| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 15.9k | 71.7¢ | 92.5¢ | $14.7k | +$3,300 | +$104 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 10.3k | 52.3¢ | 87¢ | $8,928 | +$3,560 | +$2,371 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 862 | 87¢ | 89.5¢ | $771 | +$22 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 417 | 79¢ | 91¢ | $379 | +$50 | −$14 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 399 | 87¢ | 93.5¢ | $373 | +$26 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 395 | 88¢ | 91.5¢ | $361 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 1,677 | 13¢ | 16.5¢ | $277 | +$58 | +$151 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 294 | 88¢ | 90.5¢ | $266 | +$7.35 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 2,471 | 12¢ | 10.5¢ | $259 | −$37 | +$3.76 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 254 | 51.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $215 | +$85 | $0 | |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 211 | 62.1¢ | 98.4¢ | $207 | +$76 | −$0.81 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1,203 | 57¢ | 13.5¢ | $162 | −$523 | −$7.84 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 1,030 | 17.1¢ | 15.5¢ | $160 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 139 | 94¢ | 96.9¢ | $135 | +$3.97 | $0 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 492 | 30¢ | 26.5¢ | $130 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 121 | 36.5¢ | 98.9¢ | $120 | +$75 | +$1.73 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 284 | 29.5¢ | 40¢ | $114 | +$30 | +$4.23 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 104 | 83.9¢ | 93.5¢ | $97 | +$9.98 | −$17 | |
| Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 62¢ | 93.1¢ | $93 | +$31 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 101 | 80¢ | 90¢ | $91 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 123 | 69.6¢ | 73.5¢ | $90 | +$4.79 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 151 | 69.3¢ | 58.8¢ | $89 | −$16 | −$9.81 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 106 | 70.6¢ | 81.5¢ | $86 | +$12 | −$4.53 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 96 | 49¢ | 84.5¢ | $81 | +$34 | −$9.98 | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 180 | 53.6¢ | 39¢ | $70 | −$26 | −$6.50 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 87 | 61.6¢ | 79.5¢ | $69 | +$16 | −$5.25 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 112 | 52.4¢ | 58.5¢ | $66 | +$6.86 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 352 | 21¢ | 18.5¢ | $65 | −$8.81 | +$95 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 84 | 49¢ | 77¢ | $64 | +$23 | +$0.21 | |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 67 | 79¢ | 91.5¢ | $61 | +$8.38 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 70 | 77.4¢ | 81¢ | $57 | +$2.53 | $0 | |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | Yes | 70 | 71.4¢ | 80.5¢ | $56 | +$6.35 | $0 | |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 128 | 39.2¢ | 44¢ | $56 | +$6.10 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 244 | 41.7¢ | 20.5¢ | $50 | −$52 | +$5.80 | |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 57 | 80¢ | 83.5¢ | $48 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026? | No | 50 | 67¢ | 95¢ | $48 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 863 | 7¢ | 5.5¢ | $47 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 43 | 69.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $41 | +$11 | −$2.69 | |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | Yes | 66 | 45.6¢ | 59.9¢ | $40 | +$9.38 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 56 | 70.1¢ | 70.5¢ | $39 | +$0.20 | −$15 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 55 | 83.4¢ | 71.3¢ | $39 | −$6.63 | −$6.67 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | 87.3¢ | 97.5¢ | $39 | +$4.10 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 43 | 13¢ | 89¢ | $38 | +$33 | +$4.81 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 38 | 91.5¢ | 94.5¢ | $36 | +$1.13 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 62 | 63¢ | 56.5¢ | $35 | −$4.04 | $0 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 39 | 86.3¢ | 83.8¢ | $33 | −$0.99 | −$39 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat? | No | 50 | 60¢ | 64.5¢ | $32 | +$2.