| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 218k | 16.2¢ | 16.5¢ | $36.0k | +$609 | +$212 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 18.0k | 33.9¢ | 44¢ | $7,920 | +$1,824 | +$176 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 141k | 6.5¢ | 5.5¢ | $7,745 | −$1,457 | −$18 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 33.0k | 35.2¢ | 23¢ | $7,589 | −$4,017 | −$1,381 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 25.0k | 17.6¢ | 18.5¢ | $4,625 | +$226 | −$726 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 12.0k | 29.2¢ | 37.5¢ | $4,500 | +$1,001 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 7,000 | 55.2¢ | 58.5¢ | $4,095 | +$233 | −$28 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 6,000 | 55.9¢ | 65.5¢ | $3,930 | +$577 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 38.2k | 8.5¢ | 7.5¢ | $2,863 | −$395 | −$141 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,204 | 38.3¢ | 51.3¢ | $1,644 | +$415 | +$28 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 21.0k | 5.3¢ | 5.5¢ | $1,155 | +$32 | +$14 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 12.1k | 13.1¢ | 5.5¢ | $664 | −$919 | +$20 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 6,001 | 11¢ | 10.5¢ | $630 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,653 | 8.2¢ | 5.5¢ | $476 | −$231 | −$78 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 4,000 | 16¢ | 11.5¢ | $460 | −$180 | −$1,221 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | No | 9,563 | 6.3¢ | 4.7¢ | $449 | −$158 | +$3.86 | |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 7,000 | 9¢ | 6¢ | $420 | −$210 | −$59 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 927 | 49.4¢ | 42.5¢ | $394 | −$64 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | Yes | 11.2k | 4.7¢ | 2.9¢ | $330 | −$194 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 6,000 | 6¢ | 5.1¢ | $303 | −$55 | +$1,742 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | Yes | 4,158 | 7.8¢ | 6.5¢ | $270 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 1,989 | 0¢ | 12.7¢ | $253 | +$253 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 690 | 36¢ | 36.5¢ | $252 | +$3.45 | −$0.83 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 1,544 | 17.8¢ | 15.5¢ | $239 | −$35 | $0 | |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? | Yes | 4,000 | 9.1¢ | 5.6¢ | $222 | −$141 | −$123 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 1,500 | 15¢ | 12.5¢ | $187 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 303 | 49¢ | 60.5¢ | $183 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | Yes | 510 | 25¢ | 35.5¢ | $181 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | Yes | 1,900 | 5.5¢ | 9.5¢ | $181 | +$77 | +$48 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | No | 18.2k | 2.3¢ | 0.9¢ | $164 | −$248 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 280 | 40.1¢ | 58¢ | $162 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 700 | 0¢ | 22.5¢ | $157 | +$157 | $0 | |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 178 | 68.9¢ | 87.4¢ | $155 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Houthi military action against Mecca by September 30, 2026? | No | 151 | 97.7¢ | 99.4¢ | $150 | +$2.52 | $0 | |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 1,927 | 22.5¢ | 6.5¢ | $125 | −$308 | $0 | |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 457 | 21.9¢ | 25.5¢ | $117 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 7, 2026? | Yes | 183 | 93¢ | 61¢ | $111 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 582 | 23¢ | 19¢ | $111 | −$23 | +$1.40 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 2,879 | 5.8¢ | 3.7¢ | $107 | −$61 | $0 | |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 11¢ | 9¢ | $90 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | Yes | 2,000 | 11¢ | 3.7¢ | $73 | −$147 | $0 | |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1,626 | 10.3¢ | 4.5¢ | $72 | −$94 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 239 | 28¢ | 29.5¢ | $71 | +$3.59 | $0 | |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | Yes | 3,000 | 7.2¢ | 2.3¢ | $69 | −$147 | +$5.94 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 690 | 20¢ | 9¢ | $62 | −$76 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 104 | 48.3¢ | 59.5¢ | $62 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | Yes | 3,822 | 1.9¢ | 1.4¢ | $54 | −$21 | −$151 | |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 1,348 | 14.8¢ | 3.7¢ | $50 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 93 | 62.2¢ | 51¢ | $48 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 200 | 28¢ | 23.5¢ | $47 | −$9.00 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? | No | 1,105 | 11.9¢ | 4.2¢ | $46 | −$85 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 57 | 87¢ | 77.6¢ | $45 | −$5.43 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 670 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | $44 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | Yes | 301 | 14.9¢ | 12¢ | $36 | −$8.82 | $0 | |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20? | Yes | 163 | 27¢ | 22¢ | $36 | −$8.15 | $0 | |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 8,440 | 0¢ | 0.4¢ | $34 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 667 | 15¢ | 5¢ | $33 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | Yes | 1,300 | 17¢ | 2.4¢ | $31 | −$190 | $0 | |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? | Yes | 206 | 16¢ | 12¢ | $25 | −$8.25 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? | Yes | 1,887 | 1.8¢ | 1.3¢ | $24 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | Yes | 24 | 89.4¢ | 93¢ | $22 | +$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 7,511 | 1.9¢ | 0.3¢ | $19 | −$127 | $0 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 187 | 6.9¢ | 9.6¢ | $18 | +$4.98 | $0 | |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15? | Yes | 101 | 16¢ | 14¢ | $14 | −$2.03 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 69 | 34¢ | 15.5¢ | $11 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Another Elon baby by December 31? | Yes | 45 | 7.9¢ | 17.3¢ | $7.76 | +$4.22 | $0 | |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1,931 | 0¢ | 0.4¢ | $6.76 | +$6.76 | $0 | |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | Yes | 22 | 22.8¢ | 26.5¢ | $5.82 | +$0.82 | $0 | |
| Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 241 | 2.8¢ | 2.4¢ | $5.77 | −$0.92 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | Yes | 35 | 20¢ | 13.7¢ | $4.81 | −$2.21 | $0 | |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 18? | Yes | 60 | 27¢ | 8¢ | $4.80 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 17 | 23¢ | 26¢ | $4.52 | +$0.52 | $0 | |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | Yes | 508 | 28.3¢ | 0.8¢ | $4.07 | −$140 | $0 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 23 | 22¢ | 15.5¢ | $3.52 | −$1.48 | $0 | |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31? | Yes | 10 | 34¢ | 35¢ | $3.50 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 20 | 16¢ | 11.5¢ | $2.34 | −$0.91 | $0 | |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 268 | 0¢ | 0.9¢ | $2.28 | +$2.28 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 14 | 7¢ | 5¢ | $0.71 | −$0.29 | $0 | |
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | 1.4¢ | $0.07 | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | No | 110k | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.4k | −$852 | |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25? | No | 103k | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,377 | −$490 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 88.1k | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,606 | −$2,578 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | No | 86.8k | 6.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,657 | −$67 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | Yes | 75.0k | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,534 | −$9,149 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | No | 71.0k | 7.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,540 | −$1,994 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | No | 66.6k | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,264 | −$8,928 | |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | Yes | 64.0k | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,791 | −$75 | |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? | No | 58.0k | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,502 | −$117 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 33.2k | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,800 | −$885 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | No | 26.5k | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,661 | −$2,739 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 23.9k | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,484 | −$1,461 | |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? | Yes | 23.8k | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$685 | $0 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 23.8k | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,587 | −$676 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | No | 23.0k | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,828 | −$1,044 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | Yes | 22.0k | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,466 | −$75 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | Yes | 21.1k | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$328 | −$7.15 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | No | 18.0k | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$869 | +$816 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | Yes | 15.8k | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$833 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | Yes | 13.9k | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$101 | −$5.00 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | Yes | 13.6k | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$548 | $0 | |
