| Will Trump deport 400-500k people? | Yes | 1,563 | 25¢ | 53.5¢ | $836 | +$446 | +$236 | |
| Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | No | 810 | 62.1¢ | 74.1¢ | $600 | +$97 | −$31 | |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 3,557 | 16.5¢ | 16.5¢ | $587 | +$0.93 | +$19 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 500 | 95.7¢ | 97.3¢ | $487 | +$8.00 | $0 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 2,061 | 20.5¢ | 22.5¢ | $464 | +$40 | +$185 | |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | No | 834 | 41.2¢ | 54¢ | $450 | +$107 | +$35 | |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | No | 799 | 48.4¢ | 46.1¢ | $368 | −$19 | +$46 | |
| Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | Yes | 768 | 42.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $342 | +$15 | +$5.36 | |
| Will Euphoria rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? | No | 753 | 44¢ | 43.5¢ | $328 | −$3.88 | +$12 | |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | Yes | 947 | 1.2¢ | 34.5¢ | $327 | +$315 | +$16 | |
| Will Catherine O'Hara rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | No | 401 | 77.2¢ | 80.5¢ | $322 | +$13 | +$23 | |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | No | 473 | 67.4¢ | 67.5¢ | $319 | +$0.40 | +$0.71 | |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | Yes | 400 | 67.3¢ | 79.5¢ | $318 | +$49 | +$7.98 | |
| Will Nancy Guthrie be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | Yes | 3,267 | 7.1¢ | 9.5¢ | $310 | +$79 | +$16 | |
| Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | Yes | 1,469 | 20.7¢ | 20¢ | $294 | −$10 | +$3.46 | |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 743 | 35.8¢ | 39.5¢ | $293 | +$28 | +$7.90 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes | 1,987 | 15.2¢ | 14.5¢ | $288 | −$13 | +$0.45 | |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | Yes | 596 | 60.2¢ | 48¢ | $286 | −$73 | −$2.03 | |
| Will Ali Khamenei rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | No | 368 | 67.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $282 | +$33 | +$32 | |
| Will Michael rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | No | 637 | 51.5¢ | 43.5¢ | $277 | −$51 | +$10 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,000 | 28¢ | 27.5¢ | $275 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | Yes | 1,396 | 23¢ | 18¢ | $251 | −$70 | −$5.42 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | No | 625 | 36.1¢ | 39.5¢ | $247 | +$22 | +$82 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | Yes | 1,000 | 22¢ | 24.5¢ | $245 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Jude Bellingham rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | No | 280 | 83¢ | 87¢ | $244 | +$11 | +$7.05 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1,110 | 29¢ | 21.5¢ | $239 | −$83 | −$9.00 | |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | No | 329 | 42.6¢ | 70¢ | $230 | +$90 | +$25 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | Yes | 681 | 30.2¢ | 32.5¢ | $221 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,288 | 14.4¢ | 17¢ | $219 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 2,000 | 12.3¢ | 10.5¢ | $210 | −$37 | −$278 | |
| Next James Bond announced by October 31, 2026? | No | 299 | 69.8¢ | 64.5¢ | $193 | −$16 | +$5.17 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | No | 212 | 64.3¢ | 87.5¢ | $185 | +$49 | +$33 | |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? | Yes | 240 | 30.7¢ | 74.6¢ | $179 | +$105 | +$9.51 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | No | 224 | 89.9¢ | 78.5¢ | $176 | −$26 | −$442 | |
| Will Ali Khamenei rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026? | No | 268 | 59¢ | 64.5¢ | $173 | +$15 | +$3.11 | |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 349 | 53.4¢ | 48.5¢ | $169 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will Lindsey Graham rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | No | 268 | 69.5¢ | 62¢ | $166 | −$20 | +$42 | |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | Yes | 221 | 49.9¢ | 74.5¢ | $165 | +$54 | +$5.53 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,500 | 16.3¢ | 6.5¢ | $162 | −$244 | −$38 | |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | No | 270 | 66.5¢ | 60¢ | $162 | −$18 | +$3.45 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 300 | 55.9¢ | 51.5¢ | $155 | −$13 | +$16 | |
| Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 249 | 77.6¢ | 61.5¢ | $153 | −$40 | +$7.13 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 1,000 | 16.7¢ | 14.5¢ | $145 | −$22 | +$29 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 12¢ | 14.5¢ | $145 | +$25 | −$93 | |
| Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? | Yes | 349 | 32.9¢ | 40.5¢ | $141 | +$26 | +$70 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 2,000 | 10.5¢ | 6.5¢ | $130 | −$80 | −$25 | |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? | Yes | 1,500 | 7.2¢ | 8.6¢ | $129 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 147 | 70.2¢ | 76¢ | $112 | +$8.50 | +$22 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 400 | 28.2¢ | 27.6¢ | $110 | −$2.60 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 2,000 | 10.2¢ | 5.5¢ | $110 | −$95 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 200 | 64¢ | 54.5¢ | $109 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 25¢ | 21.5¢ | $108 | −$18 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 500 | 23.6¢ | 20.5¢ | $103 | −$16 | +$43 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | Yes | 1,500 | 8.3¢ | 6.8¢ | $102 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Renée Good rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026? | No | 128 | 71.8¢ | 79¢ | $101 | +$9.11 | +$32 | |
| Will Alex Pretti rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | No | 122 | 81.7¢ | 76.5¢ | $94 | −$6.32 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 500 | 18¢ | 18.5¢ | $93 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? | Yes | 170 | 29.1¢ | 54¢ | $92 | +$42 | +$52 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 90.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $90 | −$1.20 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 81¢ | 88.5¢ | $89 | +$7.50 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 10.6¢ | 4.3¢ | $85 | −$128 | +$49 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | Yes | 110 | 77.3¢ | 76¢ | $84 | −$1.47 | −$6.51 | |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | 195 | 55.4¢ | 42¢ | $82 | −$26 | −$46 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | Yes | 200 | 53¢ | 40.5¢ | $81 | −$25 | $0 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | Yes | 100 | 78¢ | 78.5¢ | $79 | +$0.50 | +$4.41 | |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 577 | 14¢ | 13.5¢ | $78 | −$2.88 | +$2.00 | |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 2,000 | 4.7¢ | 3.9¢ | $77 | −$17 | +$195 | |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 346 | 1¢ | 21.5¢ | $74 | +$71 | $0 | |
| Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | No | 197 | 25.2¢ | 35.5¢ | $70 | +$20 | +$42 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Yes | 80 | 75.6¢ | 84.5¢ | $68 | +$7.10 | $0 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 500 | 13¢ | 13.5¢ | $68 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 500 | 17¢ | 12.5¢ | $62 | −$22 | −$28 | |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | No | 108 | 62.7¢ | 54.5¢ | $59 | −$8.82 | −$0.70 | |
| Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 1,282 | 0.3¢ | 3.7¢ | $47 | +$43 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,000 | 2.9¢ | 1.6¢ | $47 | −$42 | $0 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | No | 60 | 85¢ | 73.3¢ | $44 | −$7.02 | $0 | |
| Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? | Yes | 469 | 2.5¢ | 9¢ | $42 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Trump deport 300-400k people? | Yes | 415 | 18.6¢ | 10¢ | $41 | −$36 | −$16 | |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 49 | 63¢ | 82.5¢ | $41 | +$9.64 | +$0.05 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 250 | 31¢ | 14.5¢ | $36 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? | No | 45 | 90¢ | 79¢ | $36 | −$4.95 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 70 | 60.4¢ | 50¢ | $35 | −$7.30 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 500 | 7¢ | 7¢ | $35 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | Yes | 70 | 39¢ | 48.5¢ | $34 | +$6.69 | −$29 | |
| Will Kyle Busch rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026? | Yes | 100 | 50¢ | 34¢ | $34 | −$16 | −$0.81 | |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1,410 | 0.7¢ | 2.4¢ | $33 | +$24 | +$10 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 500 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | $33 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | Yes | 200 | 24¢ | 16.1¢ | $32 | −$16 | +$0.49 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | Yes | 33 | 89¢ | 93.5¢ | $31 | +$1.49 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 411 | 7¢ | 7.5¢ | $31 | +$2.06 | $0 | |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 15? | No | 31 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $29 | +$0.31 | $0 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | No | 32 | 95¢ | 87¢ | $28 | −$2.58 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | Yes | 578 | 7.8¢ | 4.5¢ | $26 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 638 | 7.3¢ | 4.1¢ | $26 | −$21 | +$2.60 | |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 10.5¢ | 7.8¢ | $23 | −$8.26 | +$102 | |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | Yes | 1,500 | 1.8¢ | 1.5¢ | $22 | −$4.65 | +$4.90 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14? | Yes | 50 | 51¢ | 43¢ | $21 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 30? | No | 20 | 83¢ | 99¢ | $20 | +$3.19 | $0 | |
| Will Wagner Moura rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? | Yes | 177 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $19 | +$1.77 | +$0.91 | |
| Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | Yes | 893 | 0.9¢ | 2.2¢ | $19 | +$11 | +$0.81 | |
