sharpside
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Traders/Rank #19,977

AnEggplant

0xc97…732b
1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$6,608vol $974k
PnL 30d+$1,916gains $1,030 · losses $516
PnL 7d−$163win rate 7d 84.6%
Win rate39.3%adj 39.7% · 30d 58.6%
Open value$9,941cash n/a
Positions94 / 1,005open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.7%of equity peak
Account age2.7ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$4,344below peak −$314Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 39.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 94

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes4,86735.1¢53.7¢$2,614+$908+$556
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1,25048.9¢61.5¢$769+$157+$2.54
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?No2,24321.9¢21.1¢$472−$18−$0.84
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes55264.7¢67.5¢$373+$15$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No50045.5¢63.5¢$317+$90+$7.20
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes1,48820.7¢20.5¢$305−$3.31+$1.71
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No50051.3¢60.5¢$303+$46+$14
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?Yes55339.5¢54.5¢$301+$83$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes40048.8¢64.5¢$258+$63+$7.17
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?No75030.4¢30.5¢$229+$0.96$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?No29377.6¢76.5¢$224−$3.14−$1.90
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No50935.4¢37.5¢$191+$10$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes40064.1¢46.5¢$186−$71−$438
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?No34749.7¢53.5¢$186+$13$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes20086¢87.5¢$175+$3.00+$14
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes25057.6¢68.5¢$171+$27+$5.31
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes40041.1¢42.5¢$170+$5.75$0
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes30.0k0.4¢0.5¢$165+$32$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes44335.1¢36.5¢$162+$5.99+$5.43
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes40827.5¢37.5¢$153+$41+$0.55
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No51227.6¢27.5¢$141−$0.44$0
Will Republicans win the Georgia Governor election and Democrats win the Georgia Senate election?Yes22251¢52.5¢$117+$3.33$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10.1k0.2¢1¢$101+$79$0
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes40031.8¢25¢$100−$27−$7.39
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4,0003.2¢2.5¢$98−$28−$2.16
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?Yes39512.8¢20¢$79+$29$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?Yes25029.5¢29.5¢$74−$0.12+$0.76
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,9991.8¢1.4¢$67−$22$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes41415¢14.9¢$62−$0.31+$0.81
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes1,3412.1¢4.4¢$58+$30$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes24021.8¢23¢$55+$2.93−$1.74
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No10049¢51.2¢$51+$2.25$0
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?Yes30017.2¢16.5¢$49−$2.00$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,5001.8¢2¢$49+$3.90$0
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes10040¢46.5¢$47+$6.50−$4.16
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?No25018¢17.5¢$44−$1.25$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,5001.3¢1.7¢$41+$7.75$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes11417¢35.5¢$41+$21+$0.60
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes25014.7¢15¢$38+$0.76$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?No25015.5¢15¢$38−$1.27$0
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Yes10036¢37.5¢$38+$1.50$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?Yes20123.1¢18¢$36−$10+$12
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes3958.5¢8.9¢$35+$1.41−$3.36
Closer Senate Race: Nebraska or Texas?Nebraska10038¢34.5¢$35−$3.50$0
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes30013¢11¢$33−$5.97$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes15112¢21¢$32+$14$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%?Yes2365.6¢13.4¢$32+$19−$0.45
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes30014.3¢10.5¢$31−$11$0
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes8817.5¢34.5¢$30+$15+$26
Closer Senate Race: Kansas or Nebraska?Kansas5055¢58.5¢$29+$1.75$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes19216.4¢14.5¢$28−$3.66+$27
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10,0000.3¢0.3¢$25−$6.48$0
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes10013.8¢24.8¢$25+$11$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,0001.7¢2.5¢$25+$7.23$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No2528¢9.5¢$24+$3.78−$1.52
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?Yes6046¢39.5¢$24−$3.90−$5.71
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?Yes10022¢22.5¢$23+$0.50$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 9%-12%?Yes9324¢23¢$21−$0.93+$4.33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes1189¢17.5¢$21+$10$0
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes8214¢24.5¢$20+$8.63$0
Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes6920.9¢2.9¢$20+$14+$1.12
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,0000.8¢0.7¢$20−$6.00$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes2639.5¢7.4¢$19−$5.40−$13
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,0000.9¢1¢$19+$1.00$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes10715.5¢17¢$18+$1.61$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes5117¢28.5¢$15+$5.86$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,0001.7¢1.4¢$13−$3.50$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10017¢12.5¢$12−$4.50−$0.12
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?Yes1238¢10¢$12+$2.46$0
Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes5000.4¢2.5¢$12+$10+$7.21
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?Yes829.9¢13.8¢$11+$3.23$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 12%-15%?Yes7113.7¢15.7¢$11+$1.44+$0.28
Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina?South Carolina2052¢53.5¢$11+$0.30$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20.7k0.1¢0.1¢$10−$10$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?Yes3243.2¢3¢$9.73−$0.68+$0.14
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 16%-20%?Yes1685¢5.5¢$9.24+$0.84$0
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2,0000.7¢0.5¢$9.00−$5.00$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes40011.1¢2.3¢$9.00−$35$0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,0000.4¢0.2¢$7.50−$14$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes30015.5¢2.3¢$6.75−$40$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?Yes2721.3¢2.4¢$6.53+$3.02$0
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes1063¢61.5¢$6.15−$0.15$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes3413.6¢17.5¢$5.96+$1.33$0
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes14717¢3.9¢$5.66−$19$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes3007.2¢1.6¢$4.65−$17$0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?No1814¢24.5¢$4.37+$1.87$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes2014¢18¢$3.60+$0.80$0
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes4810¢6.5¢$3.09−$1.70+$3.64
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Yes1520.3¢18.5¢$2.77−$0.27+$0.94
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 6%-9%?Yes1016¢27.5¢$2.72+$1.14+$3.14
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by at least 20%?Yes513¢4.6¢$2.32+$0.79$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?Yes232¢4¢$0.92+$0.46$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 16%-20%?Yes200.5¢1.5¢$0.29+$0.19$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by at least 20%?Yes400.5¢0.7¢$0.26+$0.06$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?32¢99$3239%38
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?32¢5$1.6039%38
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?31¢196$6139%38
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?31¢50$1639%38
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?30¢224$6739%38
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?30¢50$1539%38
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?30¢50$1539%38
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?30¢39$1239%38
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?29¢211$6139%38
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?53.9¢20$1139%38
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?54.4¢60$3339%38
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?53.6¢110$5939%38
SELL NoWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?78¢200$15639%38
BUY YesWill Republicans win the Georgia Governor election and Democrats win the Georgia Senate election?51¢222$11339%38
BUY YesWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%?2.1¢50$1.0539%38
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?24¢141$3439%38
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?21¢60$1339%38
BUY NoWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?81.3¢80$6539%38
BUY NoWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?76.9¢413$31839%38
SELL NoWill the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?21¢500$10539%38