| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 29.3k | 37.9¢ | 90¢ | $26.3k | +$15.3k | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 10.4k | 19¢ | 53.6¢ | $5,586 | +$3,606 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 6,139 | 70.4¢ | 77.5¢ | $4,758 | +$438 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 4,597 | 78.3¢ | 87.7¢ | $4,032 | +$432 | +$251 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 12.5k | 55.4¢ | 16¢ | $1,999 | −$4,925 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 17.2k | 44.3¢ | 5.5¢ | $946 | −$6,677 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 8,183 | 61.1¢ | 11.5¢ | $941 | −$4,056 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,125 | 0¢ | 14.5¢ | $453 | +$453 | $0 | |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 10.3k | 44.5¢ | 3¢ | $309 | −$4,271 | $0 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,616 | 9.3¢ | 3.6¢ | $306 | −$494 | $0 | |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 2,852 | 35.1¢ | 10.5¢ | $299 | −$701 | $0 | |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 175 | 57¢ | 89.5¢ | $157 | +$57 | $0 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 79 | 63.1¢ | 92¢ | $73 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 63 | 79.8¢ | 91.5¢ | $57 | +$7.35 | $0 | |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 28 | 71.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $26 | +$6.30 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 405 | 24¢ | 5¢ | $20 | −$77 | $0 | |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 136 | 38.2¢ | 13.5¢ | $18 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 401 | 12.5¢ | 2.3¢ | $9.02 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 7 | 70¢ | 90.5¢ | $6.46 | +$1.46 | $0 | |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | 85¢ | 97.5¢ | $4.87 | +$0.62 | $0 | |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | 80¢ | 93.5¢ | $4.67 | +$0.68 | $0 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 29 | 12¢ | 11¢ | $3.18 | −$0.31 | $0 | |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 5 | 38¢ | 16¢ | $0.80 | −$1.10 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 5 | 22.7¢ | 13.1¢ | $0.66 | −$0.48 | $0 | |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | Yes | 25.4k | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,080 | −$49 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? | No | 21.3k | 60.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13.0k | $0 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 18.1k | 32.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,943 | −$370 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.0k | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,235 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | No | 16.2k | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$678 | −$9.82 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 7? | Yes | 10.4k | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$308 | $0 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 9,214 | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | No | 6,875 | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$966 | −$32 | |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 6,612 | 22.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,500 | $0 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 24? | Yes | 6,430 | 27.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,782 | +$31 | |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | No | 6,333 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$950 | −$17 | |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 5,802 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 5,578 | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$301 | −$6.75 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 5,319 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | Yes | 5,311 | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$600 | $0 | |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 4,731 | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | −$18 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | No | 4,617 | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$375 | $0 | |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 4,439 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$222 | $0 | |
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 4,431 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | Yes | 4,111 | 48.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,001 | $0 | |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 3,500 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | Yes | 2,934 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | −$2.93 | |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | Yes | 2,417 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 2,310 | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$154 | $0 | |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 2,296 | 12.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$290 | $0 | |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 2,252 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21? | Yes | 2,195 | 4.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | Yes | 2,049 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,000 | 18.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$362 | $0 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,000 | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$226 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,000 | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$166 | $0 | |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,000 | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 | |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | Yes | 2,000 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,000 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$180 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | No | 2,000 | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,100 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | Yes | 1,962 | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53 | −$2.06 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 1,877 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$170 | $0 | |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 1,855 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.56 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | Yes | 1,804 | 41.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$749 | +$532 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 1,786 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | $0 | |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | No | 1,771 | 22.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$400 | −$12 | |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | Yes | 1,633 | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$110 | $0 | |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21? | Yes | 1,508 | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$97 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | No | 1,500 | 34¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$510 | $0 | |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 1,488 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | Yes | 1,433 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 1,425 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 1,397 | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 1,289 | 9.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$125 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 15? | No | 1,279 | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$127 | $0 | |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? | No | 1,250 | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$90 | $0 | |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 1,071 | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$428 | −$9.60 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 22? | No | 1,014 | 9.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | No | 1,005 | 33.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$338 | $0 | |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 882 | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | +$553 | |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? | Yes | 605 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.11 | $0 | |
| Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? | No | 435 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$3.24 | |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14? | Yes | 364 | 59.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$216 | $0 | |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 349 | 28.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | Yes | 251 | 79.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | −$1.61 | |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? | Yes | 124 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10? | Yes | 124 | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.10 | $0 | |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 116 | 43¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$0.85 | |
| Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 109 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.74 | $0 | |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 67 | 47.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 50 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026? | Yes | 19 | 29.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.49 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? | Yes | 10 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.90 | $0 | |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | No | 8 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027? | No | 5 | 46¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.30 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 5 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 5 | 93¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.65 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? | No | 5 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.80 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 5 | 90¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.79 | $0 | |