sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

MirAsifAhr

0x943…e75f
WR 70+WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$197vol $388k
PnL 30d+$552gains $1,154 · losses $3,871
PnL 7d+$480win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate74.1%adj 73.2% · 30d 73.7%
Open value$32.9kcash n/a
Positions36 / 579open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,124below peak −$2,821Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 74.1% · shrunk toward 50%83
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$1,574Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$1,545Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? · Noclosed+$604Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Noclosed+$554Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$489

Worst markets

Fed rate hike in 2026? · Noopen−$3,313Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Noclosed−$1,609Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,259US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Noclosed−$966Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? · Noclosed−$885

Open positions · 36

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No2,80096.2¢98¢$2,743+$50$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No2,59096¢99.5¢$2,576+$89$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1,92088¢95.5¢$1,834+$144$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,00089¢87.5¢$1,750−$30$0
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No1,54093¢92.5¢$1,425−$7.70$0
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No1,38991¢95.5¢$1,326+$62$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,40088¢94.5¢$1,323+$91$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No1,31092¢95.5¢$1,251+$46$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No1,55985.8¢79.5¢$1,239−$98$0
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No1,09088.6¢92.3¢$1,006+$41$0
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?No1,02690.1¢97.3¢$998+$73$0
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1,17782¢83.5¢$983+$18$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No1,00989¢96.7¢$976+$78$0
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?No1,06092¢91.5¢$970−$5.30$0
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?No1,00088.3¢95.1¢$951+$68$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No1,00093¢94.5¢$945+$15$0
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?No1,00988.8¢92.3¢$931+$36$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00986¢85.5¢$863−$5.04$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?No89695.2¢96.3¢$862+$9.67$0
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No87092¢96.1¢$836+$35$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?No70086¢97¢$679+$77$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No61985.6¢95.1¢$589+$59$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?No66087¢86.5¢$571−$3.30$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No70971¢73.5¢$521+$18$0
Natural Disaster in 2026?No55188.5¢91¢$501+$14$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No50988.3¢97.9¢$498+$49$0
Will Solana reach $160 in October?No50592¢96.7¢$488+$24$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?No50591¢92.5¢$467+$7.58$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00984.4¢45.3¢$457−$395$0
Will Solana dip to $90 in October?No50592.6¢89¢$449−$18$0
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No45493¢97.4¢$442+$20$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No50581¢85.5¢$432+$23$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes50584¢83.5¢$422−$2.52−$405
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No42074.2¢92¢$386+$75−$13
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes27786.4¢91.5¢$254+$14$0
Fed rate hike in 2026?No3,71089.3¢0¢$0−$3,313$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?92¢1,060$97574%45
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?86¢1,009$86874%45
SELL NoTrump out as President before 2027?95.8¢2,400$2,29974%45
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?84¢505$42474%45
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?95.4¢391$37374%45
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?81¢505$40974%45
BUY NoWill Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?97.8¢1,002$98074%45
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?91¢505$46074%45
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?95¢505$48074%45
BUY NoWill Solana dip to $90 in October?92.6¢505$46874%45
BUY NoWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?87¢660$57474%45
BUY NoWill Solana reach $160 in October?92¢505$46574%45
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?86¢700$60274%45
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?93¢1,540$1,43274%45
BUY NoNatural Disaster in 2026?88.5¢551$48874%45
BUY YesWill The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?82¢1,177$96574%45
SELL NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?97.6¢1,820$1,77674%45
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?96.2¢2,800$2,69374%45
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?99.9¢1,920$1,91874%45
BUY YesWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?97¢660$64074%45