| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 31.9k | 96.1¢ | 97.3¢ | $31.0k | +$362 | +$262 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 31.9k | 87.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $28.9k | +$952 | +$16 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 27.9k | 85.8¢ | 88.5¢ | $24.7k | +$747 | +$1,374 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 19.6k | 84.3¢ | 87.3¢ | $17.1k | +$569 | +$50 | |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 12.9k | 95.8¢ | 97.8¢ | $12.6k | +$264 | +$61 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 11.6k | 93.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $11.0k | +$111 | +$5,350 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 10.7k | 72.9¢ | 77.5¢ | $8,279 | +$489 | +$20 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 4,886 | 92.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,617 | +$82 | +$268 | |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 4,743 | 91.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $4,435 | +$79 | +$22 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 4,400 | 96.1¢ | 97.7¢ | $4,299 | +$69 | −$88 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 4,570 | 91.6¢ | 91.5¢ | $4,182 | −$6.17 | +$28 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 4,000 | 94.2¢ | 94¢ | $3,760 | −$9.00 | −$147 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 3,897 | 92.4¢ | 94.5¢ | $3,682 | +$83 | +$11 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,000 | 89¢ | 90.5¢ | $3,620 | +$60 | +$263 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | No | 4,145 | 90.3¢ | 83.9¢ | $3,477 | −$267 | +$6.63 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,325 | 91.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $3,076 | +$48 | −$16 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,049 | 80.3¢ | 89.5¢ | $2,728 | +$280 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? | No | 2,916 | 87.4¢ | 88¢ | $2,566 | +$18 | +$1.71 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | No | 2,939 | 84.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $2,513 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | No | 2,602 | 90.8¢ | 95¢ | $2,472 | +$110 | +$398 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2,500 | 96.8¢ | 97.7¢ | $2,441 | +$21 | −$536 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,389 | 85.9¢ | 95.9¢ | $2,290 | +$238 | +$5.22 | |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 2,267 | 84.1¢ | 89.5¢ | $2,029 | +$122 | +$10 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,116 | 87.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,999 | +$139 | +$5.35 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 2,000 | 90.6¢ | 98.2¢ | $1,964 | +$151 | +$27 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 2,000 | 93¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,870 | +$10 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 91¢ | 89.5¢ | $1,790 | −$30 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 2,242 | 74.6¢ | 79.5¢ | $1,782 | +$111 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,488 | 75.9¢ | 48.1¢ | $1,676 | −$973 | −$821 | |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | No | 1,835 | 87.8¢ | 89.5¢ | $1,642 | +$32 | +$0.67 | |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,700 | 85.6¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,573 | +$117 | +$161 | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 1,400 | 88.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,267 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 1,332 | 89.3¢ | 94.2¢ | $1,255 | +$66 | +$31 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 1,199 | 92.1¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,133 | +$29 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | No | 1,121 | 92.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,048 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | No | 1,173 | 89¢ | 88.8¢ | $1,041 | −$2.63 | +$13 | |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 1,174 | 82.7¢ | 85.5¢ | $1,004 | +$33 | +$1.30 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 1,200 | 78.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $978 | +$36 | +$10 | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 1,000 | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $955 | +$15 | +$13 | |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 95¢ | 94.5¢ | $945 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,041 | 82.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $942 | +$82 | $0 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 1,145 | 86.5¢ | 81.5¢ | $933 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,061 | 79.9¢ | 86.5¢ | $918 | +$70 | −$1.56 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 1,000 | 89.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $905 | +$10 | +$0.59 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 82¢ | 88.5¢ | $885 | +$65 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October? | No | 861 | 97.2¢ | 99.1¢ | $853 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | No | 840 | 93.