sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

k2ai

0xc43…6327
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$415vol $45.2k
PnL 30d+$24gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$7.71win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate98.4%adj 94.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,345cash n/a
Positions79 / 322open / all-time
Max drawdown−30.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$583below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale37
Adjusted win rateraw 98.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity70

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? · Noclosed+$276MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$184Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Noopen+$111Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$104MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$45

Worst markets

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed−$124Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Noopen−$79Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$52Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? · Noclosed−$47LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) · Gen.Gopen−$24

Open positions · 79

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No80184¢97.9¢$784+$111$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes10084¢100¢$100+$16$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No10088¢100¢$100+$12$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes10091¢96¢$96+$5.00$0
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?No9053¢96.7¢$87+$39$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No10080¢85.5¢$86+$5.50$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No7692¢92.5¢$71+$0.38$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No391.4¢85.3¢$2.80−$0.20$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No281.5¢91¢$2.23+$0.23$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo285¢91.5¢$2.15+$0.15$0
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No295.9¢100¢$2.09+$0.09$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No297.5¢98.5¢$2.02+$0.02$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No251¢87.5¢$1.72+$0.72$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No259¢93.5¢$1.58+$0.58$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes169¢89.5¢$1.30+$0.30$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No182¢94.5¢$1.15+$0.15$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No172¢80.4¢$1.12+$0.12$0
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No192¢99.1¢$1.08+$0.08$0
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?No183¢89¢$1.07+$0.07$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No188¢82.3¢$0.93−$0.07$0
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes184¢14.5¢$0.17−$0.83$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes264¢10¢$0.16−$0.84$0
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes185¢11.5¢$0.14−$0.86$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes180¢9¢$0.11−$0.89$0
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?Yes180¢7.7¢$0.10−$0.90$0
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No33523.5¢0¢$0−$79$0
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 29-January 4?Yes2000.5¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 10?No1202.6¢0¢$0−$3.12$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 10?No5020¢0¢$0−$10$0
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)Gen.G3081¢0¢$0−$24$0
Will NVIDIA reach $268 in November?Yes263.9¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Panthers vs. PackersPackers2087¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No147¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend1053¢0¢$0−$5.30$0
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Anyone's Legend1053¢0¢$0−$5.30$0
Heat vs. ClippersClippers1064¢0¢$0−$6.40$0
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes911¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No335¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No373.9¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?No281¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No284¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Yes255¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes265¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes266¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes266¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No167¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes169¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes170¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Ohio State win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?Yes170¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?No171¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Yes172¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
US government shutdown Saturday?No174¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Virginia win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?Yes175¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes175¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes175¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No177¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No177.9¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes179¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes179.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?Yes180¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes181¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Yes182¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Tippy win the Aster trading competition?Yes182.2¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will ZKsync win 2025 Uniswap Cup?No182.9¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?No183¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes184¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No185.7¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?No188¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Mexico win Miss Universe 2025?No189¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Yes191¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
US bank failure by January 31?No192¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?No193¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?Up194¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?No194.3¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,100 on November 16?No194.8¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?No195.6¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?No198.5¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 16?Yes198.8¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will Ohio State be the #1 overall seed in the 2025-26 College Football Playoff?Yes199¢0¢$0−$1.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?70.1¢7$5.0098%62
BUY YesWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?70.1¢10$7.0198%62
BUY NoIran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?90¢1$1.0098%62
BUY NoIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?99.5¢1$1.0098%62
BUY NoHantavirus pandemic in 2026?97.5¢2$2.0098%62
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?85.1¢1$1.0098%62
BUY NoWill Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?86.9¢1$1.0098%62
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House85¢2$2.0098%62
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?95.9¢2$2.0098%62
BUY NoWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?97.9¢5$4.8998%62
BUY NoWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?99¢1$1.0098%62
BUY NoAztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?79¢1$1.0098%62
BUY NoWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?94.6¢1$1.0098%62
BUY YesSolstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?84.2¢1$1.0098%62
BUY YesWill Infinex launch a token by March 31, 2026?97.5¢1$1.0098%62
BUY YesVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?69¢1$1.0098%62
BUY YesFootball.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?78¢1$1.0098%62
BUY YesWill Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?97.7¢1$1.0098%62
BUY YesWill ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?69¢1$1.0098%62
BUY NoExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?83¢1$1.0098%62