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 58 | 59.9¢ | 55.5¢ | $32 | −$2.56 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 34 | 83¢ | 90.5¢ | $31 | +$2.55 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 62 | 59.5¢ | 48.7¢ | $30 | −$6.70 | −$8.57 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 131 | 35.4¢ | 21.5¢ | $28 | −$18 | +$1.08 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 77 | 46¢ | 36.5¢ | $28 | −$7.32 | +$0.40 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 155 | 15.5¢ | 17.8¢ | $28 | +$3.64 | $0 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 30 | 86¢ | 91.5¢ | $27 | +$1.65 | $0 | |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 28 | 87¢ | 95.7¢ | $27 | +$2.44 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 177 | 67.9¢ | 14.2¢ | $25 | −$95 | −$15 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 50 | 47¢ | 50.5¢ | $25 | +$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 38 | 47¢ | 65.5¢ | $25 | +$7.03 | +$0.36 | |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 250 | 3.9¢ | 9.9¢ | $25 | +$15 | $0 | |
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028? | No | 46 | 33¢ | 53.5¢ | $25 | +$9.43 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 96 | 42.4¢ | 25.5¢ | $24 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 27 | 58¢ | 85.5¢ | $23 | +$7.42 | $0 | |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 145 | 35.7¢ | 15¢ | $22 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 27 | 83.9¢ | 79.5¢ | $21 | −$1.20 | −$64 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 40 | 51.4¢ | 52.5¢ | $21 | +$0.44 | +$20 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 459 | 40.6¢ | 4.5¢ | $20 | −$166 | +$0.39 | |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 109 | 24¢ | 18.5¢ | $20 | −$6.00 | +$10 | |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 267 | 7¢ | 7.5¢ | $20 | +$1.33 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 31 | 48¢ | 62.5¢ | $19 | +$4.50 | +$1.22 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 150 | 10¢ | 12.5¢ | $19 | +$3.75 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 31 | 61.3¢ | 60.5¢ | $18 | −$0.25 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 29 | 71.4¢ | 63.5¢ | $18 | −$2.29 | $0 | |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | Yes | 130 | 34.7¢ | 13.5¢ | $18 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 66 | 30¢ | 26¢ | $17 | −$2.64 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 176 | 12.2¢ | 9.5¢ | $17 | −$4.78 | +$1.90 | |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 15 | 91¢ | 94.5¢ | $14 | +$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 15 | 86.3¢ | 93.1¢ | $14 | +$1.01 | $0 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 13 | 85.8¢ | 99.7¢ | $13 | +$1.81 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 67 | 34¢ | 19¢ | $13 | −$10 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 30 | 43¢ | 41.5¢ | $12 | −$0.45 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | No | 16 | 72¢ | 77.5¢ | $12 | +$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 52 | 31.1¢ | 22.5¢ | $12 | −$4.46 | $0 | |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 16 | 47.4¢ | 67¢ | $11 | +$3.13 | +$0.29 | |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 13 | 60¢ | 76.5¢ | $9.95 | +$2.15 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | No | 10 | 85.8¢ | 98.4¢ | $9.84 | +$1.26 | $0 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 10 | 89¢ | 97.3¢ | $9.72 | +$0.82 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 13 | 56¢ | 74¢ | $9.62 | +$2.34 | $0 | |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | 14 | 52¢ | 68.5¢ | $9.59 | +$2.31 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 10 | 80.1¢ | 95.5¢ | $9.55 | +$1.54 | −$6.02 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 90.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $9.55 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 10 | 84.3¢ | 94.5¢ | $9.45 | +$1.02 | −$1.72 | |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | No | 12 | 83¢ | 76.3¢ | $9.16 | −$0.80 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | No | 41 | 53.6¢ | 22¢ | $9.02 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 90 | 11¢ | 10¢ | $9.00 | −$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 24 | 52¢ | 37.5¢ | $9.00 | −$3.48 | −$0.18 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 21 | 8¢ | 43¢ | $8.94 | +$7.27 | $0 | |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 11 | 69.3¢ | 80.7¢ | $8.87 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | No | 11 | 44¢ | 73¢ | $8.03 | +$3.19 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 10 | 78¢ | 78.5¢ | $7.85 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 15 | 56¢ | 49.5¢ | $7.42 | −$0.97 | $0 | |