sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,205

Constancefung

0x9a5…4261
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportOtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$7,251vol $896k
PnL 30d+$1,262gains $1,967 · losses $475
PnL 7d−$16win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.9%adj 81.7% · 30d 87.0%
Open value$13.5kcash n/a
Positions29 / 828open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.8%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 51m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$7,467below peak −$199Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 82.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity62

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$702Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance · Argentinaclosed+$331Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance · Argentinaclosed+$326Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Argentinaclosed+$310Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? · Noclosed+$284

Worst markets

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · Noclosed−$2,794Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · Noclosed−$1,489France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? · Noclosed−$551LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · T1closed−$338US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$300

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo5,40390.6¢90.5¢$4,890−$6.87$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,31196.5¢97.2¢$1,273+$8.76$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,00795.4¢97.3¢$980+$18$0
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?No62593.9¢94.5¢$590+$3.41$0
Will Knight win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?No58591.5¢91.8¢$537+$1.53$0
Will a Western team win Worlds 2026?No45693¢93.5¢$427+$2.28$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?No40489.9¢97.3¢$393+$30$0
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 in October?No43092¢91¢$391−$4.30$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No40086.8¢97.2¢$389+$42$0
Will Xun win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?No38195¢95¢$362$0$0
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes35183.9¢95.1¢$334+$39−$40
Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?No52079.9¢63¢$328−$88$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?No30097.8¢98.9¢$297+$3.15$0
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No29185¢97.3¢$283+$36+$71
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of October 12 2026?No26694.8¢93¢$247−$4.66$0
Will Solana reach $150 in October?No22896.4¢96.4¢$220+$0.03$0
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of October 12 2026?No23390.7¢89.5¢$209−$2.82$0
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,260 in October?No21092.8¢94.5¢$198+$3.55$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $272 in October?No20092.5¢98¢$196+$11$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?No20095.6¢94.2¢$188−$2.90$0
Will Micron (MU) close above $1,200 end of October?No20094¢94¢$188$0$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No16397.5¢99.7¢$162+$3.43$0
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?No11192.5¢96.5¢$107+$4.45$0
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 in October?No10494.4¢95.5¢$99+$1.16$0
Will LYON Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?No6195.8¢96.3¢$59+$0.29$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?No5094¢95.5¢$48+$0.75$0
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of October 12 2026?No4293.4¢91.5¢$38−$0.81$0
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?No1674¢74.5¢$12+$0.08$0
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on October 13?Down1393.8¢52.5¢$6.83−$5.37$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY HANJIN BRIONLoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs86¢100$8683%75Sharp
SELL DownHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on October 13?1.6¢13$0.2183%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of October 12 2026?94¢30$2883%75Sharp
BUY DownHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on October 13?93.8¢13$1283%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of October 12 2026?92¢12$1183%75Sharp
BUY NoWill SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of October 12 2026?92.8¢133$12383%75Sharp
BUY NoWill SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of October 12 2026?96.8¢133$12983%75Sharp
SELL YesWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?96.3¢596$57483%75Sharp
BUY NoWill SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $174 Week of October 12 2026?88¢100$8883%75Sharp
SELL NoFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?97.5¢553$53983%75Sharp
BUY NoWill SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of October 12 2026?92.8¢133$12383%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 in October?92¢430$39683%75Sharp
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?94¢50$4783%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 in October?95¢40$3883%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,260 in October?95¢40$3883%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 in October?94¢64$6083%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,260 in October?94¢40$3883%75Sharp
SELL NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?98.7¢500$49483%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Xun win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?95¢381$36283%75Sharp
BUY NoWill LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?80¢500$40083%75Sharp