PnL all-time+$78vol $118k
PnL 30d+$2.43gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$5.47win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.1%adj 52.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3,308cash n/a
Positions4 / 18open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.5%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$119below peak −$70Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale27
Adjusted win rateraw 57.1% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable42
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed+$193Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? · Noclosed+$6.46Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$4.71Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Noopen+$4.13Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? · Yesclosed+$2.27
Worst markets
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$199Will Belgium win? · Yesclosed−$56Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election? · Yesclosed−$55Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Yesclosed−$12Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? · Yesclosed−$8.00
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2,454 | 97.8¢ | 97.9¢ | $2,401 | +$1.23 | $0 | |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 918 | 98¢ | 98.5¢ | $904 | +$4.13 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10 | 42¢ | 12.5¢ | $1.19 | −$2.81 | $0 | |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 400 | 50¢ | 0.3¢ | $1.00 | −$199 | $0 |
Recent trades
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