Traders/Rank #756

CoffeeLover

0xc1b…501c@CoffeeLover_pm

PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$265kvol $16.8M

PnL 30d+$18.5kgains $9,415 · losses $37.9k

PnL 7d+$12.7kwin rate 7d 31.8%

Win rate47.7%adj 47.7% · 30d 36.0%

Open value$56.0kcash n/a

Positions143 / 2,362open / all-time

Max drawdown−29.6%of equity peak

Account age1.6ylast trade 20d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$303kbelow peak −$77.3kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77

Adjusted win rateraw 47.7% · shrunk toward 50%19

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d32

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesopen+$55.5k Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · Yesclosed+$49.3k Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$46.7k Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$16.8k Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yesclosed+$10.9k

Worst markets

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? · Noclosed−$12.6k Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-17? · Noclosed−$8,800 FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5 · Overclosed−$8,400 Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? · Noclosed−$7,000 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? · Noclosed−$6,700

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	52.7k	23.3¢	85.7¢	$45.1k	+$32.8k	+$22.7k	ended
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	10.3¢	$2,942	+$2,741	$0	25mo
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	11.1k	4.4¢	7.5¢	$828	+$342	+$450	25mo
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	15.8k	0.6¢	5.1¢	$797	+$695	+$102	25mo
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Alex Molcan	Alex de Minaur	959	71¢	71.5¢	$686	+$4.79	$0	7d 19h
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	2¢	$573	+$373	+$0.91	25mo
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	3¢	$503	+$394	$0	25mo
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	2,637	49.5¢	17.5¢	$461	−$843	$0	3mo
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	1.4¢	$387	+$187	$0	25mo
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2,297	0.8¢	12.8¢	$293	+$276	$0	6mo
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	1¢	$273	+$72	$0	25mo
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.9¢	$244	+$43	$0	25mo
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	9,777	1.5¢	2.2¢	$215	+$65	$0	3mo
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.7¢	$187	−$14	$0	25mo
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	4,210	26.5¢	4.1¢	$171	−$945	$0	3mo
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.5¢	$158	−$43	$0	25mo
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	5,100	0.7¢	3.1¢	$156	+$121	+$610	25mo
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	5,652	0.7¢	2.8¢	$155	+$116	+$914	25mo
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.5¢	$144	−$57	$0	25mo
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.8¢	$126	+$4.70	$0	25mo
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	5,100	0.7¢	2.3¢	$117	+$82	+$579	25mo
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	5,521	0.7¢	1.7¢	$91	+$53	+$476	25mo
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	18.7k	0.7¢	0.5¢	$84	−$47	−$9.95	25mo
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.4¢	$67	−$54	$0	25mo
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	3,653	1.8¢	1.6¢	$58	−$8.56	+$95	6mo
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	1,000	56¢	5.5¢	$55	−$505	$0	3mo
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$43	−$158	$0	25mo
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.3¢	$42	−$79	$0	25mo
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.3¢	$42	−$79	$0	25mo
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	2,749	0.6¢	1.4¢	$37	+$21	+$53	25mo
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	91	0¢	38.9¢	$35	+$35	$0	3mo
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	9,000	0.7¢	0.4¢	$32	−$27	−$4.09	25mo
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	9,777	1.5¢	0.3¢	$29	−$121	$0	3mo
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.7¢	2.8¢	$28	+$20	+$595	25mo
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$25	−$84	$0	25mo
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$25	−$84	$0	25mo
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$25	−$84	$0	25mo
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$25	−$84	$0	25mo
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$25	−$84	$0	25mo
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$25	−$84	$0	25mo
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$25	−$96	$0	25mo
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$25	−$96	$0	25mo
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$25	−$96	$0	25mo
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$25	−$96	$0	25mo
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	15.7k	0.7¢	0.2¢	$24	−$86	+$0.07	25mo
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	9,000	0.7¢	0.3¢	$23	−$36	+$3.68	25mo
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,001	0.5¢	1.8¢	$18	+$12	+$111	25mo
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2,222	0.7¢	0.8¢	$17	+$0.92	$0	6mo
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	9,777	1.5¢	0.2¢	$15	−$135	$0	3mo
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	9,777	1.5¢	0.2¢	$15	−$135	$0	3mo
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	1,621	0.7¢	0.9¢	$15	+$3.10	+$44	6mo
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	28.7k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$14	−$186	$0	25mo
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	5,447	1.5¢	0.3¢	$14	−$71	+$350	3mo
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	9,000	0.7¢	0.2¢	$14	−$45	+$3.68	25mo
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	1,404	0.7¢	0.9¢	$13	+$2.69	+$328	25mo
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1,000	1.7¢	1.2¢	$12	−$5.15	+$133	3mo
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.5¢	1.1¢	$11	+$5.15	+$30	25mo
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	5,888	1.5¢	0.2¢	$8.83	−$82	−$24	3mo
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$8.39	−$101	$0	25mo
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$8.39	−$101	$0	25mo
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$8.39	−$101	$0	25mo
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$8.39	−$101	$0	25mo
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$8.39	−$113	$0	25mo
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$8.39	−$113	$0	25mo
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$8.39	−$113	$0	25mo
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	16.8k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$8.39	−$113	$0	25mo
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2,250	0.7¢	0.4¢	$7.87	−$7.88	+$431	25mo
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.5¢	0.7¢	$6.50	+$1.15	+$71	25mo
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	11.1k	0.7¢	0.1¢	$5.57	−$72	+$67	25mo
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2,222	0.7¢	0.3¢	$5.55	−$10	$0	6mo
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	9,777	1.5¢	0.1¢	$4.89	−$145	$0	3mo
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	9,777	1.5¢	0.1¢	$4.89	−$145	$0	3mo
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	9,777	1.5¢	0.1¢	$4.89	−$145	$0	3mo
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	9,777	1.5¢	0.1¢	$4.89	−$145	$0	3mo
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	9,777	1.5¢	0.1¢	$4.89	−$145	$0	3mo
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	9,000	0.7¢	0.1¢	$4.50	−$54	−$4.09	25mo
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2,222	0.7¢	0.2¢	$3.33	−$12	$0	6mo
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2,222	0.7¢	0.2¢	$3.33	−$12	$0	6mo
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2,222	0.7¢	0.2¢	$3.33	−$12	$0	6mo
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2,222	0.7¢	0.2¢	$3.33	−$12	$0	6mo
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	2,222	0.7¢	0.2¢	$3.33	−$12	$0	6mo
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	1,703	0.7¢	0.2¢	$2.55	−$9.37	+$103	25mo
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	91	0¢	2.6¢	$2.38	+$2.38	$0	3mo
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	4,113	0.6¢	0.1¢	$2.06	−$25	$0	6mo
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?	Yes	5	73¢	38.5¢	$1.93	−$1.73	$0	3mo
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	180	2¢	0.9¢	$1.62	−$1.98	$0	ended
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	1,000	0.5¢	0.2¢	$1.50	−$3.86	+$15	25mo

