−$1,102−$234
US strikes Iraq by February 28?No1,11586.2¢0¢$0−$961$0
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?No1,00025¢0¢$0−$250$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Yes1,00077¢0¢$0−$770$0
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes1,00032¢0¢$0−$320$0
Will Casper Ruud Win ATP MontrealYes1,0003¢0¢$0−$30$0
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Under1,00069¢0¢$0−$690$0
Will Mamdani say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during his announcement?Yes1,00065.5¢0¢$0−$655$0
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0003.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Iraq1,00078¢0¢$0−$780$0
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?No1,00063¢0¢$0−$630$0
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes1,00059¢0¢$0−$590$0
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No80065¢0¢$0−$520$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes60039¢0¢$0−$234$0
Will MrBeast hit 117 billion views by March 31?Yes57989.1¢0¢$0−$516$0
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?Yes50016¢0¢$0−$80$0
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No50052¢0¢$0−$260$0
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes5005¢0¢$0−$25$0
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?Yes50016¢0¢$0−$80$0
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC50033¢0¢$0−$165−$3.32
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime GoalscorerNo50038¢0¢$0−$190$0
Vinicius Junior: Anytime GoalscorerNo50062¢0¢$0−$310$0
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No50038¢0¢$0−$190$0
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5Under50049¢0¢$0−$245$0
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?No48245¢0¢$0−$217$0
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Under41728¢0¢$0−$117$0
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?Yes40683¢0¢$0−$337$0
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes40023¢0¢$0−$92$0
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5Over39722¢0¢$0−$87$0
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Over30042¢0¢$0−$126$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes3005¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 25?Yes2481¢0¢$0−$2.48$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes20014¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 24?Yes17222.3¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?No1005.9¢0¢$0−$5.90$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 25?Yes892¢0¢$0−$1.78$0
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No6898¢0¢$0−$66$0
US government shutdown Saturday?No5551¢0¢$0−$28$0
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes1778¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No562¢0¢$0−$3.26$0
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?No580¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Will Taylor Fritz Win ATP MontrealYes35¢0¢$0−$0.17$0
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Over169¢0¢$0−$0.97$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?88¢188$16691%43
BUY NoWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?55¢188$10391%43
BUY YesWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?95¢678$64491%43
BUY YesWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?94¢5,696$5,35491%43
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?74¢1,500$1,11091%43
BUY GermanySpread: Germany (-3.5)47¢1,500$70591%43
BUY Manchester City FCSpread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)33¢500$16591%43
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?77¢41$3291%43
BUY NoWill Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?97.8¢118$11691%43
BUY YesWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?5.2¢5,000$26091%43
BUY NoWill Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?98¢258$25291%43
BUY NoWill Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?97¢72$7091%43
BUY NoOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?42¢200$8491%43
BUY NoWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?97¢2$1.5591%43
BUY YesWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.8¢6,896$5591%43
BUY NoWill Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?95.9¢500$48091%43
BUY YesRyan Reynolds as Deadpool?85.9¢47$4191%43
BUY NoMark Ruffalo as Hulk?42¢463$19491%43
BUY YesTom Holland as Spider-Man?65.7¢448$29491%43
BUY No50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?99.9¢211$21091%43