sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

spacegliderr

0xbc6…af79
1y+PoliticsCryptoSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$79.2kvol $2.91M
PnL 30d+$3,495gains $2,383 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$467win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.8%adj 56.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$10.7kcash n/a
Positions110 / 610open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$86.8kbelow peak −$92.8kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.8% · shrunk toward 50%42
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? · Yesclosed+$9,616Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? · Noclosed+$6,024Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election? · Noclosed+$5,206Starmer out by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed+$4,622US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Noclosed+$4,142

Worst markets

Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Noclosed−$29.7kUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$9,380Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? · Noclosed−$8,250Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? · Noclosed−$7,382Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Noclosed−$6,795

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No5,41278¢86.3¢$4,668+$449+$1,582
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢62.4¢$2,730+$2,641$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?No84661.7¢91.5¢$774+$252+$31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No72281¢94.5¢$683+$98+$95
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes58687¢69.1¢$405−$105$0
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes1,00273¢35.5¢$356−$375$0
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢7.5¢$328+$239$0
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes89445.2¢17.8¢$160−$244$0
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No8995.5¢97.9¢$87+$2.14+$215
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢1.7¢$74−$15$0
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢1.5¢$63−$26$0
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢1.4¢$59−$30$0
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?Yes1,00050¢4.5¢$45−$455$0
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes7,6598.5¢0.5¢$34−$616$0
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.5¢$22−$67$0
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.5¢$20−$70$0
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.4¢$18−$72$0
Will Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.4¢$18−$72$0
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.4¢$15−$74$0
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes10617¢7.5¢$7.98−$10$0
Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.2¢$6.56−$83$0
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.2¢$6.56−$83$0
Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.2¢$6.56−$83$0
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.2¢$6.56−$83$0
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.2¢$6.56−$83$0
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.2¢$6.56−$83$0
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,1522¢0.2¢$6.23−$78+$82
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,8762.1¢0.1¢$4.88−$99$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No556¢89¢$4.84+$1.80+$1.80
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No581¢90.5¢$4.53+$0.47$0
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$4.38−$85$0
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$4.38−$85$0
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$4.38−$85$0
Will Mircea Geoană be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$4.38−$85$0
Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$4.38−$85$0
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes7,3792.2¢0.1¢$3.69−$159+$1.80
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$2.19−$87$0
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$2.19−$87$0
Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$2.19−$87$0
Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$2.19−$87$0
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$2.19−$87$0
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$2.19−$87$0
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$2.19−$87$0
Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$2.19−$87$0
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes4,3762¢0.1¢$2.19−$87$0
Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes3,3762¢0.1¢$1.69−$67+$480
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1040¢12.5¢$1.25−$2.75$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢13.1¢$0.16+$0.15$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢10.4¢$0.13+$0.12$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢9¢$0.11+$0.10$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢7.9¢$0.10+$0.09$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢4.6¢$0.06+$0.05$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢3.2¢$0.04+$0.03$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢2.8¢$0.03+$0.03$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢2.3¢$0.03+$0.02$0
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢1.8¢$0.02+$0.01$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢1.7¢$0.02+$0.01$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢1.7¢$0.02+$0.01$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢1.4¢$0.02+$0.01$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢1.4¢$0.02+$0.01$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢1.3¢$0.02+$0.01$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢1.2¢$0.01+$0.01$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢1¢$0.01$0$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢1¢$0.01$0$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.9¢$0.01$0$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.7¢$0.01$0$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.5¢$0.01$0$0
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.5¢$0.01$0$0
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.5¢$0.01$0$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.5¢$0.01$0$0
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.5¢$0.01$0$0
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.4¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.2¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.2¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.2¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.2¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.2¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.2¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.6¢0.1¢$0−$0.01$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?86.5¢689$59657%32
SELL YesLAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?30¢30$9.0057%32
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?71¢1,751$1,24457%32
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?73¢44$3257%32
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?39¢3,000$1,17057%32
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?48.7¢1,000$48757%32
BUY YesLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?25¢1,000$25057%32
BUY NoWill Burgas host Eurovision 2027?61.9¢346$21457%32
BUY YesWill Sofia host Eurovision 2027?60.7¢598$36357%32
BUY YesWill Sofia host Eurovision 2027?75¢752$56457%32
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?96.7¢6,491$6,27757%32
BUY NoOver $750k committed to the RipCars public sale?2.5¢2,217$5557%32
BUY NoOver $500k committed to the RipCars public sale?1.9¢1,199$2357%32
BUY NoWill Burgas host Eurovision 2027?87.2¢3,672$3,20257%32
BUY NoWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?33¢50$1757%32
BUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?1¢1,143$1157%32
BUYExact Score: Larne FC 3 - 1 Tre Fiori FC? AND Exact Score: FC Drita 2 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris?1¢1,143$1157%32
BUYExact Score: ETO FC 1 - 1 KF Víkingur? AND Exact Score: The New Saints FC 0 - 2 Sabah FK?1.3¢858$1157%32
BUYSpread: Inter Club d'Escaldes (-2.5) AND Exact Score: SK Iberia 1999 1 - 0 FC Flora?2.1¢537$1157%32
BUYSwiss Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alexander Shevchenko AND Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals2¢561$1157%32