| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 510 | 89.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $451 | −$6.34 | −$33 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 423 | 46¢ | 29.2¢ | $123 | −$71 | −$130 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 151 | 70.7¢ | 73.5¢ | $111 | +$4.22 | −$25 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 116 | 85.3¢ | 89¢ | $103 | +$4.22 | −$1.35 | |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 83 | 90.9¢ | 98¢ | $81 | +$5.87 | −$3.32 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 78 | 87.8¢ | 95.8¢ | $75 | +$6.26 | −$0.55 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 133 | 42.5¢ | 52¢ | $69 | +$12 | −$5.56 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 85 | 68.8¢ | 68.5¢ | $58 | −$0.26 | −$1.55 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 70 | 84.9¢ | 82.5¢ | $57 | −$1.70 | −$8.21 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 80 | 72.3¢ | 69¢ | $55 | −$2.65 | −$2.63 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 90 | 36.8¢ | 51.5¢ | $46 | +$13 | −$8.85 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 101 | 59.7¢ | 44.6¢ | $45 | −$15 | −$38 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 39 | 68.6¢ | 85.5¢ | $34 | +$6.66 | +$2.75 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 37 | 78.1¢ | 84.5¢ | $31 | +$2.36 | −$0.32 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 35 | 85.2¢ | 87.3¢ | $31 | +$0.72 | +$0.50 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 31 | 96.3¢ | 97.9¢ | $30 | +$0.48 | −$0.02 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 36 | 78.8¢ | 81¢ | $29 | +$0.82 | −$0.03 | |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 27 | 81.6¢ | 85.5¢ | $23 | +$1.03 | −$0.37 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 32 | 65.3¢ | 69.2¢ | $22 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 32 | 66.8¢ | 56.5¢ | $18 | −$3.31 | −$7.89 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 22 | 85.4¢ | 81¢ | $17 | −$0.96 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 28 | 65.3¢ | 54.5¢ | $15 | −$3.07 | −$4.09 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? | No | 15 | 93.5¢ | 95.4¢ | $15 | +$0.28 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 14 | 77¢ | 96.8¢ | $13 | +$2.71 | +$0.05 | |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 14 | 93.8¢ | 93.4¢ | $13 | −$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | No | 12 | 97.3¢ | 96.7¢ | $12 | −$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | No | 12 | 91.7¢ | 92.9¢ | $11 | +$0.14 | −$1.52 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 11 | 97.3¢ | 97.2¢ | $11 | −$0.01 | −$0.01 | |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 12 | 81.3¢ | 92¢ | $11 | +$1.26 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 11 | 97.8¢ | 97¢ | $10 | −$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? | No | 8 | 81¢ | 94¢ | $7.99 | +$1.11 | +$0.14 | |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 9 | 80.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $7.26 | +$0.07 | −$0.12 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? | No | 7 | 92.8¢ | 95.5¢ | $7.16 | +$0.21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026? | No | 7 | 96¢ | 99.6¢ | $6.89 | +$0.25 | $0 | |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 7 | 79¢ | 92.6¢ | $6.81 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | No | 7 | 95¢ | 92.5¢ | $6.47 | −$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 6 | 73.7¢ | 99.6¢ | $6.22 | +$1.61 | −$6.62 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7 | 62¢ | 86.1¢ | $5.84 | +$1.63 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 6 | 98.5¢ | 93.6¢ | $5.53 | −$0.29 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 9 | 65.4¢ | 59¢ | $5.39 | −$0.58 | +$0.44 | |
| Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 5 | 98.4¢ | 97.4¢ | $4.95 | −$0.05 | −$0.01 | |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 5 | 68¢ | 90.5¢ | $4.92 | +$1.22 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 5 | 96¢ | 92.9¢ | $4.82 | −$0.16 | −$0.02 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 5 | 85¢ | 90.5¢ | $4.74 | +$0.29 | −$0.12 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | 91.2¢ | 98.5¢ | $4.67 | +$0.35 | +$0.25 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | 5 | 78¢ | 85.5¢ | $4.51 | +$0.39 | −$0.02 | |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 5 | 94.8¢ | 92.1¢ | $4.50 | −$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 4 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $3.97 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 4 | 97.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $3.87 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4 | 82¢ | 86.5¢ | $3.46 | +$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 5 | 60.3¢ | 71.6¢ | $3.25 | +$0.51 | −$8.37 | |
| Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026? | Yes | 4 | 98.6¢ | 78.9¢ | $3.20 | −$0.80 | −$0.16 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? | No | 3 | 99.5¢ | 99.2¢ | $2.96 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? | Yes | 3 | 72¢ | 84.5¢ | $2.13 | +$0.32 | −$0.20 | |
| Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? | No | 2 | 95.5¢ | 99.3¢ | $2.00 | +$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31? | No | 2 | 95¢ | 97.5¢ | $1.99 | +$0.05 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 2 | 98.8¢ | 98¢ | $1.97 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | No | 3 | 69¢ | 67.5¢ | $1.96 | −$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2 | 99.1¢ | 97.4¢ | $1.96 | −$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2 | 94¢ | 93.5¢ | $1.87 | −$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 2 | 86¢ | 86.5¢ | $1.75 | +$0.01 | +$0.16 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | No | 18 | 22.2¢ | 9.5¢ | $1.70 | −$2.28 | −$2.81 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? | No | 2 | 89.3¢ | 88.5¢ | $1.57 | −$0.01 | −$0.31 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 2 | 82¢ | 66¢ | $1.35 | −$0.33 | $0 | |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 14 | 8¢ | 8.5¢ | $1.21 | +$0.07 | $0 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 1 | 86¢ | 76.5¢ | $1.07 | −$0.13 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026? | No | 1 | 98.1¢ | 95.1¢ | $0.98 | −$0.03 | −$0.08 | |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 1 | 69¢ | 86.5¢ | $0.97 | +$0.20 | −$0.03 | |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | No | 1 | 77¢ | 89.5¢ | $0.94 | +$0.13 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 5 | 59¢ | 18.5¢ | $0.88 | −$1.92 | $0 | |
| Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? | Yes | 1 | 59¢ | 49.9¢ | $0.53 | −$0.10 | −$0.01 | |
| Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? | Yes | 9 | 30¢ | 4.5¢ | $0.41 | −$2.35 | −$0.18 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 27 | 6.6¢ | 1.1¢ | $0.28 | −$1.51 | −$47 | |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | No | 1 | 16.6¢ | 9.8¢ | $0.14 | −$0.10 | −$0.51 | |