sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

LaPulgaLeo

0xcf4…5903
1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$4,376vol $318k
PnL 30d+$3,291gains $3,719 · losses $333
PnL 7d−$170win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate58.9%adj 57.9% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$6,727cash n/a
Positions36 / 192open / all-time
Max drawdown−60.6%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$5,182below peak −$2,099Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 58.9% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity39

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 36

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?No2,62187.1¢92.5¢$2,424+$141$0
Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaNothing1,08395.4¢93.7¢$1,014−$19$0
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?No73594.1¢95.4¢$701+$9.30$0
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?No63794.2¢96.3¢$613+$13$0
Will Deportivo Pasto be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?No55996¢99.9¢$558+$22$0
Will Lionel Messi retire before 1 July 2027?No35280¢99.4¢$349+$68+$0.02
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?No26891.7¢95¢$254+$8.79$0
Will Instituto be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?No23792.7¢97.5¢$231+$11$0
Will Estudiantes (LP) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?No15592.7¢97.3¢$151+$7.09$0
Will Vélez Sarsfield be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?No10796.4¢97¢$104+$0.62$0
Will Defensa y Justicia be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?No8194.2¢97.3¢$79+$2.47$0
Will Guayaquil City be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?No6494¢98.1¢$63+$2.60$0
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima (M) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?No6192.6¢98¢$60+$3.25$0
Will Huracán be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?No4195.6¢97.9¢$40+$0.90$0
Will Junior be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?No4195.8¢97.1¢$40+$0.51$0
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No2596.9¢98.4¢$24+$0.36−$72
Will Independiente Rivadavia be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?No2194¢98¢$21+$0.84$0
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,5861.6¢0¢$0−$137$0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,5853.5¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,5845.4¢0¢$0−$464$0
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,5501.2¢0¢$0−$103$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,53713.5¢0¢$0−$1,151$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,53412.1¢0¢$0−$1,035$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,5339.3¢0¢$0−$795−$0.09
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,5911.6¢0¢$0−$89$0
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes77550.7¢0¢$0−$393−$9.68
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5202.7¢0¢$0−$14−$0.41
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2073.7¢0¢$0−$7.72−$0.22
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1379.9¢0¢$0−$14−$0.50
Will Emiliano Martínez record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes11124¢0¢$0−$27−$0.08
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Over6042¢0¢$0−$25−$0.44
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes6044¢0¢$0−$26−$0.59
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes5075¢0¢$0−$38−$0.38
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes457¢0¢$0−$3.13−$0.12
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes1770¢0¢$0−$12−$0.14
Will the announcers say "Viking" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes1090¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.04

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?36.7¢1,631$59859%55
SELL YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?39.1¢1,567$61359%55
SELL YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?41.5¢1,124$46759%55
SELL YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?43¢1,519$65359%55
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?2.2¢1,631$3659%55
SELL YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?4.8¢5,698$27459%55
SELL NoWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?51¢3,073$1,56659%55
BUY YesWill Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin?86¢10$8.6059%55
SELL YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?46¢1,948$89659%55
SELL YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?42.6¢3,088$1,31659%55
SELL YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?43.8¢1,265$55459%55
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?86.7¢112$9759%55
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?81.6¢239$19559%55
SELL NoWill Lionel Messi retire before 1 July 2027?82¢5$4.1059%55
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi retire before 1 July 2027?80¢357$28559%55
BUY NoWill Vélez Sarsfield be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)?97.6¢41$4059%55
SELL NoWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?93.4¢1,747$1,63159%55
BUY YesWill Lionel Messi play for Argentina again in 2026?94.6¢29$2859%55
BUY YesWill Lionel Messi play for Argentina again in 2026?92.9¢431$40059%55
BUY YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?7.9¢265$2159%55