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $794 | +$10 | +$8.27 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 900 | 83.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $788 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? | No | 1,019 | 70.8¢ | 69¢ | $703 | −$18 | +$2.86 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027? | No | 731 | 90¢ | 95.5¢ | $698 | +$40 | +$0.61 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 700 | 97.5¢ | 97.3¢ | $681 | −$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 700 | 89.3¢ | 95¢ | $665 | +$40 | +$270 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | No | 900 | 76.8¢ | 73.5¢ | $662 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 801 | 65.3¢ | 81.5¢ | $653 | +$130 | +$5.88 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 700 | 86.4¢ | 91.8¢ | $642 | +$38 | +$6.72 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 696 | 84.2¢ | 92¢ | $640 | +$54 | −$175 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | No | 763 | 76.9¢ | 83.5¢ | $637 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 710 | 87.5¢ | 88¢ | $625 | +$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 607 | 95.7¢ | 95.6¢ | $580 | −$0.91 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 702 | 81.8¢ | 81¢ | $569 | −$5.84 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | No | 920 | 66.2¢ | 60.5¢ | $557 | −$52 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 600 | 80.7¢ | 92.5¢ | $555 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October? | No | 573 | 94.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $541 | −$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December? | No | 553 | 94.4¢ | 96¢ | $531 | +$8.33 | +$0.08 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | No | 540 | 96.3¢ | 95.3¢ | $514 | −$5.67 | $0 | |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | No | 608 | 84.2¢ | 82.7¢ | $503 | −$8.97 | +$24 | |
| Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026? | No | 543 | 93.1¢ | 92¢ | $499 | −$5.75 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 1,100 | 69.2¢ | 43.5¢ | $478 | −$282 | −$20 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 548 | 86.7¢ | 85.2¢ | $467 | −$8.44 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 494 | 91.8¢ | 92.5¢ | $457 | +$3.42 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 500 | 80.8¢ | 80.5¢ | $403 | −$1.50 | +$60 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | No | 507 | 71¢ | 79¢ | $401 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | No | 466 | 82.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $399 | +$14 | +$3.84 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? | No | 405 | 90¢ | 96.3¢ | $390 | +$25 | +$6.91 | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 500 | 81¢ | 73.5¢ | $367 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026? | No | 362 | 91¢ | 99.4¢ | $360 | +$30 | +$13 | |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? | No | 356 | 94.9¢ | 95.6¢ | $340 | +$2.65 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 800 | 78¢ | 41.5¢ | $332 | −$292 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 420 | 58.1¢ | 78¢ | $328 | +$84 | $0 | |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 362 | 84.1¢ | 89¢ | $322 | +$18 | +$12 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October? | No | 420 | 82.9¢ | 76¢ | $319 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 2,000 | 17.5¢ | 15.5¢ | $310 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 600 | 61.5¢ | 50.5¢ | $303 | −$66 | $0 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | No | 341 | 86.5¢ | 88.5¢ | $302 | +$6.70 | $0 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October? | No | 332 | 89.3¢ | 90.5¢ | $300 | +$3.86 | +$1.28 | |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 324 | 90.7¢ | 91.5¢ | $296 | +$2.60 | +$9.02 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 2,700 | 11¢ | 10.5¢ | $284 | −$13 | +$33 | |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in October? | No | 280 | 93.3¢ | 96.1¢ | $269 | +$7.75 | +$0.92 | |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 350 | 74.4¢ | 76.5¢ | $268 | +$7.25 | −$102 | |
| Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2? | No | 300 | 87¢ | 88.5¢ | $266 | +$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? | No | 300 | 81.3¢ | 88.5¢ | $265 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 600 | 37¢ | 44¢ | $264 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | No | 300 | 84¢ | 88¢ | $264 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 65¢ | 80.5¢ | $242 | +$47 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 400 | 63¢ | 58.5¢ | $234 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October? | No | 380 | 52.5¢ | 60¢ | $228 | +$29 | +$0.67 | |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? | No | 230 | 89.8¢ | 98.5¢ | $227 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? | No | 264 | 76.7¢ | 82¢ | $217 | +$14 | +$0.13 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $820 in October? | No | 220 | 94¢ | 96.9¢ | $213 | +$6.38 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? | No | 224 | 88¢ | 95¢ | $213 | +$16 | $0 | |
