PnL all-time+$19.8kvol $839k
PnL 30d+$1,675gains $707 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$718win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate83.3%adj 79.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$90.7kcash n/a
Positions12 / 157open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.1%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 1mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$25.6kbelow peak −$32Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 83.3% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Noopen+$1,487Will Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window? · Noclosed+$1,452Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Noopen+$1,377Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yesclosed+$1,067Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election? · Yesclosed+$1,017
Worst markets
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Noclosed−$1,974Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August? · Noclosed−$1,377Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? · Noclosed−$805Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yesclosed−$658Will Bayern Munich win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yesclosed−$510
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 21.0k | 89.6¢ | 96.7¢ | $20.3k | +$1,487 | $0 | |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 18.8k | 91.6¢ | 99¢ | $18.6k | +$1,377 | $0 | |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.0k | 92.4¢ | 97¢ | $12.6k | +$591 | +$78 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.0k | 89.2¢ | 96.7¢ | $9,670 | +$750 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 7,862 | 84.5¢ | 85.2¢ | $6,695 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 6,570 | 93.1¢ | 97.4¢ | $6,396 | +$280 | +$166 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 5,000 | 94¢ | 96¢ | $4,798 | +$98 | +$8.00 | |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,603 | 87.6¢ | 98¢ | $4,508 | +$475 | +$496 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 3,000 | 86¢ | 98.7¢ | $2,960 | +$380 | $0 | |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,707 | 95¢ | 95.3¢ | $2,578 | +$6.79 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,500 | 86.6¢ | 99.2¢ | $1,487 | +$188 | +$44 | |
| Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 763 | 2.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.38 | −$18 | $0 |
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