sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,806

Montecarlaw

0xb52…0808
PnL 10k+WR 60+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$12.2kvol $3.60M
PnL 30d+$7,665gains $9,348 · losses $4,769
PnL 7d+$552win rate 7d 68.2%
Win rate63.4%adj 62.9% · 30d 66.3%
Open value$17.7kcash n/a
Positions20 / 962open / all-time
Max drawdown−53.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 35m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$17.5kbelow peak −$3,228Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 63.4% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity47

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes11.0k84.2¢86.5¢$9,540+$255$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No4,00090.7¢86.5¢$3,458−$172+$59
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes10.3k13.7¢11.5¢$1,187−$227+$1,306
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes21.7k4.2¢3.5¢$750−$153+$301
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1,00774.3¢68.5¢$690−$58$0
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Klara Veldman vs Andre LukosiuteAndre Lukosiute50699.9¢100¢$506+$0.25$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No50095¢97.1¢$486+$11$0
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No46490¢90.9¢$421+$3.94+$3.47
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No30453¢50.5¢$154−$7.48+$4.91
Will Monaco be runner-up in the 2026-27 Ligue 1?No13081.9¢90.3¢$117+$11$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes30043.7¢39¢$117−$14$0
Will Daniil Medvedev Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No29033.1¢35¢$101+$5.49$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No50517.9¢11¢$56−$35$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,0003.1¢2.8¢$28−$3.44−$12
Will Lyon be runner-up in the 2026-27 Ligue 1?No1883¢87.5¢$15+$0.79$0
Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No1872¢67.5¢$12−$0.82+$1.36
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No1096.7¢96¢$9.79−$0.08+$0.27
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes3,0000.4¢0.3¢$7.50−$4.36+$2.96

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY Anna ShkutovaW35 Monastir: Anna Shkutova vs Aleksandra Iankovskaia74.5¢983$73363%63
BUY Jenna DeFalcoW35 Redding, CA: Krisha Mahendran vs Jenna DeFalco99.9¢50$5063%63
BUY YesVillarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score59¢36$2163%63
BUY YesWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?86¢600$51663%63
BUY YesWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?81¢250$20263%63
BUY Ekaterine GorgodzeMallorca: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Ekaterine Gorgodze49¢90$4463%63
SELL Federico BondioliCatania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli47.5¢139$6663%63
BUY Alejo Sanchez QuilezMaia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez66¢700$46263%63
BUY Alejo Sanchez QuilezMaia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez63¢171$10863%63
BUY Federico BondioliCatania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli32¢500$16063%63
BUY Federico BondioliCatania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli30.9¢10$3.0963%63
BUY Laslo DjereOlbia: Michael Mmoh vs Laslo Djere57¢50$2963%63
BUY Valentin RoyerOlbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer95.8¢24$2363%63
BUY Valentin RoyerOlbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer97¢50$4963%63
BUY Valentin RoyerOlbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer99¢550$54463%63
BUY YesWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?39¢110$4363%63
SELL NoWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?97¢500$48563%63
BUY Valentin RoyerOlbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer96.7¢135$13163%63
SELL Andre LukosiuteW35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Klara Veldman vs Andre Lukosiute99.9¢10$9.9963%63
BUY Valentin RoyerOlbia: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer95¢25$2363%63