sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,703

miya2016

0xbec…f54e
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCryptoSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,547vol $135k
PnL 30d+$300gains $1,623 · losses $156
PnL 7d+$77win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate75.4%adj 74.4% · 30d 98.2%
Open value$6,978cash n/a
Positions71 / 2,142open / all-time
Max drawdown−43.2%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,466below peak −$373Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 75.4% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity57

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 71

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes34395.9¢98.7¢$338+$9.59$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No35585.4¢93.5¢$332+$29$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No35293¢87¢$306−$21$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No32589.5¢91¢$296+$4.85$0
GTA VI released by October 31?No29496.8¢99.6¢$293+$8.17$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No30893¢93.5¢$288+$1.54+$0.72
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No30195.8¢95.4¢$287−$1.34+$9.72
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No28796.8¢97.9¢$281+$3.16$0
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No28994.9¢96.2¢$278+$3.82$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No28396.8¢97.3¢$275+$1.35$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No26291.6¢96.6¢$253+$13$0
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes28190.2¢88.3¢$248−$5.47$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?No24998.7¢99¢$247+$0.53$0
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes26691.3¢92.6¢$246+$3.38$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes28286¢87.1¢$245+$2.96$0
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No24289.4¢89¢$215−$1.01$0
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes56050¢37¢$207−$73$0
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No19698.5¢98.9¢$194+$0.65$0
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No19194.9¢96¢$183+$2.03$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No17295¢96.9¢$167+$3.27$0
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No17094.2¢95.6¢$163+$2.42$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No15898.8¢99.6¢$157+$1.16$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No12994¢97.4¢$126+$4.32$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No11095¢96.2¢$106+$1.32+$6.14
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?No10875¢91.5¢$99+$18$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes66348.6¢14.5¢$96−$226$0
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?No8692.9¢96.8¢$83+$3.34$0
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No8595.6¢97.4¢$83+$1.55$0
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No8096.5¢97.9¢$78+$1.07+$5.50
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No7699.5¢100¢$76+$0.32$0
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No7895¢96¢$75+$0.78$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No7581.3¢97.4¢$73+$12$0
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No5692¢91.5¢$51−$0.28$0
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No4692.6¢97.7¢$45+$2.34$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No4493¢97.2¢$43+$1.85$0
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No4396.9¢97.7¢$42+$0.34+$3.13
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No4297.3¢97.4¢$41+$0.02$0
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?No4296.1¢97.2¢$41+$0.44$0
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?No4493¢86¢$38−$3.08$0
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No3682¢94¢$34+$4.32$0
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?No3394.5¢97.2¢$32+$0.89+$0.35
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No3296.6¢97.1¢$31+$0.14$0
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No3093.6¢94.4¢$28+$0.23$0
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No2992.1¢96.3¢$28+$1.22$0
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes13031¢20¢$26−$14$0
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No2395.1¢96.7¢$22+$0.36$0
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?No2098¢99.3¢$20+$0.26$0
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?No2095¢96.2¢$19+$0.23$0
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?No1796.1¢97.8¢$17+$0.28$0
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?No891.1¢93.8¢$7.50+$0.22$0
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?No791.9¢93.7¢$6.56+$0.12$0
Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?Yes396.4¢98.3¢$3.29+$0.06−$0.58
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No396.6¢97¢$3.16+$0.01$0
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?No294¢97¢$2.06+$0.06$0
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?No296.1¢97.1¢$1.54+$0.01$0
Will Trump resign before 2027?No197.1¢97.5¢$1.25+$0.01$0
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No195.4¢95.3¢$1.24$0$0
UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)Alden Coria65843¢0¢$0−$283$0
UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Iwo Baraniewski46469¢0¢$0−$320$0
UFC Fight Night: Jamall Emmers vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)Lerryan Douglas41677¢0¢$0−$320$0
UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)Ateba Gautier41368¢0¢$0−$281$0
Saints vs. RavensRavens34183¢0¢$0−$283$0
UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)Charles Jourdain24466¢0¢$0−$161$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No24286.9¢0¢$0−$210$0
UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)JooSang Yoo18166.7¢0¢$0−$121$0
UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)Leon Shahbazyan14257.1¢0¢$0−$81−$0.28
UFC Fight Night: Diego Ferreira vs. Billy Quarantillo (Lightweight, Main Card)Billy Quarantillo10339¢0¢$0−$40$0
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Bruno Lopes10339¢0¢$0−$40$0
UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)Josiah Harrell5956¢0¢$0−$33$0
UFC Fight Night: Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda (Bantamweight, Prelims)John Castaneda4876¢0¢$0−$36$0
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)Umar Nurmagomedov2484¢0¢$0−$20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?98.8¢41$4175%70
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?98.8¢41$4175%70
BUY Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)74¢55$4175%70
BUY Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)78¢50$3975%70
BUY Leon ShahbazyanUFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)58¢23$1375%70
BUY NoSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?95.9¢15$1475%70
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?99.4¢17$1775%70
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?99.9¢307$30775%70
BUY NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?99.7¢9$8.5075%70
BUY NoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?96.6¢7$6.7675%70
BUY YesWill Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?90.8¢7$6.3675%70
BUY NoWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?96.2¢7$6.7375%70
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?95.7¢42$4075%70
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?99.4¢41$4175%70
BUY NoFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?99.6¢41$4175%70
BUY NoFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?99.6¢41$4175%70
BUY NoFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?99.6¢41$4175%70
BUY NoFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?99.6¢41$4175%70
SELL NoWill Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?99.9¢290$29075%70
SELL NoWill Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?99.9¢297$29775%70