sharpside
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marksman

0xb7d…0789
PnL 10k+1y+SportCulturePoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$18.7kvol $22.3M
PnL 30d+$8,593gains $18.4k · losses $11.8k
PnL 7d+$2,692win rate 7d 42.7%
Win rate42.8%adj 43.1% · 30d 43.3%
Open value$38.5kcash n/a
Positions253 / 5,560open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.6%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 45m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$21.8kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 42.8% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,80633.7¢88.4¢$2,482+$1,537+$184
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No2,99946.1¢82.5¢$2,474+$1,093+$2.20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,96369.7¢64.5¢$1,266−$102+$1.20
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?No1,33874.2¢89.5¢$1,198+$205+$17
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes4,80910.7¢24.2¢$1,161+$645+$50
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?No2,03556.3¢54.5¢$1,109−$38−$10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No1,31276.3¢82.1¢$1,077+$75$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?No1,12174.1¢91¢$1,020+$189+$25
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?No1,62466.4¢62.5¢$1,015−$64+$2.62
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No1,51252.8¢56.5¢$854+$56+$0.40
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No1,64540.9¢50.5¢$831+$158$0
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?No84379.1¢86.5¢$729+$62+$12
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No1,02677.7¢66¢$677−$120−$202
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,35838.1¢49.6¢$673+$156+$168
Will Pumas UNAM win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No69891.1¢95.1¢$664+$28−$0.90
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Yes81767.3¢80.3¢$656+$106−$42
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes1,51729.7¢41.5¢$629+$180−$0.45
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No1,50028.6¢41.5¢$622+$193−$1.05
Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?No61693.9¢96.8¢$596+$18$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes99246¢60.1¢$596+$139+$85
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?No64789.5¢90¢$582+$3.19−$0.49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo1,50546.8¢38.5¢$579−$125$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,47339.7¢37.5¢$552−$32$0
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?No48084¢97.2¢$467+$64−$8.50
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No45995.7¢99.7¢$457+$18−$20
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?No49782.5¢87.4¢$434+$25−$13
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No1,98119.5¢19.5¢$386−$0.07−$0.27
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No42091.3¢89.5¢$376−$7.50$0
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?No53956.7¢69.5¢$375+$69+$15
Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes42777.1¢86¢$367+$38+$0.24
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes66324.2¢53.4¢$354+$193+$129
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No82742.2¢42.5¢$351+$2.64+$11
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes89646.3¢37.5¢$336−$79−$81
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?No56365.9¢57.5¢$324−$47−$11
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes83239.1¢37.5¢$312−$13$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?No98226.8¢30.5¢$299+$36+$4.15
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes1,80115.7¢16.5¢$297+$15+$4.45
Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Yes50339¢59¢$297+$100+$25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes64450.4¢42.4¢$273−$52−$23
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?Yes85126.2¢31¢$264+$41+$15
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No39867.8¢66¢$263−$7.32$0
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?No30885.4¢83.5¢$257−$5.96−$94
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?No26370.8¢95.5¢$251+$65−$27
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes47660.9¢51.5¢$245−$45−$3.57
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes37745.3¢64.6¢$243+$73+$101
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes1,29319.2¢18.5¢$239−$9.42+$0.02
Will Luigi Zingales win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?No23496.5¢98.2¢$230+$3.75$0
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes48526.5¢44.5¢$216+$88+$34
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?No74437.4¢28.5¢$212−$66−$25
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No71436.2¢29.5¢$211−$48−$0.25
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?No32062.2¢65.5¢$210+$11$0
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No24485.2¢85.5¢$208+$0.64−$2.19
Will Tigres UANL win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No21694.5¢95.1¢$205+$1.22$0
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?Yes99319.8¢20.5¢$204+$7.33−$0.49
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes1,37219.6¢14.2¢$194−$75+$4.16
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes61535.8¢29.5¢$181−$39−$0.18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes80536.9¢22.5¢$181−$116−$349
Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No20483¢88.5¢$180+$11$0
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes1,05316.7¢17¢$179+$2.82−$22
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes42031¢40.7¢$171+$41$0
Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes72918.4¢23.1¢$168+$34+$78
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes55932.1¢29.5¢$165−$15$0
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes78714.7¢20.8¢$164+$49−$26
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes42543.4¢38.5¢$164−$21−$21
Will Jenna Dewan win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No17487.9¢94¢$164+$11$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,60511¢9.5¢$153−$24$0
Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?No20678.7¢73.5¢$152−$11−$4.55
Will Joey Logano win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?No15187.2¢92.2¢$139+$7.50+$0.07
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No14992.5¢92.2¢$137−$0.52−$11
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5,7458.3¢2.4¢$135−$344−$2.21
Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?Yes1,17112.3¢11.5¢$135−$9.52$0
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West?Yes30828.1¢42¢$129+$43−$0.31
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes1,50011.1¢8.5¢$127−$39+$57
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?Yes1,9166.8¢6.6¢$126−$3.86+$106
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?No14786¢82.5¢$121−$5.14$0
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South?Yes36824¢32.5¢$120+$31+$0.65
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?No15277.3¢76.8¢$117−$0.80−$48
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Yes18543.9¢59.5¢$110+$29−$6.76
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No10893.3¢98.8¢$107+$5.91+$55
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?No30724.9¢33.5¢$103+$26+$79
Will Monterrey win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No10692.9¢95.1¢$101+$2.28−$1.50
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?No11881.4¢82.5¢$97+$1.34$0
Will G2 Esports win VALORANT Champions 2026?No12184¢80¢$97−$4.93$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,0039.5¢9.5¢$95−$0.05+$85
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?No14665¢62¢$91−$4.39$0
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?No10192.5¢89.5¢$90−$3.02$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes77429.7¢11.5¢$89−$141−$21
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Yes29234.1¢30.1¢$88−$12−$7.99
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes28435.5¢30.5¢$87−$14$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?No29331¢29.5¢$86−$4.53−$35
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes8429.2¢9.5¢$80+$2.87−$2.09
Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?No9484.7¢84.7¢$79+$0.01$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No21439.3¢36.5¢$78−$5.89−$12
Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?No21134¢36.5¢$77+$5.21+$0.11
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?Yes1,5205.5¢4.7¢$71−$13+$9.09
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No13747.4¢49.5¢$68+$2.81−$0.10
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?No10568.7¢64¢$67−$4.91+$11
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Yes40215.9¢16.5¢$66+$2.60$0
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Yes22236¢29¢$64−$16+$1.64
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?No1,5115.8¢4.1¢$62−$26−$0.02

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill "Doing Life" be the top global Netflix movie this week?10.1¢57$5.7643%58
BUY YesWill Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?21¢312$6643%58
SELL NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?66¢174$11543%58
SELL NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?66¢174$11543%58
SELL NoWill Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?90¢57$5143%58
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?11.1¢153$1743%58
BUY YesWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?2¢67$1.3243%58
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?88.9¢91$8143%58
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?88.9¢59$5243%58
SELL YesWill T1 win VALORANT Champions 2026?2.9¢34$0.9843%58
SELL YesWill Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?16¢10$1.5943%58
BUY NoWill Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?86¢121$10443%58
SELL YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?59¢150$8943%58
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?88.9¢91$8143%58
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?27.2¢30$8.0443%58
SELL NoWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?72.8¢32$2343%58
SELL NoWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?72.8¢150$10943%58
SELL NoWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?98.6¢6$5.9143%58
SELL NoWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?98.3¢6$5.9043%58
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?88.9¢59$5343%58