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
20d ago	BUY Yes	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	80¢	981	$785	48%	56
2mo ago	SELL No	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	99.8¢	2,400	$2,394	48%	56
2mo ago	BUY Argentina	England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	99¢	487	$482	48%	56
2mo ago	BUY Argentina	England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	95.6¢	2,500	$2,391	48%	56
2mo ago	BUY Argentina	England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	96¢	2,500	$2,400	48%	56
2mo ago	BUY Yes	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	26.3¢	4,000	$1,050	48%	56
2mo ago	BUY Yes	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	92.3¢	459	$423	48%	56
2mo ago	SELL Yes	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	7.8¢	3,796	$294	48%	56
2mo ago	BUY Yes	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?	17¢	248	$42	48%	56
2mo ago	BUY No	Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?	99.4¢	9	$8.94	48%	56
2mo ago	SELL No	Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?	99.9¢	2,635	$2,632	48%	56
3mo ago	BUY Colombia	Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	60¢	2,701	$1,620	48%	56
3mo ago	BUY Yes	World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?	96.5¢	13	$13	48%	56
3mo ago	BUY No	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	49¢	1,000	$490	48%	56
3mo ago	BUY No	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	49.5¢	248	$123	48%	56
3mo ago	BUY Mexico	Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance	64¢	2,029	$1,299	48%	56
3mo ago	BUY No	Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	69¢	1,118	$771	48%	56
3mo ago	BUY No	Will the announcers say "Messi" 20+ times during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?	6.2¢	122	$7.53	48%	56
3mo ago	BUY No	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5.8¢	773	$45	48%	56
3mo ago	SELL Yes	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	99.9¢	1,655	$1,653	48%	56