sharpside
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Traders/Rank #21,035

Terrence1992

0xc09…c8d4
SportWeatherOtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$19.0kvol $1.49M
PnL 30d−$677gains $2,959 · losses $5,536
PnL 7d−$260win rate 7d 34.5%
Win rate43.1%adj 43.4% · 30d 42.1%
Open value$10.6kcash n/a
Positions114 / 2,741open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 46m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$17.8kbelow peak −$19.0kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 43.1% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Trump out as President before 2027?No2,65896¢96.2¢$2,556+$3.99−$0.03
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No1,22595.9¢96.4¢$1,180+$4.91−$3.56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No72295.5¢94.3¢$680−$9.02$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo55498.8¢99.1¢$548+$1.53−$8.73
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo68772¢71.5¢$492−$3.18+$9.45
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes1,09332¢30.5¢$333−$16−$4.41
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?No68048.8¢49¢$333+$1.21$0
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No34389.9¢96.6¢$331+$23$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes33486.7¢87.5¢$292+$2.43−$147
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No89929¢29.5¢$265+$4.49+$0.24
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes84144.2¢30.9¢$260−$112+$4.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No33574¢74.5¢$250+$1.62$0
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?No24695.4¢97.8¢$241+$5.95$0
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?No3,11617.9¢7.5¢$234−$325−$25
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No20090.3¢89.5¢$179−$1.63$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes23771.4¢69.5¢$164−$4.42$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes32040.4¢41.5¢$133+$3.60$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes15688¢81.5¢$127−$10$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes2,6885.6¢4¢$106−$46+$0.11
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?No11293.8¢94.7¢$106+$0.93$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes1,3737¢6.5¢$89−$6.30$0
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes39629.9¢21.5¢$85−$33+$6.32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No10081.6¢80.5¢$81−$1.10+$1.65
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No9870¢75.5¢$74+$5.36+$0.47
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?No10771.8¢66¢$70−$6.20$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No7770.3¢87.5¢$68+$13−$7.58
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 14?No7692.4¢88.8¢$67−$2.74$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?No9264.5¢71.5¢$66+$6.47$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes10042.5¢62.2¢$62+$20+$0.02
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes6594.8¢95.1¢$62+$0.16$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Yes6965¢74¢$51+$6.21$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?No6080¢84.5¢$51+$2.70$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes1,6205.8¢2.9¢$46−$48−$42
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes2668.7¢16.7¢$44+$21$0
Will BP be acquired before 2027?No4395.8¢95.6¢$41−$0.09$0
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No4879¢82.5¢$39+$1.66$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?No4461¢82.5¢$37+$9.52+$2.19
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No5959¢60.5¢$35+$0.88$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No3989.1¢84¢$33−$2.02−$14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?No4080¢78¢$31−$0.80$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes3972.1¢71.5¢$28−$0.21$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?No4065¢67.5¢$27+$1.00$0
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?No17816.1¢13.5¢$24−$4.67$0
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?No3955.5¢61.5¢$24+$2.35$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No20517.8¢11.5¢$24−$13$0
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?No6633¢34¢$22+$0.67$0
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?No2393.2¢94.5¢$22+$0.29$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?No3238.5¢67.5¢$22+$9.28$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No5934.6¢36.5¢$21+$1.14$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?Yes3064.1¢68¢$20+$1.18−$0.48
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No6424¢31¢$20+$4.50+$0.44
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes2385¢85.5¢$20+$0.12$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No2067¢96.4¢$19+$5.87$0
Spread: Real Betis Seville (-1.5)Real Betis Seville4035¢47.5¢$19+$5.00$0
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?No3218¢49.5¢$16+$10$0
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes10012.9¢15.5¢$16+$2.56$0
