sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,262

Jest55

0xd34…0004
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$157kvol $6.76M
PnL 30d+$13.9kgains $14.2k · losses $1,514
PnL 7d+$2,321win rate 7d 90.0%
Win rate46.6%adj 46.7% · 30d 81.3%
Open value$112kcash n/a
Positions71 / 2,561open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.7%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 7d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$167kbelow peak −$228Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

63/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 46.6% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d76
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 71

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes22.9k72.4¢96.6¢$22.1k+$5,527+$223
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No15.2k95.4¢97.8¢$14.8k+$354+$160
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No17.2k84¢84.5¢$14.5k+$86+$3,634
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No14.2k92.2¢94.5¢$13.4k+$322+$78
Iran Nuke before 2027?No13.4k91.2¢96.5¢$12.9k+$697+$480
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No10.1k95.1¢95.9¢$9,732+$83+$27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No10.8k57.1¢81.5¢$8,809+$2,641+$613
New pandemic in 2026?No1,81187.6¢95.5¢$1,729+$144$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No1,41096¢97.1¢$1,369+$16$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No1,30095.2¢98¢$1,273+$36$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No1,16091.1¢97.1¢$1,126+$68$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No1,35080¢81.5¢$1,100+$20$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No1,10583.4¢96¢$1,060+$139$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No1,01093.9¢97.9¢$988+$40+$9.80
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No92195.9¢96.5¢$888+$5.44+$3.26
Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?No86088.7¢92.5¢$796+$33$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No87280.6¢84.5¢$737+$34+$265
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?No70282.8¢96.5¢$678+$97$0
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No68090.4¢96.4¢$655+$40$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?No53764.9¢95.8¢$514+$166$0
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Yes4,00014¢9¢$360−$200$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No40087.8¢88.5¢$354+$3.00$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes5,6759¢3.9¢$218−$292$0
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No16091.7¢97.7¢$156+$9.62$0
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?No13691.4¢98¢$133+$9.02$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No12086.5¢96.3¢$116+$12+$19
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?No10060¢98.8¢$99+$39$0
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No10195.9¢97.6¢$99+$1.72$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No10086.2¢97.2¢$97+$11$0
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes91528.3¢10.5¢$96−$163+$184
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?No10459.5¢71¢$74+$12+$22
Clavicular charges dropped by October 31?No7979.8¢92.8¢$74+$10$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No7559.8¢92.5¢$69+$25$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No6164.3¢96¢$59+$19+$33
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No54374.5¢10.5¢$57−$347$0
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No5595.5¢99.2¢$55+$2.01$0
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?No5572.5¢93.2¢$51+$11$0
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No5089¢96¢$48+$3.50$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?No49533.8¢9.5¢$47−$120+$56
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No4377.4¢85.5¢$37+$3.50$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes20040.9¢16¢$32−$50$0
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No3645¢81¢$29+$13$0
Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?No2957.4¢94.4¢$27+$11+$2.67
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No2590.4¢94.5¢$24+$1.02$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No3068¢78¢$23+$3.00$0
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No2365.3¢96¢$22+$6.90$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No1597¢98.9¢$14+$0.28+$200
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes5570.6¢18.5¢$10−$29$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No1086¢95¢$9.50+$0.90$0
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?No1093¢94.5¢$9.45+$0.15$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No1065.5¢93.5¢$9.36+$2.80+$18
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?No1052¢88.6¢$8.87+$3.67$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No73454.1¢1¢$6.98−$390+$73
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No587¢97¢$4.85+$0.50$0
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No589¢96.2¢$4.81+$0.36$0
Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31?No50¢92¢$4.60+$4.60$0
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes2,76527.1¢0.2¢$4.15−$744+$46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes580¢48.3¢$2.41−$1.58$0
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?No10,0000.3¢0¢$0−$30−$0.70
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry4,50023.2¢0¢$0−$1,042+$322
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Yes1,10553.9¢0¢$0−$596$0
Trump renames AI by September 30?No84571.3¢0¢$0−$602+$13
Will Team Liquid Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?Yes82720.3¢0¢$0−$168$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No60056.4¢0¢$0−$338+$11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Yes28059.2¢0¢$0−$166−$21
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Yes19696¢0¢$0−$188−$0.53
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes1007.6¢0¢$0−$7.60$0
Will Gen.G Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?Yes4114¢0¢$0−$5.78$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes4018¢0¢$0−$7.22+$0.22
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?Yes243¢0¢$0−$0.73+$0.47
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No1042¢0¢$0−$4.19+$9.00

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?74¢438$32447%63
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?96¢3,864$3,70947%63
BUY NoHouthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?90¢17$1647%63
BUY NoHouthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?89.9¢650$58447%63
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?93¢9,000$8,37047%63
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?96¢1,000$96047%63
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?96.7¢714$69147%63
BUY NoWill at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?91.4¢136$12447%63
BUY NoPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?80¢1,350$1,08047%63
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?99.9¢1,000$99947%63
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?99.9¢3,000$2,99747%63
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?99.9¢5,000$4,99547%63
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?99.9¢5,000$4,99547%63
BUY NoIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?99.9¢178$17847%63
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?99.8¢1,933$1,92947%63
BUY YesIran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?40.9¢156$6447%63
BUY NoIran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?87¢174$15247%63
BUY NoIran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?86.7¢100$8747%63
BUY NoIran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?85.9¢40$3447%63
BUY NoIran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?86¢200$17247%63