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes4384.1¢3.5¢$15−$2.69$0
LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-InFURIA Esports2072¢74.2¢$15+$0.43$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?Yes2654.4¢54.5¢$14+$0.02−$3.80
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Yes4228.1¢27.6¢$12−$0.21$0
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?No1390.5¢84.3¢$11−$0.81$0
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes1807¢6¢$11−$1.80$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No4703.1¢2.1¢$9.63−$4.83+$0.35
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes2237.3¢42.5¢$9.14+$1.12$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Yes3525.7¢25.7¢$8.85−$0.02$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No2224¢4¢$8.77−$0.05−$6.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?No1543¢58¢$8.70+$2.25$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No2383.3¢3.7¢$8.69+$0.83$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Yes4031.1¢2¢$8.05+$3.67$0
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes1843.5¢45.5¢$7.99+$0.36+$1.60
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Yes3915¢19.5¢$7.51+$1.73$0
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Yes8610.8¢8.5¢$7.31−$1.98$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes2122.1¢3.2¢$6.68+$2.23$0
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?No793¢97.2¢$6.50+$0.28−$1.13
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?Yes4017¢16¢$6.32−$0.39$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes724.6¢8.6¢$6.19+$2.88$0
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes2023.4¢30.5¢$6.10+$1.42$0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in October?Yes2026¢26¢$5.20$0$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes2019¢22.5¢$4.50+$0.70$0
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No4630.7¢9.5¢$4.32−$9.63$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes3690.9¢1.2¢$4.24+$0.92$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,2031.6¢0.4¢$4.21−$16+$6.38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No757¢61.5¢$4.21+$0.31+$5.89
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes6300.9¢0.7¢$4.09−$1.44−$0.66
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes1826¢21.5¢$3.87−$0.81$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?No844¢42¢$3.54−$0.17$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 14?Yes1400.8¢2.3¢$3.22+$2.17$0
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Yes655.2¢4.9¢$3.15−$0.21$0
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?No642.8¢51.5¢$3.00+$0.51$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes462¢67.5¢$2.82+$0.23$0
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes2010¢14¢$2.73+$0.78$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes596¢4.5¢$2.63−$0.88$0
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Yes408¢6.5¢$2.60−$0.60$0
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Yes1006.2¢2.6¢$2.55−$3.69$0
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?No335¢83.5¢$2.50+$1.46+$14
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes188¢10.5¢$1.89+$0.45$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?Yes542.3¢2.6¢$1.40+$0.16+$0.09
Viking FK vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 13.5 Total CornersOver621.2¢20¢$1.20−$0.07$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes135¢9¢$1.17+$0.52+$1.09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?Yes631.7¢1.8¢$1.13+$0.07$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL The CitadelThe Citadel vs. Texas A&M0.4¢10$0.0443%29
SELL NoWill GitLab be acquired before 2027?94.6¢52$4943%29
BUY The CitadelThe Citadel vs. Texas A&M0.6¢184$1.1043%29
BUY The CitadelThe Citadel vs. Texas A&M0.6¢184$1.1043%29
BUY The CitadelThe Citadel vs. Texas A&M0.6¢184$1.1043%29
BUY The CitadelThe Citadel vs. Texas A&M0.6¢184$1.1043%29
BUY The CitadelThe Citadel vs. Texas A&M0.6¢184$1.1043%29
BUY The CitadelThe Citadel vs. Texas A&M0.6¢184$1.1043%29
BUY The CitadelThe Citadel vs. Texas A&M0.6¢184$1.1043%29
BUY The CitadelThe Citadel vs. Texas A&M0.6¢184$1.1043%29
BUY The CitadelThe Citadel vs. Texas A&M0.6¢184$1.1043%29
SELL YesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?28.1¢10$2.9543%29
SELL YesNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?21¢5$1.1343%29
SELL YesNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?13.7¢44$6.0643%29
SELL YesNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?13.7¢8$1.0743%29
SELL YesNext Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?14.7¢15$2.1643%29
BUY NoWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?10¢20$2.0043%29
SELL No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House98.9¢130$12943%29
SELL No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House98.9¢130$12943%29
SELL No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House98.9¢130$12943%29